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  • midtowng is getting depressed about this too. I imagine all of America is at this point.....so here we go, Dems sold out American down the river to corporate lobbyists' agendas....so....wala, they all vote GOP who....sell America down the river per the demands of corporate lobbyists.

    Swing state? Ha ha. The same corporate lobbyists keep their seats no matter what the country thinks.

    I get this terrible feeling that we ain't seen nothin' yet on an implosion for these corporate lobbyists destroying the country. I used to not think that, but today I'm a little on that 2012 viewpoint.

    The only good news is the Sunday Morning Comics will be titled "Palin FreeZone Edition".

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Did you know China has universal health care? I thought I mentioned that because there is another thing that U.S. businesses trying to compete with China are up against.

    The only reason we don't have some form of single payer coverage is because congress and White House are bought and paid for by big pharma and private health insurance industry.

    There is NO good reason to preserve the employer sponsored health care system we have today.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
  • and bitch slap Bill Clinton (btw, notice how it never is mentioned by pundits that perhaps the reason Clinton lost the House and Senate in the GOP 1994 takeover was not due to Hillary care, but due to his signing of NAFTA?)

    Well, why not blame China? Yes, they sure are doing capitalism better than anyone else and this is kind of interesting. Their economic strategy team is loaded with engineers.

    Anyway, I think the "blame" thing is we're really saying the same thing, which is U.S. D.C. get moving and DO SOMETHING about China right NOW.

    Did you see this commission report recommending a U.S. VAT? I was kind of surprised by that. I "defended" a VAT just for this reason about 8 months ago.

    Maybe I need to put up some animated game or gif or something that says "bitch slap Bill Clinton for the China trade agreement" in the columns. ;)

    Looks like they are going to ram through "health care" and a few economists I think are credible are saying it's another huge hand out to big Pharma and the health insurance industry and is going to hit us ....surprise, surprise, in our pocket books and deficit. It's so depressing I don't even want to look. My God, they could have reduced costs by half, increased quality to the EU level easily if they were not so bought and paid for.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • We knew that China was an authoritarian government with a centralized economy. What policy makers wanted for them and their multi-national corporation benefactors was a place for cheap labor.

    And even look at the past 16 years where China was allowed to dump products at will into U.S. destroying U.S. industries w/out consequences. Who's to blame for that?

    China is doing capitalism much better than we are. Is it fair? Hell no but that is the engagement with China that we instigated and China is taking advantage of it 100%.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
  • Look, I am not for a minute unsympathetic to the folks who run our schools, keep our streets safe, and collect our garbage! But recent memory is of rising property taxes, and when we had the temerity to ask why, we were told that we could sell that hovel we bought for 85K some years earlier for half a million bucks. Yes, and we could always sleep under a bridge. If Moral Hazard has any meaning, our municipalities had a bad case of it -- encourage develooment, do "comparability" salary surveys so they could give themselves raises, and buy all kinds of cool new stuff. It felt like the house we thought we owned was actuially rented from the city and the county. Now the tide is going out and local governments have to manage (a new experience for some of them), and if my mortgage is under water, at least the municipal taxing authority is sharing the pain.
    Which gets us to the point of what to do, or rather what not to do. Sell off the water and sewer systems? We paid for those things -- sell them off and you just get a one-time windfall and utility bills go up. So you kick the can down the road -- and our children pay the deferred costs. And, oh yes, the county and city will embed a "utilities tax" in the bill so we aren't really any better off, we've just managed to hide another tax.
    Yes, states and localities are in a hell of a mess. And we have to solve the mess. But let's not opt for quick fixes that conceal the real cause of the problem -- political opportunism and an appetitte for a political rree lunch.
    Frank T.

    Reply to: City of San Diego approaching bankruptcy   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • I don't get why you guys are going off on this.

    Of course China is to blame. They are manipulating their currency, manipulating their VAT tax almost daily, have strong restrictions, requirements of foreign companies operating in China and prop up our debt which creates super cheap money to buy their products.

    What is not to blame?

    If you're trying to say D.C. is the ones who let all of this happen, of course this is true...

    but you've got a country who is literally putting thousands of spies for industrial espionage in our universities and companies....

    Of course the U.S. doesn't lift a finger to stop this.

    So, if you're trying to say the U.S. is the real culprit because they signed onto this in the first place, the ultimate being the China PNTR agreement then that answer is yes and it's D.C. fault because they refuse to do anything about this myrmid of activities by China, of course D.C. is to blame...

    but D.C. does not control the RMB and it's peg. They can enact policies, even tariffs to deal with this peg and I think they should, just simply do an across the board tariff equal to whatever the real RMB value should be.

    But trying to imply China doesn't have a major responsibility in this mess I think is a mistake.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • and on top of it, it looks like we're going to get a health care "Reform" bill that is a pig fest to the health insurance industry and big pharma and additionally...what a surprise, stickin' it to the American people.

    So, this is driving me nuts. We cannot get sane, simple, prudent, common sense management and policy. Can't seem to get it from the local, state or federal levels.

    What's the answer here? Let the entire thing implode?

    Reply to: City of San Diego approaching bankruptcy   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Particularly those municipalities that rely heavily on real property taxes and this could be a problem that gets a lot worse in years to come.

    Most real property tax is calculated based on an assessed value - not necessarily fair market value - and the assessed value is typically is lower than FMV. Plus with decline in FMV more people will file appeals for their assessed values because decrease in FMV. Lower assessed values will mean lower real property tax revenue for a while and if sales don't pick up there goes another source of revenue for municipalities.

    Chicago is considering selling one airport and its water & sewer system.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: City of San Diego approaching bankruptcy   14 years 11 months ago
  • a 'free trade' (let alone a 'fair trade') partner. And yes, the problem is in Washington.

    I have argued (as well as others here) that neo-liberal policies that have dominated our economic policies in Washington are the cause of the predicament we face today. And unfortunately for us these neo-liberal policies are influencing the current administration.

    As I said in a previous thread, don't give us this bullsh*t about budget deficits and mounting federal debt until completely withdraw from Iraq and Afghanistan.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
  • Yes the U.S. gave away our economy to China by refusing to act. The Bush administration did pretty much nothing. Clinton push for and signed the China PNTR. So, yes action needs to come from D.C. but I think the first step to action is to cut through the denial. If people realize what China is doing and how bad it is of a problem for the U.S. economy, never mind the U.S. worker, maybe they will demand more action. It's bad enough one of the campaign promises was to get China to float their currency and of course that campaign promise was broken.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Beijing not the problem – rather Washington

    Reciprocal trade polices between countries cannot be ignored and are subject treaty and other international contract negotiations. If the US is at a disadvantage visa vis China or any other country, then it is a function of our economic policy makers. Disadvantage trade relations are not ‘acts of god or nature! They are the results of conscious decision-making.

    We need more specific historic data about who decided what and when, if we are going to understand were we are and what to do. For example, we know virtually (literally) nothing about what Obama and his advisers agree to in China last week. All we can do is wait and reap the whirlwind.

    When Nixon went to China the media coverage was phenomenal; but all fluff. About a week or two after he returned, the Wall Street Journal printed a small paragraph in the middle of the paper: “David Rockefeller chairman of Chase Manhattan Bank flew into China on his private jet plane.” To my mind, Nixon behind closed doors made agreements, which were then executed by Rockefeller. I can’t help but wonder who is going to go to China (metaphorically speaking) next week and how it will impact our economy?

    Robert and Rebel refer to “China with their export driven world economic domination agenda”. Well shouldn’t we be considering the US ‘military driven world domination agenda’ and the economic implications of it? In all the talk about economics in the past year by politicians, academics, media and prominent bloggers, there has been virtually no analysis of our military expenditures and polices, and the implications they have for the economy. There has been some ‘whining’ about it by liberal bloggers, but little if any anecdotal analysis.

    Where are the charts showing the correlates of military budgets and the civilian economy? I once did a ‘back of the envelope’ calculation indicating that a day in Iraq was equal to all the student loans outstanding. Seemingly, we could have a free university system for a fraction of one war. And, yesterday students in New York and California are protesting 35% increases in tuition on top of tuition that already can’t afford, and no jobs after they graduate ‘to boot’.

    I say forget about blaming China. Let’s clean up our own act. In short, our problem is not in Beijing it’s in Washington.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Over on HuffPo.

    I completely agree with this and if anything stinks to high heaven, it's that "certain players" made the biggest profits ever during bail outs.

    There really needs to be an investigation with penalties.

    Learsy mentions a PIMCO deal where they made the biggest payout ever when Fannie/Freddie were rescued as well as AIG and how GS was involved in the meeting to bail out AIG.

    It stinks to high heaven and it's nice to read someone else demanding an investigation.

    Reply to: SIGTARP on AIG   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • But to me, the technicals, and I'm writing 'em up and looking at them, didn't add up and they went cherry pickin'.

    Like the entire slope on the jobs thing. I know on this score we pointed out over and over, so what the slope has improved from an Armageddon clive dive...they are still massive, ain't gonna get a V out of that puppy.

    But it still doesn't make much sense to me, hunting in spread sheets for happy talk....
    because I know NDD at least is very aware there are structural problems with the U.S. economy and have been for some time...i.e. chickens coming home, roosting, laying big fat eggs on us.

    So...

    On Stimulus spending, they've only paid out 22% of it, so there is more to come. But will just "spending money" claiming that's going to correlate to some GDP growth happen?

    As Rebel notes, here comes China with their export driven world economic domination agenda....that's going to pull down GDP, no jobs has to be pulling down GDP, consumer spending, hey man, we ain't got any $$!!!!

    So, and considering we have this report on how screwed up any reports are, who really knows what's the next 78%? Where it's going?

    We know in terms of infrastructure jobs it's going overseas, being offshore outsourced.

    oh great!

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Amazing. The leakage continues. Even with lower dollar we can't get positive net exports. This shows how powerful China's currency peg truly is - in my opinion.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
  • I told NDD months ago that he was ignoring the fundamentals, thus his comparisons to other recent recessions was flawed.
    I wonder if he's bothered to take into account that the manufacturing numbers were also influenced by the cash4klunkers?

    The government stimulus spending has peaked. Q3 is going to be revised lower. Technicians like NDD and Bonddad are missing the big picture: the credit-based economy is broken and will never come back as long as the massive amounts of debt in our society aren't defaulted on.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • You realize NDD used to post here, proclaimed us Doom & Gloom and moved over the Bonddad's blog at which point we got the "V" recovery and "V" jobs recovery posts which most of us here believe are off the mark.

    So, maybe NDD has returned to planet Earth, reality is sinking in and he will return to writing those great posts which I frankly miss.

    I don't know what happened really. Maybe he just got so sick of the depressing news, it affected him and he went on some joy ride searching high and low for something positive.

    It is very depressing and knowing that our lovely policy makers and government have directly caused this, it did not have to happen at all, is even more depressing.

    It's probably even the emotional bomb for all of those who worked, volunteered to get Obama elected thinking they would get some real change...

    Seriously. Else, I cannot explain that cherry pick hunt by not just NDD, but Bonddad, trying to claim that recovery is around the corner.

    Maybe the ghost of Hoover took over their brains for awhile and they were possessed.

    :) But if he's returning to planet Earth it would be nice to see some of his older style, feet firmly planted in the ground type of writings.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • The big Four (Gov. Sachs, JP, Wells & BofA) need a place to park their profits from their trading desks. My guess is they inflated this phony market long enough to rope in the retail investor. Now they are setting up to "turn off the lights"! Goodnight!

    Reply to: Investors expecting the worst   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • New Deal Dem. ‘Blinks’ – oh…ooh!

    I’m never sure if I understand the substance of New Deal Democrat. His data is massive and, to my mind, esoteric. But, there is never any doubt about his conclusions. Metaphorically he is the quintessential ‘Green Shooter’.

    He buries you in positive correlates of previous recession ending growth; he ignorers negative correlates which he thinks is the stuff of ‘doom and gloom’ analyst; and he never deals with macro questions like what industries are going to lead us back to ‘full employment?’

    Well today all that changed. And call me ‘chicken little’ if you will. But, now I think the economic sky is really falling.

    He writes:

    “John Maynard Keynes famously justified a change in opinion by saying, "When the facts change, I change my opinion. What do you do?" Well, a critical fact in my analysis has changed.

    "Three indicators -- ISM manufacturing, Initial Jobless Claims, and Industrial Production -- are now at levels typically associated with actual job growth in previous recoveries. All three of these series exceed their growth in the two "jobless recoveries" of 1992-3 and 2002-3.

    "The "Holy Grail," however, Real retail sales, is only trending sideways or slightly higher albeit for unique reasons (cash for clunkers). The substantial downward revisions in real retail sales in August and September call into question when the overall jobs number will turn.”

    I respect him for ‘facing facts’. Indeed, I respect him for the magnitude of his research. However, it seems to me that he never accepted what I believe is an unequivocal correlate of retail sales, growth and jobs – CREDIT. The credit bubble of recent decades created demand and therefore jobs. Today, people are tapped out. No jobs or jobs with marginal income, no credit cards and no home equity loans.

    I think, VERY subjectively, that NDD “could not see the trees through the forest.” He is so steeped in the minutia of the data that he missed the economic ‘big picture’ – i.e. the role of the credit bubble in previous post recession growth.

    New post WW II economic theory, it seems to me, has to consider: Is it possible to grow an economy without a credit bubble? Empirically, are there any paradigmatic examples of economies growing without a credit bubble; e.g. China?

    Robert Oak may be correct that we are victims of China’s protectionism. I can’t say because the economics is beyond me. But, while we confront, we may want to learn. China’s success, I don’t think, is solely the result of ‘taking advantage.’ But, I think (what is unthinkable in our culture) the most important line in Robert’s post is:

    “China’s economic reforms were not based on traditional free market principles. China’s policy during the past 30 years has instead relied on a government-directed industrial policy to promote certain segments of the economy over others and to bolster export-led growth.’

    I think we are at an historic cross roads: can a ‘market economy’ compete with a ‘government directed economy’? We think we won the cold war because our market economy is superior to a planned economy. We ignore all the other variables that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union. We missed the fact that while the Soviet Union was collapsing China was growing. And, we still don’t understand why. China was growing before it was in a position to cause US economic troubles. I think protectionism is one variable, but complex economies are multi-variable phenomena. We need to look at all of them if we are going to understand such economies.

    This in no way is a challenge to Robert's very interesting and informative post. Rather, a tangental thought stimulated by the post.

    Reply to: China - The Ultimate Protectionist   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • it will have to happen in Congress because WH isn't going to lead on this. Boldness isn't their nature.

    Amazing, think of all the lasting institutions that were created as a result of the last Great Depression and compare to what we have today - NOTHING. I know we are living in much different times but at least there was leadership in the White House - what we are getting is some post partisan bullsh*t that wants to pacify Wall Street.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: GAO report on Stimulus   14 years 11 months ago
  • It would be interesting to see a full bore blog post overviewing those programs, their effectiveness, their costs, their wastefulness.

    We haven't really looked that much at LBJ and frankly in my head, I have it all categorized as "wasteful social engineering" based on political payback sort of programs, which I am sure if false.

    Vietnam covers up a lot of what LBJ was really up to, so maybe an objective light into all of it, with stats might be worthwhile.

    My issue with US programs like this is they don't model countries like Finland, Sweden, France and so on, who seem to put together programs that make way more sense, are way more efficient overall in terms of outlays vs. results.

    But, that said, let's go see what LBJ put into place, for his administration is in many ways a tragedy. Vietnam overshadowed all other activities.

    Reply to: GAO report on Stimulus   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:

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