Recent comments

  • Wasn't that a great picture of Allen and Gates. Just a couple of exceptionally bright people who took the big risk. As you pointed out to me originally, when a decent health insurance plan comes close to the individual media income, we're in serious trouble.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
  • You have this nailed down: "Health care cost, energy cost, and wars, will eventually bankrupt John Q. Public." We are well on our way. There are rational solutions to each of these problems but rationality depends on good will. Our leaders would rather pose and profit than study, plan and implement. The good news is that this is a problem of the very few who control finances. Once the public has the will to do something about that, we're going to do things people never thought would get done.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
  • It's because I pour over BEA and Census data every day, plus watch the China deals, write them up, read the reports. Obama has so many offshore outsourcers in his administration and it's clearly showing up in policy agenda. To me, it's like I am in a time warp. Now that financial reform is dead, it's just returned to the same ole garbage that destroys the economy as it has the last 20 years. At this point, there are few economists in denial over China and that's because the statistics, data is brazen, you'd have to really be drinking and not take econ 101 to see it. Yet, this administration, just like Bush, refuses to do anything about it. Instead, we're heading straight to the same corporate agenda of the Bush administration, which was the agenda of the Clinton administration.

    You just wrote up some of the seeds (missed a little Nixon in there) where the real innovation this country needs is to get economic policy, trade policy based on actual statistical results and the theory, not manipulated, the real theory, with the most important element being the U.S. worker, the U.S. middle class.

    It's just incredible, 50% make less than 26k a year, 50 million people at official poverty levels (which are way below real poverty), people losing any retirement, getting fired like disposable diapers....

    this has been going on for over 3 years and it's critical, a crisis and instead we get more of the same.

    It's infuriating and maybe this site should advertise blood pressure medication because it's going to be a real blow out when this FCIC report comes out Thurs which shows financial Armageddon could have been easily avoided.

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • also settled for $14/hr to start at skilled manufacturing, and sure didn't get bailed out along with GM. So, I really don't know what they are smokin', if you look at the overall agreement it's not going to do that much for them and most unions are opposed.

    Forgetting organized labor, from a pure macro view, it is projected to lose more jobs.

    I think more to the point is to really analyze these. I've already written many posts some some credible data, and there is so much spin, including the White house, hardly ever the facts get out there on trade, the data.

    On income, sure, but maybe we need to look a this more for I did a median, wage wage and really above about 500,000 I think a strong case could be made the income tax code is regressive.

    It's "progressive" up to that point, or lower if you will, but when 50% of Americans made below 26k, how progressive is that really when the superrich are paying 15% and less?

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • No need to be hostile on the Korea thing; UAW at least is happy about it, so maybe they got fooled.

    The income tax is capturing less income, and it's less progressive than it used to be - but it's still on balance progressive, and it's one of the few progressive taxes we have, and makes a big difference in our tax system's profile.

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
  • Sorry but we've seen fictional numbers, that usually goes along with yet another bad trade agreement.

    Consider the source and esp. consider reading the actual agreement. I don't think it looks good on autos because I believe that's yet another JV,which is not real exports, although propagandists like to portray them as exports.

    Well, it's pretty clear the income tax is also becoming fairly regressive. then, this massive underground economy not being taxed is another truth.

    Any tax, whether it is income, sales, tariffs or corporate seemingly is never ending manipulated to take from the poor and give to the rich these days, as we just saw...

    what worries me more is we just saw pure lobbyist agenda on income taxes endorsed by the white house, so if any other tax comes up, no doubt it would be a corporate lobbyist pig fest.

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • At least in terms of autos, it seems to be ok.

    But look at the levels we're talking about: 22k jobs a year, compared to say, NAFTA.

    Regarding VAT, the difficulty with progressivism is counter-acting the "marginal propensity to consume." My preference is simply to rebate to consumers on the spot for the vast majority of purchases (anything under...$1k, $10k?) and to just accept that it won't be a huge revenue source (you'll still get some from manufacturers and the supply chain). What I've worried about in the past is folks like Matt Yglesias and Ezra Klein saying we should use a VAT to replace the income tax.

    The income tax is one of the most distinctive American economic policies, and one of the few things we can boast of internationally in inequality terms.

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
  • One must find out the nitty gritty. It is another offshore outsourcing deal.

    Scott ran the numbers and we're going to lose at least 160k jobs if it's signed.

    But yes, the real damage, as evident from the trade deficit monthly reports is China. It's 71% and over of the goods, non-oil trade deficit.

    On the VAT, I'm glad to see you're open to it as modifications. The only reason I'm interested in it is because it's legal under the WTO and can be used as a dynamic tariff per good/service de facto. Figuring out a way to make it progressive instead of regressive is a must, and if that could be done I think it's a good idea.

    But this attitude that people, labor is something to trade, disposable, that labor arbitrage is a grand idea....

    if one looks at the theory, the actual equations, people are not interchangeable, at least not and expect any good results.

    Instead, that's what we're getting, trading people instead of goods and final services.

    While one can clearly see how trade subtracts from overall economic growth, and Q4 GDP advance is released this Friday (see past GDP reports on EP), it affects more than that in reality. Things like investment, PCE are also affected. When people are stuck in jobs which cannot even make rent, obviously they don't have too much disposable income to consume.

    Oil, on the other hand is a real negative drag on the economy, much more than is realized and here come blasting oil prices once again.

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • I hope you're happy. ;)

    Reply to: Beyond Protection vs. Liberalization - Thinking Historically About Trade and Policy   13 years 9 months ago
  • I enjoy reading things that present objective subjects to debate but when I read such things that are easy to prove as propaganda.....well it makes me want to become an anarchist. Fight the machine which propaganda like this.

    "a self-employed person will pays an amount 50% to 70% of the nation's median personal income, $32,000 a year, for family health plan. This includes premiums, deductibles, and out of pocket expenses. "

    Only? Bet most people would jump at one quarter of that "only" hourly pay.

    "2) Doctor's pay. Sure, they may make $500,000 a year for key specialties, $150,000 a year for others on average.
    But even the former figure only encompasses $250/hour. "

    What??? You again find $2,000 an hour to be insignificant.

    "Consider the hourly cost of the surgeon in an open heart surgery: 10 hours? 5 hours? this $25000 or $12500 is an insignificant cost compared to the operation itself.

    In reality any hospitalization or visit to the OR has a doctor's fee component which is insignificant. The rest? The hospital's bureaucracy and other overhead costs."

    You seem to think that the very well paid, highly paid individuals in the system are insignificant? My friend the PA makes $125,000 a year and complained about the receptionist's pay of $21,000 a year. I know a guy working the ER shift that makes $225,000 a year (before benefits).

    Recently the newspaper wrote an article. The heating bill for one of our small hospitals (non profit) is $35,000 a month during the winter, $100,000 for the year. That is not small change. Takes quite a few insurance premiums to pay for the heating bill on just one hospital

    This business of medical care is expensive stuff and I get tired of people that don't look at things in a rational manner.

    I just went to a quote site and did a quote for my family -

    PPO Plan 7 - Optional RX and Maternity Available
    Plan Type Deductible Coinsurance Office Visit
    $2,500 20% $20

    Monthly premium $639.00

    $32,000 a year, for family health plan......pure propaganda!

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • I've been asking for months now how the new and improved health care system will work for me: single, female, small business owner, no children, never been sick (knock on wood) so no preexisting conditions, but sure as hell can't afford the cost of health insurance. The last time I worked for a company, and on a 'cafeteria benefits plan', I dropped my health insurance after 4 years with the company, as the rates increased 25% each year. I instead put that money into my IRA. So for the next 4 years, instead of buying health insurance with my cafeteria plan, I placed it into the IRA. And we see how that has worked out. The only solace I have is that instead of paying that money to the insurance industry, AND NOT GETTING SICK DURING THAT TIME, I was actually able to keep that money...at least until the time that I may get sick.

    I own my home and I'm seriously considering selling my property with lifetime rights. That way if I do get sick, they can't take what I've worked for all of these years, and I'll go to the emergency room. Either that or I will throw a brick through a post office window and let them put me in jail where I will receive health care.

    Lastly, I'm reminded each time I pay my 15.3% social security self employed tax, that someone out there is getting health care, but it sure ain't me.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • While there are certainly some doctors who seek to game the system for their own financial advantage, I disagree completely that this is the norm.

    Several key bits of evidence:

    1) There are 2 health insurance company employees for every doctor in America. These employees collectively provide zero health care - they are a bureaucracy which drives up costs. It isn't that these should all be removed, it is that there are clearly far too many.

    2) Doctor's pay. Sure, they may make $500,000 a year for key specialties, $150,000 a year for others on average.
    But even the former figure only encompasses $250/hour.

    Consider the hourly cost of the surgeon in an open heart surgery: 10 hours? 5 hours? this $25000 or $12500 is an insignificant cost compared to the operation itself.

    In reality any hospitalization or visit to the OR has a doctor's fee component which is insignificant. The rest? The hospital's bureaucracy and other overhead costs.

    It isn't that socialized medicine will fix everything; the Canadian model is equally flawed for a non-oil exporting nation.

    It is that there is no alternative: the government could very easily offer a 'safety net' for all individuals as it already has a gigantic health care cost administration sector (Medicare) and a huge health care delivery sector (VA hospitals).

    Furthermore while a government employee might not work that hard, might not be that motivated, etc etc - at the same time they could give a crap about squeezing profits via denying health care.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • They assuredly are screwing the individual or self-employed policy holders. What was the latest CA increase, 69% over a year in premiums?

    They are forcing people who could be starting businesses, generating jobs, working independently to get some crap job and stay there just over health insurance.

    It's starting to look increasingly insane to tie people's health and insurance to employers.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • I believe that most citizens see health care reform ( Obamacare ) as being less benefits and coverage, and more cost. The main villains in the medical professions remain doctors, hospitals, and clinics. In addition to the "hands-on-care" provided by medical personnel, pharmaceuticals are basically legalized thieves. Proper health care is a necessity, and therefore a perfect scenario for fraud, corruption, and price gouging. While some are quick to blame insurance companies for the high cost of health care, they fail to realize and understand that hospitals do not ask insurance companies if they can charge $5.00 for an aspirin, or if they can charge $900.00 a day for a tiny filthy hospital room.

    The health care industry, like many others, are very influential on the floors of Congress. It is doubtful that the medical professionals will fall into poverty, or be forced into bankruptcy by any legislation that might get through Congress. Remember we have a Lobbyists' controlled U.S. Congress. Votes on the floors of congress are bought and paid for by the corporate elite, the wealthy, the influential, and the powerful.

    Health care cost, energy cost, and wars, will eventually bankrupt John Q. Public. Affordable health care will not happen in the foreseeable future, and maybe not in my life-time. The economic deck is always stacked against John Q. Public.

    Reply to: Healthcare Reform - Abandoning the Self Employed   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • So you mean to tell me there are no Americans available for any of these 1,100,000 jobs? With a 16.7% (U6) and 9.4% (U3) unemployment rate " that really must be false.

    The excuses that employers provide don't make sense. Divide the 1.1 million jobs into low skill and high skill.

    1) Low skill - employers say "these are the jobs Americans won't do" (quote by George Bush II)
    - Is it plausible that no U.S. citizens applied for any of these jobs? Remember, these are low-skilled jobs, so any U.S. citizen would be qualified.

    2) High skill - employers say these are the "best and brightest", Americans cannot do these jobs.
    - I find it hard to believe that with all of unemployed STEM professionals, and the large number graduating from college each year, that there were no qualified U.S. citizens for these skilled positions..
    - Best and brightest? I say prove it. Show me their credentials. Show me how many jobs they've created. Show me their patents. Show me their years of experience. Show me their salary history (for surely, if they are the "best and brightest" they will be earning a top percentile salary). Now, show me the same set of data for U.S. citizens that have applied for these positions or that you've laid off in the past 10 years.

    In order to supress wages, benefits, and working conditions employers must have emloyment CHURN, which the blog author relates to when he says:

    "A nice age discrimination trick is to displace a mature worker with a younger one. Of course one must have a never ending supply of young labor in order to discard the older ones. "

    Reply to: Who Are Getting the Jobs? Immigrants   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • Warren Buffett’s concept to significantly reduce USA’s trade deficit.

    I’m a proponent of a proposal to reduce USA’s trade deficit of goods that was first introduced to the Senate in 2006. Trade deficits are always detrimental to a nation’s GDP. Trade deficit’s detriment to GDP exceeds the amount of the deficit itself and the GDP bolsters the median wage.

    I believe this simple concept is not simplistic and is worthy of consideration.

    The basic concept is for exporters who choose to pay the federal fees acquire transferable IMPORT Certificates for the assessed value of their goods leaving the USA. Importers would be required to surrender IMPORT Certificates for the assessed value of their goods entering the USA. Surrendered certificates are cancelled.

    This trade policy would decrease USA’s trade deficit of goods and increase the aggregate sum of USA’s imports plus exports. It can be drafted to be completely self funding. It would not require any additional federal spending, taxes or debt.

    The proposed version of this trade policy I advocate excludes scarce or rare minerals integral to the goods from their total assessed values. USA’s global net trade balance of such goods affect (in U.S. dollars) upon our GDP is a leverage factor in excess of two.

    Refer to: www.USA-Trade-Deficit.Blogspot.com and
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Import_Certificates
    Respectfully, Supposn

    Reply to: Get Ready for an Increased Trade Deficit   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • Krugman already summed it up, but what is actually said, versus economic statistical reality, I'll try to write up a post on it.

    One thing I'm noticing already is how we're getting the same bogus rhetoric of the Bush administration on job creation. Krugman really nailed it too.

    Reply to: Saturday Reads Around The Internets for January 22, 2011   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • Please cover the SOTU nonsense and tell me how G.E. is going to restore U.S. manufactuing [sic].

    Reply to: Saturday Reads Around The Internets for January 22, 2011   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • This is another post worth reading, from the WSJ blog. It shows people are living off of savings and pulling money out of their retirement accounts.

    That said, I went looking for where exactly this data came from, it has to be an older release and I believe it's Z1, but when I looking for the raw data to verify it, I couldn't find it.

    Not that I don't believe this is true, I'm sure it is, but I wish these people would cite specific sources, not just "BEA" or "Federal Reserve". There is a lot of data and statistical releases from government organizations, so, which one?

    It also goes to Q3 and I really did go digging around, a good 2 hours and I couldn't figure out how he arrived at this figure...

    Anybody know how he did, please share with the rest of the class.

    One scary chart.

    Reply to: Saturday Reads Around The Internets for January 22, 2011   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:
  • Ah, using Drupal as a site base, making modifications which in turn brings out a slew of lurking code bugs.

    I'm afraid the thumbs are dead for now. Can people let me know if this new voting widget on comments is viewable and useable?

    There were MAJOR code bugs with the thumbs that appears with site permission changes so surprise, surprise, there were also major code bugs with the promote/demote to the front page arrows next to the article.

    So now I think I have squished the bug there and am using that piece of code to rate comments.

    You probably don't care about any of this, but I just want to know if it's all working for you and you can rate comments.

    All of this going into a database and I want to create a "featured comment du jour" section later, so we can highlight some of the juiciest comments and insights more.

    The important thing is what happens behind the scenes....I might be able to bring back the thumbs later, but more what's important for now is how the code works and isn't full of BUGS.

    Jesus. Drupal has a lot of code contributed by 3rd parties who of course are labor arbitraged for their efforts....

    so, very often when adding features, instead one ends up debugging software instead.

    Reply to: Some Changes to The Economic Populist   13 years 9 months ago
    EPer:

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