Recent comments

  • Annual percent change in jobs since 1980

     

     

    It is pretty obvious what is happening.  We are bleeding jobs as Fritz Hollins said but it's also putting downward pressure on wages because we have a lot more people scrambling for a lot fewer jobs.  Remember when we were told massive tax cuts would create jobs - you know - trickle down economics.

    We have serious structural issues.

     

     

     

     

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

     

    Reply to: Q3 GDP revised down from 3.5% to 2.8%   14 years 11 months ago
  • then ever that we have some very serious long-term employment issues. We need to decide what we are going to do for the long-term. It will require dramatic changes to the structure of our economy (ie. 70% consumer spending).

    Look at job growth pre-crisis. It was meager to non-existent and the same for wage growth. These are serious structural problems.

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: Q3 GDP revised down from 3.5% to 2.8%   14 years 11 months ago
  • This is one of the most hated taxes because it is based on a hypothetical. If you bought your house in 1970 for $25,000, and you are living on Social Security and a small amount of savings, you may be doubly screwed. On your savings, you get almost zero. But the county thinks you are rich because you could now get half a mil for your barely adequate house and go live under a bridge. So we paid off our mortgage and now we are renting our house from the county. It makes sense.
    Frank T.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Have you noticed also the obvious is not talked about in main stream media econ or politics?

    That being the trade deficit and my favorite, global labor arbitrage (outsourcing, wage repression, worker displacement).

    I wish Fritz Hollings had not retired from the Senate because he's one hell of a realistic voice from what I'm reading.

    While we need a direct jobs program, once again, this isn't being even mentioned!

    It's like filling a bucket full of holes, not dealing with these global arbitrage effects....

    I don't feel real good about railing on this in the Stimulus, but it might be time to take a detailed analysis on implementation to see just how much U.S. taxpayer money went to stimulate the jobs in other countries.

    Reply to: Q3 GDP revised down from 3.5% to 2.8%   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • And this despite a devalued dollar - can you say currency peg!

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

    Reply to: Q3 GDP revised down from 3.5% to 2.8%   14 years 11 months ago
  • with investors pouring in funds due to their cheap labor, lower PPP like Brazil. We only have one way to go, down.

    How much is long? 10 years, 20 years, 100 years?

    But your question is a good one, maybe I'll write up a post on it with some detailed analysis. I don't know the answer to that at the moment, but a good post would be "scenarios if the U.S. lost reserve currency status".

    I'd say with the debt levels as they are it would be extremely bad at the moment. All borrowing costs would dramatically increase and we're already paying enormous interest on the U.S. debt.

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • LOL

    The only reason I left that comment through was because you were going to the top of reddit.

    If you see those "share" buttons, you can submit posts to other sites and reddit is a good one. Somebody submitted your post to reddit and it is getting a lot of reads.

    but I can try to find something more appropriate for anonymous comments.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • we rename Anonymous Drive-by so that it reads Unknown Coward?

    Seriously.

    If you want to have a discussion, try posting actual text instead of hyperlinking to a hit piece that basically suggests that because this study was produced by people with whom you disagree that it's somehow wrong. That did nothing but prove that you don't have a real argument to make.

    If you want to have a discussion, try identifying some sort of methodological or conceptual error in the study.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
  • said.

    Property taxes have a place, but I think that the greatest problem now is that they are used to fund K-12 education. I think that funding should be transferred to the state, and that the economies of scale that come from centralized purchasing and the like should be taken advantage of.

    By removing the cost of K-12 education from property tax rolls, you could cut the amount of revenue that must be raised substantially.

    The second item would be to make any and all specific tax abatements (like for Walmart, or other big box stores) subject to popular approval in the taxing district. That is if it's a county tax, make the people seeking an abatement collect signed statements agreeing to the abatement from 75% of registered voters in the district.

    Third, we need to expand homestead and "shelter" credits that exempt a portion of the value of a home from taxation.
    Set it at 50% of the median value of home in the metro area (or county, whichever is larger), and voila the tax burden for people living in modest homes drops like a stone.

    Finally, perhaps rental property owners should be given a choice. Have the value of property taxed as usual, or have rent subject to a profit tax, and comply with voluntary standards designed to make sure that rental properties are energy efficient and sanitary. That would eliminate alot of the blowback of property taxes on renters.

    Sorry not to respond to your sooner, but I was busy.

    Please consider signing up for Economic Populist. It's simple, to the right hand side of the screen.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
  • It is your local county Tax Mafia that is dangerous.

    They can take your home for not paying them their yearly tribute.

    They demand your money whether they even need it or not. Your tax bill is not based on the need of the county, but on what they determine is the taxable value of your home. If the county coffers are overflowing and you are sick, broke, and unemployed, the county still demands you pay them money you dont have, money they dont need. This is just one of the many injustices of the property tax system.

    I know of several cases where people who have payed off the mortgage, yet are unemployed or partially employed, are required to pay 50 percent or more of their income to the County Tax Mafia. Of course, many cant pay. So interest and penalties are added to their tax bill.

    The County Tax Mafia must get their pound of flesh. No matter how unjust it is.

    They are our "public servants" dont ya know?

    They have runaway spending to continue, lavish benefits to pay to themselves,. Their lavish pensions are in jeopardy with this downturn in the economy. Double dipping, retiring for a month then returning to work with full salary while being paid an additional pension check on payday, doenst go as far as it used to.

    The property tax payer who is crippled by these hard times must pay his "public servants" no matter how hard his personal circumstances are, while his public servants whine about trimming back their benefits and even laying off workers.

    The property tax system needs to be reformed so that there is a provision for an income based property tax in hard times.

    Property taxes are the most unjust taxes of them all.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • I did not say I was against reserve currency status.

    I said that it is not obvious that if the US lost reserve status that it would, in the long run, necessarily constitute any profound negative economic consequences. It is a fact that we see countries like China, India, Brazil, etc. that are vigorously growing without having a reserve currency status.

    You say that there is a problem with China ‘pegging’ its currency and having negative consequences for the US. So there you have it. Evidence that whatever advantage reserve status has can be circumvented by an economy without reserve status, and that reserve status is not a necessary condition for a robust growing economy.

    Also, the US economy is virtually on Federal gov’t life supports – it’s falling apart. So again more evidence that reserves status is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition for a growing economy.

    So again, the question is:

    Why would it not be possible the US to be a vigorous growing economy if it lost its reserve currency status – in the long run?

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • Ah!!! I found what I was looking for. Somtimes it takes so much effort to find even tiny useful piece of information.

    Reply to: Existing Home Sales - up 10.1% for October 2009   14 years 11 months ago
  • Might put in there % of GDP and I believe Ralph Gomory, if I can dig that out, it might be in one of his talks, or someone has shown that manufacturing also spawns quite a bit of advanced R&D, so it has affects in other sectors not quite counted as manufacturing.

    Reply to: U.S. policy for the last 50 years is to get rid of jobs   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • This a graph of Durable Goods Manufacturing Employment (gross):

     

    Here is the annual percent change:

     

    Do you notice a downward trend?

     

     

     

     

    RebelCapitalist.com - Financial Information for the Rest of Us.

     

    Reply to: U.S. policy for the last 50 years is to get rid of jobs   14 years 11 months ago
  • The problem with China is Chinese currency, not U.S. currency. They peg, that means they do not let it change, to the dollar, all for the purposes of having an unfair trade advantage.

    Think of Argentina, Thailand, S. Korea and think about a currency collapse and then the U.S. not being a reserve currency.

    We'd be in a much worse mess today.

    I suggest reading about reserve currency and what kind of global advantages it gives.

    I have no idea why you would be against it...

    after all, China is trying to get the U.S. dollar removed as the world's currency at which point we're in huge trouble.

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • You have also often written that China has an unfair currency advantage and it is having a very bad impact on our economy. So it seems that while being a reserve currency economy brings some advantages, it’s no panacea.

    So again, reasoning a priori, if many countries have efficient economies without being reserve currency economies, then why couldn’t the US be an efficient economy after losing reserve currency status?

    Also, a priori, if having reserve currency status provides economic advantage, why are we in the mess we are in today? And, China seemingly is doing relative well. Again, these are not rhetorical questions. They point to what appears to a real contradiction in the theory of relative advantage of reserve currency status.

    There may be, as you suggest, short-term pain associated with the transition out of reserve currency status, but I am talking long term and theory.

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • The graphs minimizes the damage done by property taxes to the working poor.

    Many working poor rent and at least a third of their rent can go to pay the landlord's property taxes. Probably more working poor rent than "own" their homes. This property tax burden is not shown in your stats.

    Plus, property taxes are taxes on a basic right of life, a place to live. A home can be bought and paid for with a lifetime of work except for the ever increasing property taxes which must be payed to the state,year after year, over and over again.

    Property taxes are the most regressive of all taxes for they totally ignore the income or the inability of the taxpayer to pay. Sales taxes which are also regressive have exemptions for food and prescription meds in most places, yet your home is held hostage with a yearly payment of property taxes to the state, regardless if you are sick, unemployed, or disabled.

    In todays economy, many of the working poor are no longer working. When they cant pay their property taxes, greedy vultures will descend on the tax auctions and buy their life's work for pennies on the dollar.

    Any true progressive who is concerned with economic justice and affordable housing should work to reform the property tax system so at least there is an income standard or a means test for homestead property taxes.

    This injustice has become especially acute with the real estate bubble running up property values and taxes and those taxes not falling back with the following crash in market values. Combine that with high unemployment and you have abusive property taxes that are grinding people down.

    Reply to: It's No ******* Wonder that State Governments Can't Pay Their Bills   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • I've been in gold since late 2007. I have made a good bit of money thus far, but I don't think the bubble is anywhere near popping. As you said, once Joe Blow is talking to me about buying gold, I'll be looking to get out. Until then, global central banks are ensuring that the path of least resistance for gold is up...

    Reply to: Golden Myths   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • debt would cost way more to service, the U.S. for oil, commodities a host of international purchases, esp. raw materials, commodities would pay much more, due to needing to exchange to a new reserve currency, we could not obtain as much in loans, set prices....

    Suddenly all of the other nations holding dollars...as a reserve currency might flood the market with them, for they no longer need them for international finance...

    I've written on this many times but there are huge financial advantages to being a reserve currency.

    It would possibly spiral the U.S. straight into the 3rd world economically.

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:
  • “Imagine what would happen if the U.S. dollar is no longer a reserve currency”.

    What would happen? I have no idea. Why would that be so terrible? This is not a rhetorical question. I really don’t know.
    China’s currency is not a reserve currency and they seem to be doing OK. All the economies in the world except the US have currencies that are not reserve and many of them are doing fine.

    So what’s up with the reserve thing?

    Reply to: The Never-ending Dollar Decline   14 years 11 months ago
    EPer:

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