Angry Bear

Physician, heal thyself

32 economists associated with the University of Chicago at some point in their careers were awarded the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, which is often referred to as the Nobel Prize in Economics. With all that expertise, you’d assume that the University of Chicago would be a paragon of […]

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Global Plastic Pollution

This report is coming out of Thailand as reported by the “Bangkok Post.” I like to read other news sites as they offer a different perception or perspective on what is occurring. It is obvious; plastic waste disposal is problematic. Plastic does not deteriorate readily. Many countries see it as problematic while some countries see […]

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July industrial production: meh!

 – by New Deal democrat Industrial production is much less central to the US economic picture than it was before the “China shock,” since so much production moved overseas, meaning US consumers buy much more imported goods than they used to. Still it is an important if diminished coincident indicator. This morning’s report for July can […]

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Slowing Job Growth To Date?

This piece by Claudia Sahm is about two weeks old. The perspective is still worth reading. The economy is still be pulled one way or another as Tr__p plays he tariff games up and down and who makes deals and who does not. That is enough to create uncertainty in the market. “There are factors […]

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Producer prices for July (apparently) show the first significant negative effects of Tariff-palooza!

– by New Deal democrat Normally I don’t pay too much attention to producer prices, but occasionally they are very important – and today is one of those days.  Here’s why. In the past, as shown in this graph going back over 50 years: when producer prices outstrip consumer prices, that means producers aren’t able to […]

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You know they’re feeble

Exhibit A. The emperor grovels for the Nobel Prize (per The Guardian): “Donald Trump cold-called Norway’s finance minister last month to ask about a nomination for the Nobel peace prize, Norwegian press reported on Thursday.” Exhibit B. Bondi levies felony charges for a guy who threw a sandwich at a federal agent. So the law-and-order […]

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Leaving the Knife at Home

It is about time, citizens and Democrats confront Trump and push back on him and his administration. Look at these guys masked and wandering around normal citizens These are not criminals they are going to confront. These are citizens who might even be their neighbors. It is no different than the late sixties and early […]

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Improving Social Security Options

Dean Baker: Don’t Buy the Scare About Social Security. “The increase in spending on Social Security from 2033 to 2034 (measured as a share of GDP) is 0.03 percentage points. That would be less than 1.0 percent of the Pentagon’s budget. This is the extent of the increased economic burden in the year the trust […]

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Trump and the Homeless

Trump’s takeover of law enforcement in the District of Columbia, his mobilization of the National Guard and his deployment of other Federal law enforcement personnel to combat the falling crime in the District, has had a lot of talking heads pondering his real motivation. All agree that while he is claiming an emergency exists with […]

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Initial and continuing claims continue to trend in opposite directions

 – by New Deal democrat Obviously this morning’s PPI number was the most important report of the day. I want to get to that later, but first let’s update the jobless claims situation. The good numbers in initial claims continued, as they declined -3,000 to 224,000. The four week moving average increased 750 to 221,750. But […]

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Cost Increases for the ACA Plans

Andrew Sprung is my go to guy when I need more information, I know Maggie Mahar would use him too. What you are going to read about is the impact come EOY 2025 or 2026 once the subsidies are eliminated from the Biden presidency. It will become much hard for the a family of 4 […]

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Hackification

by Paul Krugman Paul Krugman on E.J. Antoni taking over BLS if appointed by Pres, Trump. “there’s a good chance that Antoni will, in fact, take over the BLS. And the result will be the total destruction of one of the world’s greatest statistical agencies.” On Monday I wrote about Donald Trump’s disastrous press conference touting the […]

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EV proliferation

Teslas are pretty popular here in Rhode Island. While that appears virtuous, it’s important to recall that 95% of Rhode Island electricity comes from natural gas, so those Teslas are running on fossil fuel. EVs are proliferating all over the planet: “Ann Arbor (Informed Comment) – Car News China reports that in the first half […]

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Trump’s Economy Redux

My little post on the warnings by Paul Krugman and others that the US economy might be entering a period of stagflation, was prompted by my experience as young man who finished his education, started in his career and got married in the 1970’s when “stagflation” was the buzz word and politicians kept pointing fingers […]

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Shelter, tariffs, and “just-so” inflation indexes

 – by New Deal democrat In my note yesterday about the July CPI, I noted the transition from the trend where overall inflation ex-shelter was low, and shelter was high but disinflating, to a trend where inflation ex-shelter while still low was increasing, as shelter contributed the most to disinflation. The question was, and will be […]

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Crime Rates in D.C. More Presidential B.S.

Washington D. C. Mayor Muriel Bowser: “While this action today is unsettling and unprecedented, I can’t say that given some of the rhetoric of the past, that we’re totally surprised. I can say to D.C. residents that we will continue to operate our government in a way that makes you proud.” Fact checking Tr__P’s claim […]

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The consumer inflation transition continues, as shelter prices decelerate further, and other sectors show some re-acceleration

 – by New Deal democrat The story of this month’s CPI report is summed up in the first few graphs below: the shelter portion of the index continues its slow deceleration, while the non-shelter portion of the index appears to be in a slowly rising trend. This has resulted in headline inflation trending ever so […]

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