Individual Economists

What To Know About The Push To 'Lock The Clock' On Daylight Saving Time

Zero Hedge -

What To Know About The Push To 'Lock The Clock' On Daylight Saving Time

Authored by Savannah Hulsey Pointer via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Most of the United States will “fall back” to standard time this Sunday, Nov. 2. The majority of Americans, however, just want the twice-yearly clock change to end.

The Old Town Clock is seen in Halifax on Nov. 3, 2017. The Canadian Press/Andrew Vaughan

There has been extensive debate about whether to stop this change, or “lock the clock,” but so far, no national change has been made.

Here’s what to know about the Daylight Saving Time debate.

What Is Daylight Saving Time?

Daylight Saving Time begins on the second Sunday in March every year, and clocks are set forward by one hour, an action often referred to as “spring forward.”

The hour is gained on the first Sunday in November when Daylight Saving Time ends, and the clocks are set back one hour to “fall back.”

This is observed nationwide, with some exceptions. They are: Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and most of Arizona. However, if Daylight Saving Time is observed, it is required to begin and end on the federally mandated dates. 

The practice of changing the clock twice a year has been observed since 1918, and was enacted through the Standard Time Act, which also created standard time zones.

Later, in 1966, the Uniform Time Act amended the practice to allow a state to exempt itself, or a part of itself that lies in a different time zone, from the observance of Daylight Saving Time, meaning they would have to lock their clocks on standard time. 

The rules for Daylight Saving Time changed in 2007 for the first time in over 20 years, and the amount of time for the change was lengthened in the interest of a reduction of energy consumption.

Daylight Saving Time was lengthened by about one month, now taking up 238 days, or around 65 percent, of the year.

State and National Legislation

The National Conference on State Legislatures reports that state legislatures have considered more than 750 bills and resolutions to establish year-round daylight saving time when it is allowed by federal law.

Almost every state in the union has considered some legislation in the last few years that would lock the clocks on either standard or daylight saving time. Currently, by federal law, states are not allowed to lock the clock on daylight saving time.

In the past seven years, 19 states have enacted legislation that would lock the clocks on daylight saving time—if Congress passes a law that would allow the change and if the surrounding states enact the same legislation.

Despite efforts year after year, a federal law to lock the clock on a fixed time hasn’t garnered enough support to pass Congress.

As of Oct. 28 of this year, the Senate failed to reach a consensus on the “Sunshine Protection Act,“ which would have made daylight saving time permanent, despite bipartisan support.

Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) took up the charge this year, sponsoring the act. He took to the Senate floor, asking for a quick passage, given the states’ reaction to the prospect of being given the right to choose which time they’d prefer to settle on.

This bill is about states’ rights,” Scott said. “It allows the people of each state to choose what best fits their needs and the needs of their families.”

In 2022, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) co-sponsored an identical bill, which passed the Senate but was never brought to a vote in the House.

President Donald Trump has been a strong supporter of a fixed, year-round time, as has Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who co-sponsored the 2022 legislation when he was a senator representing Florida.

What Americans Think Now

Polling from October of this year indicated that around 12 percent of adults in the United States favor the current bi-annual clock changing system.

The AP-NORC poll showed that 47 percent of Americans polled are opposed to the current plan, and about 40 percent are neutral.

However, age seems to have a strong impact on opinion, since 51 percent of young adults under the age of 30 were neutral.

When asked which they prefer, 56 percent of Americans would prefer daylight saving time year-round, with less light in the morning and more in the evening. Around 42 percent would rather have year-round standard time, with more light in the morning and less in the evening.

Of those who identified themselves as a “night person,” 61 percent preferred permanent daylight saving time, and 50 percent of those who identified themselves as a “morning person” preferred permanent standard time.

However, in the 1970s, when the United States attempted to switch to daylight saving time year-round, the planned two-year experiment was cut short after less than a year due to the public’s negative reaction.

Impact on Health

The American Academy of Sleep Medicine has taken up the position that “permanent standard time is the optimal choice for health and safety.”

According to the group, “the United States should eliminate seasonal time changes in favor of permanent standard time (ST), which aligns best with human circadian biology.”

The academy says that evidence supports the benefits of standard time.

During an April Commerce, Science, and Transportation hearing in the Senate, Dr. David Harkey, the president of the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, testified that adjusting the clock has shown “a strong relationship between increased darkness and fatal crashes, particularly for pedestrians and bicyclists.”

Additionally, Scott Yates, the founder of the Lock the Clock Movement, testified to negative repercussions attributed to the change, and cited a 2016 study by researchers at the University of Washington, which found that the day after the March daylight saving time change, referenced as “sleepy Monday,” was the harshest sentencing day of the entire year.

Judges, like all of us, have been jolted awake an hour earlier than their bodies have been expecting,“ Yates said. ”That one seemingly harmless government mandate, dialing our clocks back one hour, means some people receive harsher sentences than they otherwise would.”

Practicing sleep medicine physician Dr. Karen Johnson also testified, citing evidence of the negative health impacts of changing the clocks, including an increased risk of chronic disease, depression, and suicide.

The sun is one of the most powerful drivers of health and well-being, but the timing of sunlight is what’s critically important,” Johnson said.

Johnson strongly advocates for permanent standard time, saying that daylight saving time would deprive Americans of critical morning light and that while the spring clock change is bad, “permanent daylight saving time is worse.”

“Permanent daylight saving time does not make days longer, nor is it the reason why people feel better in the summer,” Johnson said.

“Instead, permanent daylight saving time is a hidden mandate to wake Americans up an hour earlier, rather than to their alarm clocks or the sun.

If we called it the ‘Go to Work an Hour Earlier Act,’ rather than the ‘Sunshine Protection Act,’ no one would be voting for it.”

Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 10:30

Update: Lumber Prices Down 3% YoY

Calculated Risk -

Here is another update on lumber prices.
SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023.  I switched to a physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022.  Unfortunately, this impacts long term price comparisons since the new contract was priced about 24% higher than the old random length contract for the period when both contracts were available.
This graph shows CME random length framing futures through August 2022 (blue), and the new physically-delivered Lumber Futures (LBR) contract starting in August 2022 (Red).
On October 31, 2025, LBR was at $539.50 per 1,000 board feet, down 3% from a year ago.
Lumber PricesClick on graph for larger image.

There is somewhat of a seasonal demand for lumber, and lumber prices frequently peak in the first half of the year.
The pickup in early 2018 was due to the Trump lumber tariffs in 2017.  There were huge increases during the pandemic due to a combination of supply constraints and a pickup in housing starts.  
Now, even with the tariffs, prices are down slightly year-over-year suggesting weak demand.

Here's Why Asian Americans Shifted Right

Zero Hedge -

Here's Why Asian Americans Shifted Right

Authored by Neetu Arnold via American Greatness,

The 2024 election season featured an unprecedented number of Asian Americans, from Vivek Ramaswamy’s rise in the Republican primary to soon-to-be second lady Usha Vance, to the Democratic candidate herself, Kamala Harris. Just a few years ago, this would have been a cause for celebration on the political left: Asian Americans have reliably voted for Democrats for decades. But the election results revealed that racial and ethnic minorities are not as loyal to the Democratic Party as previously believed. Much like Hispanics, Asian American voters made a major shift to the right.

Nationally, 2020 and 2024 exit polls from the Washington Post show a 9-point shift to the Republicans in the presidential race among Asian American voters relative to 2020. In some states, such as Nevada and Texas, the polls suggest that Trump won the Asian American vote outright. The NBC News exit poll found a 5-point shift to the right nationally among Asian Americans relative to 2020. And in their survey of Asian American voters prior to the election, Asian Americans Advancing Justice saw a 7-point shift away from the Democrats relative to 2020.

Exit polls are far from perfect measures of voting behavior, though. A spokesperson for APIAVote, a group that focuses on encouraging Asian American political engagement, pointed out when asked for comment that the exit polls may not be a “representative sample of the Asian American electorate.” For instance, the exit polls were not conducted in any Asian languages, which would preclude some Asian American voters with poor English skills from participating.

My analysis of precinct-level voting data in four major urban areas shows that the exit polls may actually be understating the degree to which Asian Americans shifted to the right. Using census data, I identified majority-Asian precincts in these areas and compared the Republican margin of victory (or loss) between the 2024 and 2020 elections. The results are much more stark: Majority-Asian precincts in New York City, for instance, saw a rightward shift of 31 percentage points. Precincts in Dallas and Fort Bend counties in Texas both saw rightward shifts between 17 and 20 points. And precincts in Chicago saw a 23-point shift to the right.

If the rightward shift among Asian American voters is real and significant, what is behind it?

When asked, neither APIAVote nor Asian Americans Advancing Justice were able to provide an explanation. But several Republican-leaning Asian American voters I spoke with were not surprised by the shift.

“I had so many [South] Asians, who are registered Democrats, let me know specifically that they voted for TRUMP this year,” South Asian Coalition Chairwoman for New Jersey’s Republican Party Priti Pandya-Patel said. “I believe most were always ‘closet Republicans’ and now they are starting to come out.”

The economy

The voters I spoke with repeatedly mentioned a few key reasons why they and others they knew voted for Trump this election. The first was a dissatisfaction with the Democrats’ handling of the economy, particularly inflation.

Many of us expressed discontent towards Biden’s energy policies that skyrocketed the costs of grocery prices and gas prices,” Nevada voter Lisa Noeth said. “Las Vegas specifically is like an island in the middle of the desert, the increase of fuel costs trickled down to the pockets of consumers at the grocery stores with goods being transported from California to Las Vegas.”

Rudy Pamintuan, chief of staff for Nevada’s lieutenant governor, said inflation was tough on Asian American entrepreneurs. “Many households had to take an extra part-time job to make ends meet.”

The data backs up Noeth and Pamintuan’s perceptions. John Yang, president and executive director of Asian Americans Advancing Justice, said economic-related concerns, healthcare, and housing costs were some of the top issues the organization found in its 2024 survey of Asian Americans. And a July AAPI Data survey indicated that Asian Americans thought Republicans had a slight edge on handling inflation over Democrats.

Public safety

While voters across all racial and ethnic lines felt the impacts of inflation, Asian Americans grew dissatisfied with poor Democratic leadership on crime and safety in major cities. As disorder grew after the pandemic, Asian Americans soured on Democrats as they watched their quality of life decrease. Asra Nomani, author of “Woke Army,” said many Asian Americans felt “unprotected amid rising violence and harassment.”

In New York City, a 2023 survey found substantial portions of Asian Americans adopted some kind of “avoidance behavior” to deal with crime – 48% avoided going out late at night, and 41% avoided taking public transportation. Meanwhile, Democrat-run city governments have taken more relaxed approach to handling crime, even spending thousands of dollars to protect criminals by humanizing them as “justice-impacted individuals.”

“You only understand what you signed up for after they [Democrats] win and you have to put up with crime and squalor,” Pennsylvania voter Teesta Dasgupta said.

Asian Americans increasingly oppose soft-on-crime policies. The majority of Asian Americans in California supported the passage of Proposition 36, which imposes harsher penalties for certain types of crimes. A disproportionate Asian American voter base also recalled former San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin, who infamously declined to prosecute the murder of an elderly Thai immigrant as a hate crime and instead chalked it up to a “temper tantrum” of the perpetrator.

‘Wrong side of brown’

Asian American voters also told me that they were turned off by the Democrats’ racial equity policies. The Democratic Party heavily leaned into racial equity following George Floyd’s death and the riots that followed in 2020. Democrats made bold promises to reduce racial disparities in economic and other outcomes, arguing that current racial disparities are the result of decades of systemic discrimination that must be addressed. However, race-conscious policies like affirmative action often ended up pitting Asian Americans against other minority groups. For many Asian Americans, they end up on the “wrong side of brown,” as Nomani puts it.

Noeth told me that Asian American parents were “fed up” with affirmative action policies in school admissions. Sue Ghosh Stricklett, a former Trump administration appointee, said the Harvard affirmative action case and the removal of merit-based admissions at Thomas Jefferson High School in Virginia both “ignited passionate activism” among Asian American parents. In Fairfax County, Virginia, Thomas Jefferson High School for Science and Technology changed its merit-based admissions policy in a bid to “decrease the representation of Asian Americans” in favor of other racial minorities.

“The injustice of being labeled as ‘privileged,’ ‘selfish,’ ‘cheaters,’ ‘overrepresented,’ ‘white adjacent,’ and ‘resource hoarders’ hurt very deeply,” Nomani, who is also a parent of a Thomas Jefferson graduate, said. It led to “political mobilization and a reconsideration of long-standing political loyalties.”

Is this a permanent shift?

According to the Asian Americans I spoke with, many factors will determine if the momentum remains.

Kenny Xu, author of “An Inconvenient Minority,” believes the growth to the right is limited.

“There is a definite ceiling in Asian American rightward support due to their highly educated demographics, and the tendency of highly educated people to vote Left.”

Dasgupta believes growth is dependent on messaging.

“If Dems move to the center, Asian Americans stay where they are right now but if the allegiance to gender ideology and soft on crime remains then they [Asian Americans] will move right.”

Pamintuan says engagement with Asian American voters “could make a difference between winning or losing” in tight races, particularly at the local level.

Time will tell if Asian Americans will fully shift right. But an alliance is emerging. And both Democrats and Republicans should pay attention.

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Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 09:20

Germany's High-Tech Agenda: Trapped In The Subsidy Loop

Zero Hedge -

Germany's High-Tech Agenda: Trapped In The Subsidy Loop

Submitted by Thomas Kolbe

Germany is falling behind in the economy’s future fields. Whether artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, biotech or quantum technology – the US and China are making the headlines. A high-tech agenda by the federal government is meant to close this gap.

On Wednesday, Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Research Minister Dorothee Bär presented the federal government’s high-tech agenda in Berlin. At the centre of the initiative is a state subsidy fund that is intended to kick-start pre-selected high-technology projects such as artificial intelligence in the future.

Of course — how could it be different — green projects, climate-neutral approaches in the fields of quantum technology, mobility and other so-called future fields are at the forefront of the political engagement.

Subsidy pot and governance

The technology fund is to make available up to €2 billion by 2029. “We want to close the technological gap to the US,” demanded Chancellor Merz — with more competition, less bureaucracy and technology-open processes, the Chancellor said.

That competition gap is by now so wide that international investors barely find Europe on their strategic map.

The tech initiative is accompanied, as always, by political buzzwords such as the necessary reduction of bureaucracy and fast approval procedures.

That sounds charming, it sounds citizen-friendly and above all it suggests an interest in the flourishing of the Mittelstand — a media evergreen.

But beneath the slick presentation paper lies the same old playbook: A problem has been identified, a tailor-made subsidy pot filled with fresh credit — always aligned with the political-ideological line of climate regulation. Understanding of market-economic dynamics, open markets or technology-neutrality? None.

Even Merz’s repeated lip service to competitiveness and free-market economy changes nothing: the federal government ignores the real capital market until Germany has finally disappeared from the international high-tech radar.

Competitiveness as a complex problem

Competitiveness of an economy is a tricky matter. Sometimes it’s skill shortages, sometimes lack of investment capital. Then again regulations, fiscal burdens or lack of access to resources weigh on firms’ performance. In Germany’s case, indeed each of those conditions seems to be fulfilled. 

Well-educated young Germans are leaving the country in droves. Foreign direct investment flows elsewhere. China threatens to turn off the resource tap — and from the Kafkaesque regulatory work, the overflowing bureaucracy and the ever-rising burdens on companies and employees we have reported regularly.

Germany would have to start very small as a provider of niche products in the competition environment. To put the problem in perspective: The gulf between Germany’s economy and the US in artificial intelligence and the booming data-centres is enormous.

This year alone, Microsoft is pumping $80 billion into its AI data-centres, Google follows with $75 billion, Meta with $65 billion. The entire sector in the US invests year after year well over a half-trillion dollars in its high-technology infrastructure — driven by the free-market process of a largely deregulated economy.

Here lies the secret of success. Europe’s political experiments — be it censorship or the threatened taxation of US digital platforms like recently demanded by Culture Minister Wolfram Weimar — will not change anything about the competitive situation of German firms.

Innovation does not emerge through political subsidy packages, regulation or fiscal harassment, but through massive, consistent investments by the private economy in free markets, which make high-tech a locational advantage.

Germany way behind

How far the German business location is lagging is shown by the example of Deutsche Telekom: Together with the US company NVIDIA it is “only” investing a billion euros in an AI data-centre in Munich. In contrast stands Intel, which simply rejected a €10 billion subsidy and decided against locating chip production in Magdeburg.

A case study of the real problems of the location: too high energy costs, crushing regulation, fiscally unattractive. Here it becomes clear that political subsidy packages alone cannot close the gap to the global frontrunners. They are rather counterproductive, because they politically-selectively weaken competition and tie up capital.

If one wants to be internationally competitive, one needs market-economic framework conditions that don’t deter companies, but attract them.

In the wrong company

The complaint from the economy across the land always sounds the same: The location lacks competitiveness massively. The criticism of the German corporations — because only here you still meet chancellor and ministers regularly in dialogue — at least seems to bear fruit in the diagnosis work. Both the Chancellor and Economy Minister Katherina Reiche stressed last week in unison the competitive gap that has opened up between the German economy and the leading locations — above all the US and China.

Too expensive, too over-regulated, too slow, concluded Friedrich Merz yesterday in his Berlin speech. It cannot go on like this. Administrative tasks, approval procedures, general bureaucratic processes must become leaner. Overall there must prevail a different competitive climate, said the Chancellor.

In principle with politics it’s always the same problem. It is of course more effective in the media to address the large industry. Here one bundles the forces of joint media work, known names, familiar faces. That sells well. The structural problems we see in the Mittelstand. Here are the problems that the grotesque regulatory work of Brussels and Berlin produce, felt day by day. 

Here it leads to distortions and significant burdens in the cost structure when an export business is encumbered by a supply-chain law or the European deforestation regulation. Big corporations have their own administration department and are in fact indirect beneficiaries of regulatory work, because they suppress annoying competition.

Politics on the wrong track

And so we experience the repeat of the always same: Shocked outrage at Germany’s economic weakness, full-blooded reform announcements to reassure the public, only to immediately return to business as usual and keep the course.

It cannot be denied that of the gaily announced initiative to reduce bureaucracy — which was meant to relieve the German economy up to €16 billion or 25 % of the bureaucratic burdens per year — nothing remains. Merz wanted to save eight percent of public-service personnel to relieve the state budget — a nice dream and a typical Merz number: full-blooded announcements that then, in hope that soon other topics will cover them, dissipate in the wave of the daily press spectacle.

But from all the appearances of the Chancellor, his Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil and the Economy Minister nevertheless a last hope glimmers through. The big debt-package, camouflaged under the euphemism of the “special asset”, is now supposed to bring the great turnaround.

As Lars Klingbeil said a week ago in New York during the UN-Congress: For companies a unique window of opportunity is opening — enabled by the massive engagement of the state in the coming years. The calculation is simple: subsidies, price guarantees, aid to the exploding energy costs shall brighten individual corporate balance sheets.

Merz should have discussed with Intel’s management in depth about the German location. What must go wrong, so that a firm — despite its internal problems — rejects a €10 billion subsidy, which would have carried about a third of the total investment, and instead prefers the US location? 

As long as politics cannot give a substantive answer to this question, nothing will change about Germany’s decline and the downfall of the European Union.

* * * 

About the author: Thomas Kolbe is a German graduate economist who has worked as a journalist and media producer for clients from various industries and business associations. As a publicist, he focuses on economic processes and observes geopolitical events from the perspective of the capital markets. His publications follow a philosophy that focuses on the individual and their right to self-determination.

Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 08:45

China 'Made A Real Mistake' With Rare Earth Threats: Bessent

Zero Hedge -

China 'Made A Real Mistake' With Rare Earth Threats: Bessent

Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China “made a real mistake” by threatening to restrict exports of rare earth minerals, adding that Beijing’s move has jolted the United States and its allies to fast-track efforts to secure new sources within the next two years.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent speaks on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank annual meetings, in Washington, on Oct. 15, 2025. Brendan Smialowski/AFP

In an interview published by the Financial Times on Oct. 31, Bessent said China had drawn global attention to its willingness to use critical minerals as leverage.

“China has alerted everyone to the danger. They’ve made a real mistake,” he told the newspaper.

“It’s one thing to put the gun on the table. It’s another thing to fire shots in the air.

China imposed new controls on the export of technologies and materials linked to rare earth elements in early October. The restrictions rattled markets, upended supply chains, and became a major sticking point in trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing.

Following this week’s meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea, China announced that it would suspend the restrictions for one year.

I think the Chinese leadership were slightly alarmed by the global backlash to their export controls,” Bessent told the Financial Times.

The Treasury chief said the United States and China had reached an understanding that would stabilize relations in the near term, while expressing the conviction that Beijing’s influence in the critical minerals sector would quickly fade.

“There’s an agreement that, ceteris paribus, we have reached an equilibrium, and we can operate within that equilibrium over the next 12 months,” Bessent said.

I don’t think they’re able to do it now because we have offsetting measures.

He said that China’s ability to use rare earths as a coercive tool would not last more than a 12- to 24-month period, underscoring the Trump administration’s efforts to diversify the U.S. supply chain through new mining and refining operations, including through partnerships in Southeast Asia and allied countries.

The suspension of Beijing’s controls also extends beyond U.S. markets.

European Union Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said on Nov. 1 that Chinese officials at the Ministry of Commerce informed their European counterparts that the pause also applies to the EU.

“China confirmed that the suspension of the October export controls applies to the EU,” Sefcovic wrote on X, adding that “both sides reaffirmed commitment to continue engagement on improving the implementation of export control policies.”

Rare Earth Tensions

China first weaponized rare earths by imposing export controls on Japan during a diplomatic dispute in 2010, sending shockwaves through the global manufacturing sector. The rare earths sector remains one of the world’s most concentrated supply chains, with China dominating approximately 70 percent of global production and a significantly larger share of processing capacity.

Starting in 2023, China began imposing export restrictions on strategic materials to the United States, including substances like antimony, germanium, and tungsten. This prompted the Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party to release a report recommending that Congress incentivize domestic production of rare earth element magnets, which are the key end-use for rare earth elements.

Since taking office for a second term, President Donald Trump has sought to boost domestic production of strategic materials, including by fast-tracking permitting for critical mineral mining projects and pledging hundreds of millions of dollars to U.S. producers as his administration seeks to break China’s grip on supply.

In April 2025, China expanded its export control list to include seven rare earths and magnets made from three of them. This followed Trump’s steep tariffs on Chinese goods as part of efforts to rebalance what his administration calls unfair trade relations, as well as to curb the flow of fentanyl into the United States.

Since then, volatility in rare earth shipments to the United States has intensified, though a July framework between Washington and Beijing briefly eased tensions by providing a 90-day tariff pause meant to stabilize flows.

In September, Bessent said that the United States was “not without levers” in the rare earths dispute with China, noting that there were “plenty of products that they depend on us for,” including aircraft engines, parts, chemicals, plastics, and silicon ingredients.

In mid-October, the Treasury chief noted that rare earth shipments from China had once again slowed and said that it was the United States’ priority to work with allies to “de-risk and diversify supply chains away from China as quickly as possible.”

While Bessent said at the time that it was not the Trump administration’s desire to sever trade ties entirely with Beijing over the dispute of supplies of critical materials, he said that the United States and its allies may have no choice but to “decouple” if China “wants to be an unreliable partner to the world.”

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Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 08:10

What Cracked? Leftist-Controlled Maryland County Stuns Residents By Striking Deal With ICE

Zero Hedge -

What Cracked? Leftist-Controlled Maryland County Stuns Residents By Striking Deal With ICE

The Democratic Party's power grip on the Mid-Atlantic, particularly in Maryland, appears to be eroding. 

Local headlines and a Justice Department statement confirm that leftist-controlled Baltimore County has been removed from the federal list of sanctuary jurisdictions after signing a cooperation agreement with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

The DoJ wrote in a press release that the county's cooperation represents progress in restoring public safety, despite state-level restrictions on federal immigration enforcement. The county had been listed as a sanctuary jurisdiction since August, a designation leftist County Executive Kathy Klausmeier argued was a mistake. 

"Despite restrictions from state leadership, Baltimore County has shown a willingness to cooperate with federal immigration enforcement. This is a small step toward restoring public safety and we appreciate the county's commitment to updating its policies," Associate Attorney General Stanley Woodward wrote in a statement.

"This agreement makes no changes to the Department of Corrections' standard practices and aligns Baltimore County with peer jurisdictions throughout the state of Maryland," the county Executive's office said in a statement Friday.

In total, eight Maryland counties, plus crime-ridden Baltimore City, were placed on the list of sanctuary jurisdictions published by the Trump administration earlier this year. The common denominator among all these areas is that they're controlled by far-left lawmakers who prioritize illegal aliens over their constituents. The goal is clear: illegals mean future voters, which ultimately disenfranchises the existing voting base.

For far too long, the Democratic Party has maintained a stranglehold over the central part of the state. No sane person voted to have illegal aliens funneled into their neighborhoods by the thousands, only to observe violent crime and an affordability crisis unfold as illegals absorbed housing stock.

A snapshot of the vibe of county residents was observed on Facebook, in which many were in pure joy:

Delegate Nino Mangione (R-District 42A) commented:

I am delighted that Baltimore County has finally realized the importance of cooperating with ICE and following the rule of law. Our citizens deserve the protection this MOU provides, and I am very pleased about it. Illegal immigration is one of the greatest threats we face in our communities and it is essential that there be full cooperation between federal and local law enforcement. We never want to see another senseless murder by an illegal. We do not want a repeat where innocent citizens like Rachel Morin or Kayla Hamilton lose their lives to the violent actions of an illegal. The signing of this MOU is a great step forward for the protection of Baltimore County."

I am also very pleased to see Baltimore County lose the stain of being listed as a sanctuary jurisdiction.

Whether the Trump administration applied pressure on Democrats in the county or due to imploding poll numbers ...  

… it's clear voters in the Mid-Atlantic are rejecting the Democratic Party in growing numbers. From nation-destroying open borders/sanctuary policies to skyrocketing power bills, progressives have fumbled the policy football, and their grip on power in the region is beginning to erode.

Just wait until Republicans figure out how to capitalize on the failed green energy crisis - oh wait, that's already happening.

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Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 07:35

Europe's Solar Surge Exposes Cracks In Aging Power Grid: Analysts

Zero Hedge -

Europe's Solar Surge Exposes Cracks In Aging Power Grid: Analysts

Authored by Evgenia Filimianova via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Europe’s solar power boom is putting huge pressure on electricity grids that were never built to handle this much renewable energy, say analysts.

An aerial view taken with a drone shows a solar energy field near Weilheim, Germany, on Oct. 16, 2025. Philipp Guelland/Getty Images

As a record number of new solar panels are being installed every year, the old grid system is struggling to keep up.

Solar generation capacity in the European Union continues to increase and reached an estimated 338 GW by 2024, according to SolarPower Europe.

To curb its dependence on Russian energy and accelerate its green transition, the EU set a goal in 2022 to install at least 700 gigawatts of solar power by 2030, enough to supply electricity to hundreds of millions of homes.

But the rapid expansion has exposed cracks in Europe’s energy system, threatening to slow the transition unless grids catch up.

Europe’s power grids faced a surge in voltage problems last year, with 8,645 over-voltage incidents reported in 2024—nearly 10 times more than in 2023, according to the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E).

Special mounted solar panels are installed over a biological apple fruit tree plantation in Gelsdorf, western Germany, on Aug. 30, 2022. Martin Meissner/AP Photo

Aging distribution infrastructure complicates the issue. Industry group Eurelectric estimates that nearly half of Europe’s distribution networks will be more than 40 years old by 2030.

Energy analyst and project lead at the Helmholtz Center Berlin, Susanne Nies, told The Epoch Times that Europe’s power system is under heavy strain because it was designed for a time when electricity made up only a small share of total energy use.

“When you go to the countryside and countries like France or even Germany, those grids have been built in the 50s. They are really nearly 70 years old,” she said.

Europe’s electricity system was initially designed for one-way flows—from large power plants to homes and businesses, Nies explained, adding that now it must handle power flowing in both directions, as millions of solar panels feed energy back into the grid.

She said today’s grid needs to combine large regional “super grids” with smaller, local systems that can operate independently during emergencies.

Harry Wilkinson, head of policy at the Global Warming Policy Foundation, said the challenge is not only that Europe’s grid is aging but that it must be vastly expanded to connect power sources that are far more scattered than in the past.

“Just the physical amount of additional cabling that you have to add to the grid, to connect, that is a big challenge, just in itself,” he said.

Voltage Problems and Spain’s Grid Struggles

Most voltage problems in 2024 originated from Sweden’s Svenska kraftnät, which implemented automated reporting, while operators in Slovenia, Moldova, and Romania also experienced increases as renewables expanded, according to Eurelectric.

Others fared better: Hungary’s MAVIR cut incidents for a second year, and grid operators in Spain, the Netherlands, and France reported none at all.

However, in April, huge power outages hit Spain and Portugal, leaving millions of homes and businesses without power. In Spain, where solar energy now provides about 21 percent of the country’s power—up from 8 percent five years ago—emergency measures have been necessary to prevent blackouts.

Customers dine in a restaurant illuminated by a generator during a blackout in Barcelona, Spain, on April 28, 2025. AP Photo/Emilio Morenatti

Nies said that while in Spain’s case, the solar power grid was not the culprit, it has not been updated as fast as needed, and parts of it could be improved.

Wilkinson disagrees that it wasn’t the grid’s fault. He told The Epoch Times that renewables are simply more complicated to manage as a technology.

Nies noted that Spain remains poorly connected to its neighbors, while Germany’s grid is far more integrated, with four transmission operators and nearly 900 distribution system operators that manage local electricity networks.

According to independent energy consultant Kathryn Porter, location plays a far greater role in weaker grids. While frequency stays consistent across a network, voltage is a local factor that must be stabilized by nearby equipment.

“Spain’s conventional generation is concentrated in the north and east, while the south is dominated by renewables, making the southern network weak and increasingly difficult to control,” she said in her blog.

Grid Spending

Solar power supplies 22.1 percent of the EU’s electricity, according to energy thinktank Ember Climate, compared with 12.4 percent in China.

In the United States, the share is projected to reach about 7 percent in 2025, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Even as solar output soars, Europe’s electricity demand has stagnated, falling last year and recovering only slightly in 2025. Weak demand makes it more challenging to balance an energy system that is increasingly dominated by intermittent renewables.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) says investment in transmission and distribution networks is becoming critical as grid upgrades struggle to keep pace with the rapid buildout of low-emission power.

Power lines connecting pylons of high-tension electricity are seen during sunset at an electricity substation on the outskirts of Ronda, during a blackout in the Spanish city, on April 28, 2025. Jon Nazca/Reuters

Annual grid spending in the EU is set to exceed $70 billion in 2025, double the level a decade ago, the IEA said in a June report. Yet investment still trails the growth of clean-energy projects, leading to long connection queues and bottlenecks in moving cheap solar power from southern Europe to industrial centers in the north.

The European Investment Bank, the EU’s lending arm, warned in September that a lack of investment in grid spending causes inefficiencies in Europe and beyond. It stated that investment should remain a top policy priority if Europe wants to stay competitive.

When reviewing the overall economics of solar energy, the costs of grid management and the impact of high penetration levels on the grid are crucial, Wilkinson said. High penetration levels refer to a situation where the system relies heavily on one or more sources of renewable energy, which are intermittent and more challenging to ensure voltage and frequency stability.

“We should be realistic about the enormous cost burden that is likely to be faced because of those decisions,” he said.

New Solar Installations

Industry group SolarPower Europe expects a slight drop in new solar installations in 2025, marking the first decline in a decade. In its July statement, the group attributed the slowdown to grid bottlenecks, falling subsidies, and permitting delays.

The downturn is driven mainly by a slump in rooftop solar, especially among homeowners.

“In traditionally strong residential rooftop solar markets, like Italy, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, Czechia, and Hungary, households are now postponing installations as the impact of the 2022 energy crisis wanes,” SolarPower Europe said.

Solar panels on a solar field in Moers, Germany, on Aug. 5, 2024. Ina Fassbender/AFP via Getty Images

It added that the withdrawal of incentive schemes without adequate replacements has led to a collapse of more than 60 percent in some rooftop markets compared with 2023, while Poland, Spain, and Germany have seen drops of over 40 percent.

A policy brief from Ember last year warned that renewable expansion was being “held back by urgent stress signals” in Europe’s electricity networks.

Another report by Strategic Energy Europe found that more than 1,700 GW of potential renewable capacity was being held in connection queues due to limited grid capacity.

Tyler Durden Sun, 11/02/2025 - 07:00

10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture -

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures:

Tesla May Have Sold a Million Fewer Cars Because of Elon Musk’s Toxic Politics: The billionaire CEO did his electric vehicle company no favors by aligning with the MAGA movement and serving as a high-profile Trump adviser, a new report finds. (Rolling Stone)

AI Is the Bubble to Burst Them All: I talked to the scholars who literally wrote the book on tech bubbles—and applied their test. (Wired) see also This Is How the AI Stock Boom Plays Out: As the economic significance of AI becomes clearer, valuations of AI-linked stocks will fall. (Bloomberg) Counterargument coming tomorrow…

UnitedHealth paid AARP $9B to sell Medicare products. Spammer/Marketing outfit AARP received $9 billion in royalties from UnitedHealthcare last year as part of an agreement to continue selling AARP-branded Medicare products, according to updated financial statements recently posted on the advocacy group’s website. (Axios)

How Moderna, the company that helped save the world, unraveled: After missteps and misfortune, the biotech confronts a precarious future. (Stat)

Inside the Trump family’s global crypto cash machine: The U.S. president’s family raked in more than $800 million from sales of crypto assets in the first half of 2025 alone, a Reuters examination found, on top of potentially billions more in unrealized “on paper” gains. Much of that cash has come from foreign sources as Donald Trump’s sons have touted their business on an international investor roadshow. (Reuters) see also The pardon was the payoff: Binance’s Changpeng Zhao earns a gold-plated pardon as other industry figures fund Trump’s $300 million ballroom. (Citation Needed) see also How a Billionaire Felon Boosted Trump’s Crypto Company en Route to a Pardon: Binance facilitated $2 billion purchase of World Liberty’s stablecoin and built its technology; clemency for Changpeng Zhao surprised some in administration. (Wall Street Journal)

How America’s Elite Colleges Breed High-Status Careers—and Misery: The “career funnel,” a phrase coined by sociologists Amy Binder and Daniel Davis, describes the mechanism behind the crowding of elite college graduates into three high-paying fields. For instance, the Harvard Crimson’s annual survey of graduating seniors revealed that more than half of the class of 2025 had taken jobs in finance (21 percent), tech (18 percent), or management consulting (14%). (Mother Jones)

How Obama maneuvered behind the scenes to fight Trump on redistricting: The ex-president’s involvement reflects the deep anxieties he has about Trump’s agenda and has propelled him into a more political, public-facing role than he envisioned. (Washington Post)

Are We Losing Our Democracy? Our country is still not close to being a true autocracy, in the mold of Russia or China. But once countries begin taking steps away from democracy, the march often continues. We offer these 12 markers as a warning of how much Americans have already lost and how much more we still could lose. (New York Times)

The Venezuela Boat Strikes and the Justice Department’s Golden Shield: How the Office of Legal Counsel Helps the White House in its Summary Killings (Executive Functions) see also Why Commanders Don’t Sign NDAs: Existing rules and laws applying to military secrecy are sufficient—and asking officers to sign NDAs is deeply inappropriate. (The Bulwark)

Jennifer Lawrence Goes Dark: She has been cast in maternal roles since her teens. Now, playing a mother for the first time since becoming one, she has chosen the part of a woman pushed past the edge of sanity. (New Yorker)

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business interview  this weekend with Jon Hilsenrath of Serpa Pinto Advisory. Previously, he was chief economics correspondent for Wall Street Journal for 26 years. Dubbed the “Fed Whisperer” by Wall Street traders for his scoops on the FOMC, he worked out of Hong Kong, NY, and D.C. He was part of the Pulitzer Prize-winning team for on-scene coverage of 9/11.  He is the author of “Yellen: The Trailblazing Economist Who Navigated an Era of Upheaval.”

 

The top 10 US companies account for almost a quarter of the global equity market, and eight of those companies are in the technology sector

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

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The post 10 Sunday Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.

Gabbard Says Trump Has Ended America's Era Of 'Regime Change'

Zero Hedge -

Gabbard Says Trump Has Ended America's Era Of 'Regime Change'

Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Tulsi Gabbard, the U.S. national intelligence director, said on Oct. 31 that America’s former strategy of “regime change or nation building” had ended under President Donald Trump, with Gabbard describing the previous practice as counterproductive and wasteful of taxpayer resources.

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard speaks to reporters during a briefing at the White House in Washington on July 23, 2025. Travis Gillmore/The Epoch Times

“For decades, our foreign policy has been trapped in a counterproductive and endless cycle of regime change or nation building,” Gabbard said. “It was a one-size-fits-all approach, of toppling regimes, trying to impose our system of governance on others, intervene in conflicts that were barely understood and walk away with more enemies than allies.”

“The results: Trillions spent, countless lives lost and in many cases, the creation of greater security threats,” said Gabbard, a former congresswoman from Hawaii and U.S. Army National Guard veteran.

Gabbard’s comments echoed Trump’s message earlier this year in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, where he declared that the era of U.S. “nation-building” was over and that America would no longer impose its system of governance abroad.

“In the end the so-called nation-builders wrecked far more nations than they built, and the interventionalists were intervening in complex societies that they did not even understand themselves,” Trump said. “Peace, prosperity, and progress ultimately came not from a radical rejection of your heritage, but rather from embracing your national traditions. ... You achieved a modern miracle the Arabian way.”

Trump praised the Gulf states as “forging a future where the Middle East is defined by commerce, not chaos,” contrasting their success with failed U.S. interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq, criticizing “so-called nation-builders, neocons or liberal nonprofits like those who spend trillions and trillions of dollars failing to develop Kabul, Baghdad, so many other cities.”

Gabbard’s remarks in Bahrain further cemented what is shaping up to be a hallmark of Trump’s second-term foreign policy—a break from the interventionism of prior administrations in favor of economic cooperation, regional partnerships, and selective use of force.

In a recent assessment for the Hoover Institution, former U.S. Ambassador to Iraq and Turkey James Jeffrey wrote that Trump’s Middle East policy “is not isolationist focused on resolving major international problems.” The administration, he said, considers the Middle East a continuing priority, seeking to expand the Abraham Accords of Trump’s first administration and entrench regional stability amid Iran’s diminished leverage.

“Together, these trends aim at aligning Israel with Arab states and creating regional stability that will still require American engagement but not major resources or the risk of war,” Jeffrey wrote.

Jeffrey wrote that Trump’s speech in Riyadh represented “a dramatic shift” in U.S. policy, that he sees as resting on three principles: rejection of American interference in other nations’ internal affairs; reliance on local actors to advance stability; and focus on business opportunities that serve both U.S. and regional interests.

In Trump’s second term, those principles appear to have guided Washington’s approach to securing a cease-fire that halted the Israel–Hamas war in Gaza and to ending Israel’s 12-day conflict with Iran after U.S. bombers struck Iranian nuclear sites.

During her speech in Bahrain, Gabbard said that the Gaza cease-fire remains “fragile” and that Iran’s nuclear activity is again drawing scrutiny from the International Atomic Energy Agency.

“The road ahead will not be simple or easy,” Gabbard said. “But the president is very committed down this road.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 23:30

Ohio Sec. Of State Refers 1,084 Cases Of Suspected Fraudulent Voter Registration to DOJ

Zero Hedge -

Ohio Sec. Of State Refers 1,084 Cases Of Suspected Fraudulent Voter Registration to DOJ

Via American Greatness,

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose says he’s found 1,084 alleged cases of noncitizens who appear registered to vote and is referring them to the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) after county prosecutors failed to act.

LaRose said his office has also uncovered instances of 167 people who have allegedly voted in a federal election as far back as  2018.

“In these cases, the county prosecutor has decided for whatever reason not to take them up. In some cases they’ve been referred to the attorney general as well, and we’re sending them along to the federal government to see if they want to prosecute these cases,” LaRose said.

LaRose had asked county prosecutors to act on 633 cases of suspected voter fraud last year but prosecutors took up just 12 of them, saying the others lacked evidence to pursue indictments.

The number of election fraud allegations in Ohio are a direct challenge to Democrat claims that noncitizens registering to vote in U.S. elections never happens.

Secretary LaRose gave credit to a special investigative unit in his office for uncovering the cases, although he noted that, while unusual, there does not appear to be a pattern to them.

LaRose stated:

What we know is that noncitizens registering is exceedingly rare. It’s even more rare for noncitizens to actually cast a ballot, especially now that we’ve got a really good process in place for identifying that at the time of registration and checking for that. But in some cases it has happened. And we’re talking about hundreds of cases, not thousands and thousands of cases.

press release from LaRose’s office says the Ohio Sec. of State is also referring to the DOJ, 99 individuals who appear to have voted in two states in the same federal election, 16 individuals who appear to have voted twice in Ohio in the same federal election and 14 individuals who appear to have voted in a federal election after the date of their deaths.

Four individuals also are suspected of ballot harvesting and 2 individuals appear to have registered to vote at a residence where they were not entitled to register.

In his letter to the DOJ Criminal Division, LaRose wrote:

I have made numerous criminal referrals throughout my administration, with much of the evidence related to unlawful registration and voting activity. These cases have encountered varying degrees of adjudication from Ohio’s 88 county prosecutors. We now have an executive administration at the White House and the Department of Justice that has expressed an interest in actively reviewing and potentially prosecuting evidence of federal election crimes.

The Secretary’s letter also gives credit to constructive feedback from state and local prosecutors in helping his office improve the quality of evidence referred for investigation.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 22:20

Where US Families Are Most Strained By Debt

Zero Hedge -

Where US Families Are Most Strained By Debt

Americans are always worrying about debt: their own and their government’s.

This visualization, via Visual Capitalist's Pallavi Rao, maps each state by their household debt-to-income ratios (DTI) in Q1, 2025, revealing which states carry the heaviest burdens and which ones keep borrowing in check.

Data for this visualization comes from the Federal Reserve. The highest ratio is visualized per state.

ℹ️ Debt includes mortgages, autos, credit cards, etc., and excludes student loans. Income is based on unemployment insurance-covered wages, as reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Which States Carry the Most Debt?

Two states share the top spot: Idaho and Hawaii both post a DTI of 2.06, meaning households owe just over twice their annual after-tax income.

Rank State State Code Debt-to-Income Ratio (2025) Debt-to-Income Ratio (1999) 1999–2025 Change 1 Idaho ID 2.06 1.50 0.56 2 Hawaii HI 2.06 2.06 0.00 3 Arizona AZ 1.84 1.40 0.44 4 Colorado CO 1.84 1.40 0.44 5 Utah UT 1.84 1.40 0.44 6 Maryland MD 1.84 1.72 0.12 7 South Carolina SC 1.72 1.32 0.40 8 Nevada NV 1.72 1.40 0.32 9 Oregon OR 1.72 1.40 0.32 10 Florida FL 1.72 1.60 0.12 11 Delaware DE 1.60 1.11 0.49 12 Montana MT 1.60 1.32 0.28 13 Rhode Island RI 1.60 1.32 0.28 14 Virginia VA 1.60 1.40 0.20 15 California CA 1.60 1.72 -0.12 16 Wyoming WY 1.50 1.11 0.39 17 Georgia GA 1.50 1.24 0.26 18 Maine ME 1.50 1.24 0.26 19 North Carolina NC 1.50 1.24 0.26 20 New Mexico NM 1.50 1.50 0.00 21 Washington WA 1.50 1.50 0.00 22 Mississippi MS 1.40 1.11 0.29 23 New Hampshire NH 1.40 1.24 0.16 24 New Jersey NJ 1.40 1.24 0.16 25 Tennessee TN 1.40 1.24 0.16 26 Alaska AK 1.40 1.32 0.08 27 Alabama AL 1.32 1.11 0.21 28 Louisiana LA 1.32 1.11 0.21 29 Oklahoma OK 1.32 1.11 0.21 30 Vermont VT 1.32 1.24 0.08 31 Arkansas AR 1.24 1.11 0.13 32 Indiana IN 1.24 1.11 0.13 33 Iowa IA 1.24 1.11 0.13 34 Kentucky KY 1.24 1.11 0.13 35 Massachusetts MA 1.24 1.11 0.13 36 Michigan MI 1.24 1.11 0.13 37 Minnesota MN 1.24 1.11 0.13 38 Missouri MO 1.24 1.11 0.13 39 Nebraska NE 1.24 1.11 0.13 40 South Dakota SD 1.24 1.11 0.13 41 Texas TX 1.24 1.11 0.13 42 West Virginia WV 1.24 1.11 0.13 43 Wisconsin WI 1.24 1.11 0.13 44 Connecticut CT 1.11 1.11 0.00 45 District of Columbia DC 1.11 1.11 0.00 46 Illinois IL 1.11 1.11 0.00 47 Kansas KS 1.11 1.11 0.00 48 New York NY 1.11 1.11 0.00 49 North Dakota ND 1.11 1.11 0.00 50 Ohio OH 1.11 1.11 0.00 51 Pennsylvania PA 1.11 1.11 0.00

In Hawaii’s case, elevated housing costs push mortgage balances sky-high. In Idaho, a surge of migrants since 2020 has driven up home prices and left many newcomers with large, fresh mortgages.

Rounding out the top five are Arizona, Colorado, and Utah (all 1.84). Once again, fast-growing markets where rising prices and younger populations translate into higher leverage.

ℹ️ Related: Hawaii has the fifth-lowest homeownership rate in the country.

States With the Lowest Household Debt

At the other end of the spectrum, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and North Dakota come in at just 1.11.

Many low-debt states share three traits. They have lower housing costs, older homeowner bases with significant equity, and slower population growth that tempers new borrowing.

However, even high-income states like Connecticut and the District of Columbia can land in this cohort thanks to well-paid residents who keep balances in check.

The gap underscores how regional housing dynamics, more than incomes alone, dictate household debt.

Finally, due to how this ratio is calculated, younger households’ true burden may be understated (student loan exclusion).

At the same time, the income measure is unemployment insurance-covered wages wages (not total personal income), which can overstate the ratio in high-capital-income areas (e.g., states with finance-heavy metros).

If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Visualizing Government Debt-to-GDP Around the World on Voronoi, the new app from Visual Capitalist.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 21:45

Ben & Jerry's Co-Founder Accuses Unilever Of Blocking Palestinian-Themed Ice Cream

Zero Hedge -

Ben & Jerry's Co-Founder Accuses Unilever Of Blocking Palestinian-Themed Ice Cream

Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times,

Ben & Jerry’s was blocked by its parent company, Unilever, from creating a Palestinian-themed ice cream, the company’s co-founder, Ben Cohen, said in an Oct. 28 video post on Instagram.

“A while back, Ben and Jerry’s tried to make a flavor to call for peace in Palestine, to stand for justice and dignity for everyone, like Ben and Jerry’s always has. But they weren’t allowed to. They were stopped by Unilever/Magnum, the company that owns Ben and Jerry’s. Just like when Ben and Jerry’s tried to stop selling ice cream in the occupied territories, they were blocked again by their parent company,” Cohen said in the video.

“So, I’m doing what they couldn’t. I’m making a watermelon-flavored ice cream that calls for permanent peace in Palestine and calls for repairing all the damage that was done there.”

Watermelon is symbolically linked to the Palestinians since the fruit comes in the same colors—red, black, and green—as seen on the Palestinian flag. They are also commonly grown in the region.

Cohen called on people to come up with the ingredients for the ice cream and a name for the product.

Ben & Jerry’s operates as a wholly owned subsidiary of The Magnum Ice Cream Company, the largest ice cream company in the world. Magnum is a Unilever brand that operates as a standalone company, with the demerger process between the two currently underway.

In an emailed statement to The Epoch Times, a spokesperson for Magnum said that the proposal for a flavor in support of Palestine was made by members of Ben & Jerry’s board of directors this summer.

“The independent members of Ben & Jerry’s Board are not, and have never been, responsible for the Ben & Jerry’s commercial strategy and execution. Recommendations are considered by Ben & Jerry’s leadership, and Ben & Jerry’s management has determined it is not the right time to invest in developing this product,” said the spokesperson.

Ben & Jerry’s has a history of supporting various causes, including LGBT activism, Black Lives Matter, and immigration. The company’s activism has been a point of conflict with Unilever.

In 2021, Ben & Jerry’s decided to stop selling ice cream in Israeli settlements located in East Jerusalem and the West Bank regions. In 2022, Unilever resolved the matter by selling the ice cream brand’s Israeli business rights to a local company.

In November 2024, Ben & Jerry’s filed a lawsuit against Unilever, accusing the parent company of suppressing free speech. In an amended complaint filed in March, the ice cream brand said Unilever removed its CEO, David Stever, as retaliation for the company’s activism.

Last month, Jerry Greenfield, the other co-founder of Ben & Jerry’s, resigned from his role as the company’s brand ambassador, accusing Unilever of silencing their activism.

In a statement to The Epoch Times following the resignation, a spokesperson for The Magnum Ice Cream Company dismissed Greenfield’s allegations.

“We disagree with his perspective and have sought to engage both co-founders in a constructive conversation on how to strengthen Ben & Jerry’s powerful values-based position in the world,” the spokesperson said.

‘Divisive Political Activism’

Ben & Jerry’s has faced criticism from Jewish groups for its characterization of the Israel-Gaza conflict.

In a May 30 statement, the Anti-Defamation League (ADL)—a group that combats anti-Semitism—and JLens, a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) and Jewish values-based investor network, condemned a statement made by the independent board of Ben & Jerry’s on Israel’s actions in Gaza.

The board had accused Israel of committing genocide in Gaza.

ADL said the statement was “factually inaccurate, inflammatory, and harmful” while distorting Israel’s fight against terror in Gaza.

“We strongly believe in freedom of expression—but Ben and Jerry’s inflammatory and irresponsible accusations about Israel, including genocide, while failing to mention the plight of the hostages or the threats posed by Hamas does nothing to get this conflict resolved,” said Ari Hoffnung, managing director of JLens.

“The Ben & Jerry’s board should not use their brand as a platform for divisive political activism that risks inflicting irreparable harm on its reputation—and its parent company’s shareholders.”

Ben & Jerry’s has faced backlash from authorities due to the nature of its activism. States such as New Jersey, Arizona, Florida, New York, and North Carolina have divested investments in Unilever following Ben & Jerry’s boycott of Israel.

For instance, in 2023, North Carolina state Treasurer Dale R. Folwell ordered North Carolina Retirement Systems to divest $40 million in Unilever assets.

“This is particularly important in this case as we have witnessed the atrocities perpetrated against the Israeli people. There is no place for antisemitism in this state or this country,” he said at the time.

Moreover, Ben & Jerry’s co-founders have been arrested in the past during protests. In 2016, both Greenfield and Cohen were taken into custody while protesting on the steps of the U.S. Capitol Building.

In 2023, Cohen was arrested amid a demonstration in support of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange.

Meanwhile, the demerger between Magnum and Unilever, initially expected to be completed by mid-November, has been delayed, Unilever said in a statement released on Oct. 21.

The delay is due to “the ongoing US federal government shutdown,” the company said.

“The preparatory work for the Demerger is on track and progressing well, and Unilever remains committed to and confident of implementing the Demerger in 2025. Further updates on the revised timetable will be provided as soon as practicable.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 21:10

These Are The World's Biggest Gold Mines

Zero Hedge -

These Are The World's Biggest Gold Mines

Driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and sustained central bank buying, the price of gold reached record levels, gaining nearly 60 percent this year to pass the $,4,000-per-ounce mark this month (closing price average from October 1st to 27th) before falling back to find support around $4000.

The level of demand for gold is now prompting questions about whether reserves of the commodity are being exhausted and if humanity has reached "peak gold".

Indeed, some analysts believe that global mining production has already reached or is close to its peak, having stagnated between 3,000 and 3,300 metric tons annually over the last decade.

While new gold deposits are still being discovered, as recently reported by CNBC in the Hunan province of China (Wangu gold field), large reserves are gradually becoming scarce, with the majority of production still happening in older mines that have been in use for decades.

So which mines are producing the most gold every year?

As Statista's Tristan Gaudiat shows below, using data from company reports published by the website Mining.com, gold mines in Nevada produced 2.70 million ounces (76.5 metric tons) of the precious metal in 2024, which is a similar output to the estimated production of the Muruntau gold deposit (2.68 million ounces that year), which has been exploited since the late 1960s in Uzbekistan.

 The World's Biggest Gold Mines | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

Discovered in the 1980s, the Grasberg gold mine, located in the Indonesian province of West Papua, is the world's third largest supplier (1.86 million ounces or 59 tons in 2024), followed by the Olimpiada deposit (1.44 million ounces or 40 tons), discovered in 1975 in the Severo-Yeniseysky district of Russia.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 20:35

Germany's Debt Cannon Fails: Special Fund Fuels Bureaucracy, Not Growth

Zero Hedge -

Germany's Debt Cannon Fails: Special Fund Fuels Bureaucracy, Not Growth

Submitted by Thomas Kolbe

The German federal government is firing its big debt cannon at the ongoing recession. So far, with zero effect. Berlin is about to learn the hard way that you cannot create prosperity with a money printer.

In March, the federal government launched its major investment offensive – starting with the first bond tranche meant to fuel the so-called “special fund” with fresh credit.

Credit Pump Running Hot

Every year, new bonds with maturities of five to thirty years are to be issued in volumes of €50 billion. With broad support from the Bundestag and Bundesrat, the government is going all in. Half a trillion euros are to be pumped into infrastructure projects over the next decade – and naturally, everything that can be booked under “climate neutrality.”

That a significant part of this credit volume will be diverted to cover gaping deficits in social funds is almost beside the point. The verdict remains unchanged: German policymakers have fully committed to a brute-force Keynesianism – maximum artificial state demand, now coupled with the ECB’s again negative real interest rates.

A textbook of the central bank era, repeatedly seen in the 20th century – always leaving the same trail: growing mountains of debt and the systematic crowding out of private investment from the capital markets.

A vacuum effect. Price guarantees, subsidies, and electricity cost allowances keep this artificial economy liquid – even attracting private capital with guaranteed returns – capital that would be far more productive elsewhere. A fatal vicious cycle.

Scarce resources are diverted into unproductive sectors of the economy. A poverty program hailed by state-aligned media, NGOs, and government economic institutes as some magical potion that is supposed to breathe new life into a bloodless economy.

Zero Growth Despite Debt Spree

In Berlin, hope was last pinned on firing the “Big Bertha” to buy some breathing room. With polling numbers for the Union and SPD plummeting, the goal was to spark a temporary boom to carry them over the finish line of the upcoming state elections. That is the real purpose of the special fund – an expensive political trick that will plunge children and grandchildren into even deeper debt.

Even the Chancellor counts among those dazzled by artificially created credit. Once a champion of a lean state, he switched immediately after taking office to full-blown state expansion.

A weather vane in Berlin, blown by Brussels, carrying the unmistakable siren song of socialism.

The creation of the special fund was, according to Merz in spring, a state-politically necessary step, marking a significant new economic policy beginning amid the debt orgy of the Federal Republic.

Classic “road construction” is meant to ignite economic growth. Stone-age economic thinking from a long-gone era, when governments could still afford such short-lived fiscal fires – though that hardly made it better socially.

For this economic acrobatics, taxpayers will bleed for decades. Irresponsible. Unethical. Inadequate economic policy.

The news from the Federal Statistical Office that growth again came to a standstill in Q3 hit even harder.

Never forget: with net new public debt at 4.7% and a state share of GDP over 50%, private business collapses in practice. That is the only way to mathematically explain a zero growth outcome.

This is the real message from Wiesbaden’s disaster report.

Offloading State Bureaucracy

In German politics, fatal economic illiteracy combines with a dangerous drive to expand the political apparatus – with every intervention in the free economy, every new debt package, every climate-policy justification. This excess shrinks Germany’s future economic potential in favor of an ever more powerful bureaucracy.

Employer president Rainer Dulger’s urgent warning should be taken seriously. He called it a “scandal for the business location,” highlighting that in the past three years alone, 325,000 new employees had to be hired just to manage growing bureaucratic demands.

Biggest cost drivers include GDPR, with its endless documentation and reporting obligations, as well as EU IT security regulations. Add the ever-expanding Supply Chain Due Diligence Act and a flood of new hospitality reporting requirements.

Politics is increasingly outsourcing its bureaucratic monsters to the private economy. A reality not reflected in GDP calculations. In truth, Germany’s state share has long exceeded 50%, possibly already 55%. The state balloons – and German productivity continues to suffer.

Like a Chain Letter

Ideological statism persists like a chain letter. Olaf Scholz’s “double whammy” ultimately became the special fund – bureaucratically less infantile in appearance but essentially the same. State bureaucracy continues to grow to centrally manage this massive debt mountain.

The drying financing channels of the green patronage economy are being flooded again with fresh money. The party goes on. A few fill their pockets while future generations pay via higher taxes and inflation. That part of the new credit is now going to the military economy shows one thing: internally, there is no longer belief that the climate economy is the saving haven.

With the military economy, an old Keynesian classic returns: production above all else – regardless of what is being produced. Even if goods and services benefit only a small, select group of economic profiteers.

China Caught in the Intervention Trap

Europeans are not alone. China, which grants the private sector broad free-market space, repeatedly resorts to Keynesian emergency measures in crises. The creation of massive real estate overcapacity is one example.

The crisis that peaked with the Evergrande collapse is far from over. Millions of apartments were built solely to artificially maintain a short-term economic fire and prevent labor market collapse after the 2008 financial shock. Today, China’s export engine, fueled by high subsidies, serves a similar function – feeding a true mercantilist machine.

Wherever one looks, German politics exists in a fatal echo chamber, where every ideological misstep amplifies itself – the rhetoric grotesquely magnified. In its seven-year planning, the EU Commission under Ursula von der Leyen inflates the central Brussels budget to about €2 trillion.

This provides fiscal cover for the EU’s debt kings. One wonders: wasn’t the EU Commission originally meant to enforce the Maastricht debt rules?

Centralizer Headquarters

In Brussels centralism, the illusion of controlling the economy thrives within a self-reinforcing bureaucratic dynamic. Every new law, every additional regulation may harm the economy, but simultaneously expands the influence of Brussels.

It was only a matter of time before the last inhibition fell and the EU Commission’s borrowing ban was circumvented. This step came with the establishment of the “NextGenerationEU” fund.

In Brussels, the motto is clear: never let a good crisis go to waste. The result is always a new agency, whose archives fill with the latest regulatory ideas of bored civil servants – always financed by new Ponzi-style debt.

Debt piles on debt in an inverted pyramid structure. It cannot end well – and it will not.

The ideological contrast Americans are demonstrating – with massive deregulation – finds no reception in German politics, media, or philosophical debate. All focus is on the combative figure of US President Donald Trump, who thus secures America’s competitive advantage in the media spotlight for the long term.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 20:00

Almost Half Of Humanity Is Gen Z Or Gen Alpha

Zero Hedge -

Almost Half Of Humanity Is Gen Z Or Gen Alpha

As of December 2024, the global population has reached 8.2 billion. For the first time in history, nearly half of humanity belongs to Generation Z and Generation Alpha—the digital-native generations.

This visualization, via Visual Capitalist's Bruno Venditti, ranks the world’s population by generation, showing how age cohorts are distributed across the planet.

The data for this graphic comes from We Are SocialIntelPoint, and the United Nations World Population Prospects 2024. Generation Beta (born 2025–2039), representing less than 1% of the population, is not shown in the graphic because of limited data.

Gen Alpha Becomes the Largest Generation

Generation Alpha, born between 2013 and 2025, now includes roughly 2.0 billion people, or 24.4% of the world’s population. Many of them are still in primary school, but they already outnumber every other generation.

Their demographic weight will increasingly shape consumer markets, education systems, and technology trends in the coming decades. The countries driving this growth are concentrated in Africa and South Asia, where birth rates remain high.

Gen Z and Millennials Dominate the Workforce

Gen Z (ages 13–28) and Millennials (ages 29–44) together account for 44% of all people—and most of the world’s workers. Millennials alone make up 1.7 billion people.

The Aging Populations of Boomers and the Silent Generation

At the upper end of the age spectrum, Baby Boomers (ages 61–79) represent about 12.8% of the population, while those 80 or older—the Silent Generation and older cohorts—make up just 2%.

If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Visualizing America’s Wealth Distribution by Generation on Voronoi, the new app from Visual Capitalist.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 19:25

Annual Sales Of New Vehicles Expected To Hit Only 15.7 Million Units: Cox

Zero Hedge -

Annual Sales Of New Vehicles Expected To Hit Only 15.7 Million Units: Cox

Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The number of new vehicles sold annually in the United States is expected to hit 15.7 million units according to October estimations, industry expert Cox Automotive said in an Oct. 27 statement.

Vehicles for sale at a Toyota dealership in Houston on Jan. 4, 2022. Brandon Bell/Getty Images

The seasonally adjusted annual rate is down from 16.4 million in September and 16.1 million a year back, said the company, attributing the slowdown to auto tariffs and the end of electric vehicle (EV) incentives.

The new-vehicle sales pace was surprisingly strong this summer despite ongoing tariff uncertainty,” Charlie Chesbrough, senior economist at Cox, said in the statement.

“However, as more tariffed products replace non-tariffed inventory, prices are tracking higher, which should lead to slower sales through the remainder of the year. With the expiration of EV tax credits and a decline in alternative powertrain sales, the sales pace is anticipated to decrease as we move into a new season.”

Sales volume is forecast to be 1.3 million units in October, down by more than 3 percent from last year. While this figure is 2.7 percent higher than September, October had three more selling days than last month, Cox stated.

The federal government instituted 25 percent tariffs on auto imports in April, followed by 25 percent tariffs on the imports of auto parts. The rates have been adjusted for certain nations based on their negotiations with Washington.

Until Sept. 30, Americans who bought EVs could get a $7,500 tax credit. This incentive ended in line with the requirement of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law by President Donald Trump in July.

Cox stated that EV sales had accelerated after the passage of the Act, with Q3 EV sales volume hitting an all-time high.

“Sales of EVs and PHEVs are expected to collapse in October as tax credits expire,” Chesbrough said.

PHEV refers to a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle.

“In addition, market conditions for other vehicles are expected to become more challenging in future months as prices increase,” he said.

Amid slowing sales, car buyers are faced with high acquisition costs. The typical monthly payment for a new vehicle has jumped by 1.9 percent to hit $766, the highest monthly payment level in 15 months, Cox said in an Oct. 15 statement.

Meanwhile, 28.1 percent of cars traded in for new vehicles in the third quarter this year had negative equity, a situation where the car value is less than the loan amount, industry resource Edmunds said in an Oct. 15 statement.

“The sheer amount of debt consumers are carrying in their trade-ins should be a wake-up call,” Ivan Drury, Edmunds’ director of insights, said in the statement.

Auto Loan Burden

According to an Oct. 30 report by financial tech company WalletHub, the average American household owed roughly $13,800 in auto loans as of Q2 2025, just a few hundred dollars shy of the record high. The total auto loan debt has gone up to nearly $1.7 trillion.

Auto debt is rising the most in Vermont, followed by Delaware, New Mexico, Idaho, and Utah, it said. In contrast, it is rising the least in Ohio, South Dakota, Hawaii, Oregon, and Arkansas.

John Kiernan, editor at WalletHub, said that residents in some states saw average auto loan balances rise by almost 2.4 percent between Q1 and Q2, which he called “dramatic increases.”

This “suggests that people in some states are more affected by inflation in car prices or are biting off more than they can chew when it comes to loans,” he said.

Meanwhile, despite rising prices, auto demand from middle-income Americans is trending higher, according to an Oct. 16 statement from financial institution Santander US.

A survey of middle-income Americans showed that 54 percent were considering buying a vehicle in the year ahead, up from 43 percent a year back, it stated.

More than seven in 10 said they were willing to sacrifice other items in their budgets to ensure access to vehicles, which Santander said was the highest level in two years.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 18:40

Ukraine Accuses Cuba Of Sending Thousands To Fight In Russian Army, Shutters Havana Embassy

Zero Hedge -

Ukraine Accuses Cuba Of Sending Thousands To Fight In Russian Army, Shutters Havana Embassy

Ukraine has announced the closure of its embassy in Havana amid escalating diplomatic tensions, especially over the accusation that Cuba has turned a blind eye recruitment of its citizens to fight for Russia in the ongoing war.

The decision followed Ukraine's vote against a United Nations General Assembly resolution calling for an end to the US embargo on Cuba, in a pattern which is reminiscent of Cold War-era global politics (America-aligned nations seeking to punish the 20th c. Soviet-aligned bloc).

Ukrainian Embassy in Cuba, file image

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha has formally alleged thousands of Cubans had "signed contracts, joining the ranks of soldiers directly engaged in combat operations on Ukrainian soil."

Kiev is essentially accusing Cuba of inaction and pro-Moscow sympathies, describing that "its unwillingness to halt the large-scale deployment of Cuban nationals in Russia’s war against Ukraine amounts to complicity in aggression."

Ukrainian military intelligence has tallied at least 1,076 Cuban citizens fighting on the side of Russian forces, and surprisingly it claims that close to a hundred Cubans are reported missing and presumed dead.

Interestingly, Ukrainian intelligence says Russia has in some cases lured Cubans to join its military ranks by promising construction jobs online, facilitated by agents and middle-men.

European security officials have also of late been warning of potential fraudulent actors working with Russian intelligence to recruit unsuspecting young men from the West.

The biggest number of foreign fighters on Russia's side are believed to be North Korean - at over 10,000 since reports of the phenomenon started being made public - with possibly hundreds having died on the battlefield.

In total there could be 20,000 North Koreans currently assisting Russia's defense sector, and most of the actual fighting men were said to be active in defending Russia's southern borders.

Other foreign fighters are believed to be from impoverished African nations, with men lured by the promise of good pay, acting essentially as mercenaries.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 18:05

Artic Frost And Financial "Crimes"

Zero Hedge -

Artic Frost And Financial "Crimes"

Authored by Technofog via The Reactionary,

Thanks to releases by FBI Director Kash Patel and Senate Republicans (here and here and here), we are finally getting sunlight into the FBI’s overarching investigation of not only President Trump but of nearly everyone in his orbit - the investigation assigned the name “Artic Frost.”

The Artic Frost opening document, dated April 13, 2022, provides a number of potential statutory violations that justified its opening. Here is the exact text.

“By conspiring, attempting to submit, and/or submitting allegedly fraudulent elector certificates, subjects, both known and unknown, may have violated one or more of the following federal statutes of which the FBI has enforcement responsibility:

  • Attempt or conspiracy to corruptly obstruct, influence, and impede the certification of the Electoral College vote (18 USC § 1512(c)(2) and (k)).

  • Obstruction of certain proceedings (18 USC § 1505).

  • Falsification of records (18 USC § 1519).

  • Conspiracy to defraud the United States (18 USC § 371).

  • Mail Fraud (18 USC § 1341).

  • Seditious Conspiracy (18 USC § 2384).”

Now, that April 13, 2022 document wasn’t the original Artic Frost opening communication. Rather, from the records that have been published, the original was dated March 22, 2022. And if you look into the alleged statutory violations (which we outlined above), the March 22, 2022 document omits “Mail Fraud.” That’s an important addition for the reasons we’ve outlined below.

By the time Artic Frost commenced, a related grand jury investigation had been opened “with federal law enforcement agencies on January 31, 2022.” Those other agencies were identified as the US Postal Inspection Service and the Investigative Unit of the Office of the Inspector General for the National Archives. The subjects of Artic Frost included: Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. (and those involved in the campaign); attorney John Eastman, who helped lead some of the challenges to the 2020 election; Rudy Giuliani; and Trump advisor (and campaign attorney) Boris Epshteyn. The subjects also included the electors – 60+ persons from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsing who were part of the election challenge efforts.

As we have known for a while, Artic Frost was expansive. Previous filings in Trump’s DC criminal case (which we discussed here) showed that discovery included hundreds of witnesses, 8.5 terabits of data, hundreds (if not thousands) hours of audio and video, and over 11.5 million pages of documents.

Now, thanks to releases from the FBI and Republicans in Congress, we have more details on the specifics of the investigation. It was sweeping, and included:

  • Phone records from not only targets of the investigation – Trump, et al., but of Republican members of Congress (which we also covered).

  • Search warrants for digital conduct.

  • A full grand jury investigation of the alleged criminal activity.

What has been lost is also that the FBI’s Washington Field Office (WFO), back in October 2020, assessed that “the use of American Made Media Consultants (AMMC) as a clearinghouse for Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. (the Trump campaign) spending is likely vulnerable to campaign finance crimes by campaign-connected sub-vendors.”

This campaign finance investigation – which was opened by the FBI’s New York Field Office – stemmed from an AMMC member’s potential gambling activities, his efforts to allegedly evade federal $10,000 reporting requirements when cashing-in his winnings, and the alleged pay-off of a Senegalese government official. The FBI’s thought was that the party (the gambler) potentially used Trump campaign funds distributed through AMMC “for personal or unauthorized use.” It should be noted that the FBI’s October 2020 “Tactical Intelligence Report” made its assessment with “low confidence.”

In June 2022, the FBI re-assessed the financial investigation (or at least had renewed interest in the financial investigation), citing to the House January 6th Committee’s “investigation” into the Trump Campaign’s post-2020 election fundraising, which was promoted as the “Election Defense Fund.” See the FBI email below.

We mention campaign finance and the use of funds to challenge the 2020 election because of Senator Grassley’s recent release of 1700+ pages of grand jury subpoenas requesting financial records from a number of individuals and entities, including:

  • Donald J. Trump for President

  • Jeff Clark

  • American Voting Rights Foundation (which helped fund the Arizona audit)

  • Conservative Partnership Institute (which assists Republicans in training and educating staff, builds coalitions, and helps with staffing)

  • A large number of vendors and contractors involved with the Trump Campaign

  • Cyber Ninjas (who were involved in the Arizona election audit)

  • Sidney Powell

  • Individuals and attorneys who assisted with fundraising for, or distributing funds concerning, election audits.

  • MyPillow

  • Representation or legal fee agreements between fundraising committees and their attorneys

  • Dan Scavino

  • Mark Meadows

Some of these subpoenas were issued by the grand jury before Jack Smith was appointed Special Counsel. But most of them were came after Smith’s November 18, 2022 appointment – some just days after.

It’s pretty clear what happened.

By April 2022 (at the latest), the Biden DOJ wasn’t just pursuing “election interference” charges against Trump, et al. They were going after conservative fundraising and groups promoting conservative causes, as well as the individuals associated with those groups and entities.

That’s why you see mail fraud – a statute used by federal authorities to charge fundraising-related crimes – in the April 2022 Artic Frost opening communication. (We’re fairly certain they also looked at wire fraud.) And through the use of the grand jury, the Biden Administration was able to reach every single group and individual that pursued truth in the 2020 presidential election.

But it’s not only that. The Biden Administration also targeted those groups formed after the 2020 election – such those groups who weren’t involved in “alternative electors” but who assisted and conducted audits.

The predicate for an expansive financial crimes investigation is not addressed in the Artic Frost opening communication. Nor is it addressed in Special Counsel Smith’s final report. It’s telling that a prosecutor as aggressive as Jack Smith found no financial crimes after receiving the records – an indication of just how weak the predicate was.

This wasn’t just about 2020. It was about 2024 and a plan to not only indict the former President and Republican frontrunner, but to kneecap his support and financial infrastructure.

It’s not like the FBI is immune to advancing conspiracy theories. The agency never learned its lesson from Crossfire Hurricane. In September 2022, there was this email from an agent with the Seattle Field Office that relayed “intelligence” from one of their sources regarding Ed Corrigan (bio here), the President and CEO of Conservative Partnership Institute. Corrigan is as harmless as they come - and here we have internal FBI documents discussing him being “pro-Putin and anti-Biden”, that he is engaged with Mark Meadows “in willful criminal activity”, that Corrigan has “properties at which he wants to build up infrastructure to train people for civil war”, and that Corrigan “has plans that are not good for the FBI.”

One of the key questions remaining is what the FBI did with that information - whether that source was trusted, and whether investigations were opened into Corrigan or Kushner based on that obviously false intelligence. We’ll see.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 17:30

'Breathtaking' Fraud: Blackrock Ripped Off For $500 Million In Curious Case Of Bankim Brahmbhatt

Zero Hedge -

'Breathtaking' Fraud: Blackrock Ripped Off For $500 Million In Curious Case Of Bankim Brahmbhatt
  • BlackRock’s HPS Investment Partners has written off roughly $150 million after discovering allegedly falsified collateral behind loans to telecom entrepreneur Bankim Brahmbhatt.
  • The financing, arranged with BNP Paribas, was backed by what turned out to be fabricated accounts receivable and forged customer emails, lawsuits show.
  • Brahmbhatt’s companies - Broadband Telecom, Bridgevoice, and Carriox Capital - have filed for bankruptcy; lenders say total exposure exceeds $500 million.
  • BNP Paribas took a €190 million ($220 million) provision for a “specific credit situation,” without naming the borrower.

The private-credit arm of BlackRock Inc. and other lenders are racing to recover hundreds of millions of dollars after falling victim to what they’ve described as a “breathtaking” fraud - the latest sign of weakness in an opaque corner of the U.S. debt markets.

The lenders, led by HPS Investment Partners, which BlackRock acquired earlier this year, accused businessman Bankim Brahmbhatt of fabricating invoices and accounts receivable that he used as collateral for loans totaling more than $500 million to his telecom-services firms, Broadband Telecom and Bridgevoice.  The alleged scheme is now the subject of an August lawsuit and multiple bankruptcies.

Brahmbhatt, through his attorney, has denied the fraud allegations to the Wall Street Journal

A Familiar Pattern of Trouble

The dispute centers on asset-based financing, a type of private credit deal where lenders extend funds secured by cash flows or receivables from the borrower’s business. The market has ballooned alongside the broader private-credit boom, now topping $1.7 trillion globally, as nonbank lenders rush to fill a void left by traditional banks.

But a series of collapses, which include the headline-grabbing bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor Auto Group, both accused of pledging questionable assets - has raised concerns that private lenders’ due-diligence standards are being stretched thin.

The unraveling of those companies has stoked warnings from finance industry titans including JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Jamie Dimon, who cautioned that one “cockroach” likely portends more. Private credit executives such as Blue Owl Capital Inc.’s Marc Lipschultz pushed back, saying that the firm isn’t seeing rising defaults and noting that the highest-profile issues were in lending that banks led. -Bloomberg

According to public records, Brahmbhatt founded Bankai Group in 1989 in Ahmedabad, India, initially manufacturing push-button telephones before expanding into telecom software and infrastructure. His firm later created technology subsidiary Panamax Inc. and, in 2017, launched Carriox Capital, a non-bank lender offering invoice financing and working-capital loans to telecom carriers.

HPS began financing Carriox Capital in late 2020, later expanding the facility to about $430 million by mid-2024, according to the Journal, while Bloomberg notes that HPS has "since written off its roughly $150 million exposure to zero." 

BNP Paribas helped fund nearly half of that exposure, the people said, though the French bank has declined to comment publicly. In its most recent earnings filing, BNP disclosed a €190 million ($220 million) loan-loss provision tied to a “specific credit situation.”

Bankim Brahmbhatt Bankai Group

The loans were held in two HPS-managed funds. A person close to BlackRock said the exposure represents a small portion of the firm’s $179 billion in assets under management and won’t materially affect fund performance.

Still, the incident underscores how even the largest asset managers are struggling to contain risks as they pour billions into direct lending.

A Trail of Fake Emails and Empty Offices

The unraveling began this summer, when an HPS employee spotted suspicious email addresses supposedly belonging to Carriox customers. The domains mimicked legitimate telecom firms but were slightly altered — a red flag suggesting someone was fabricating customer correspondence.

When confronted, Brahmbhatt assured HPS there was nothing to worry about, then abruptly stopped answering calls, people familiar with the matter said.

A building housing the offices of Brahmbhatt’s companies in Garden City, N.Y.

An HPS representative visiting the company’s Garden City, N.Y. offices found them shuttered. Neighbors said the office had appeared empty for weeks.

The lenders’ subsequent investigation, led by accounting firm CBIZ and law firm Quinn Emanuel, allegedly revealed that every customer email provided by Brahmbhatt’s companies to verify invoices over the previous two years was fake. One supposed customer, Belgium’s BICS, confirmed in writing that the invoices were “a fraud attempt.”

“Brahmbhatt created an elaborate balance sheet of assets that existed only on paper,” lawyers for the lenders wrote in their complaint.

Bankruptcy Filings and Vanishing Collateral

Brahmbhatt’s companies filed for Chapter 11 protection in August, alongside Carriox Capital II and related entities. The lenders allege that millions in pledged assets were quietly transferred to offshore accounts in India and Mauritius before the defaults.

On the same day the corporate bankruptcies were filed, Brahmbhatt himself sought personal bankruptcy protection, despite having previously provided a personal guarantee to his lenders.

HPS and its partners believe Brahmbhatt has since traveled to India, according to people briefed on the matter. His lawyer has not commented on his whereabouts.

For BlackRock and HPS, the direct financial hit appears modest. But for the broader private-credit industry - now rivaling the leveraged-loan market in size - the reputational damage could prove more lasting.

*  *  * CLICK HERE!

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 16:55

Universal Basic Income - Making Slavery Great Again

Zero Hedge -

Universal Basic Income - Making Slavery Great Again

Authored by Dr David Bell via DailySceptic.org,

I once worked in communities supported mainly through a form of Universal Basic Income (UBI). Most money was received from the government for no (or token) work, or from mining royalties where others worked digging on the communities’ lands. There were walls black and heaving with cockroaches while children slept with dogs on stained mattresses below, and babies covered head to toe in pustular scabies while the mother complained about a sore back.

This was not universal, but not uncommon.

Other communities that stood out as strong and healthy had people working hard for a living – particularly in roles that reflected their culture – a very different economy.

Men who once worked hard to support families lose the reason to do so when it makes no real difference, when basics of life and leisure are equally available to those who work for them and those who do nothing. It is not a political issue, just a human behavioural and psychological one. Removing the need to work and the dignity that striving and succeeding brings, especially for one’s family, leads to inaction, loss of interest in the world, a loss of role, loss of dignity and depression. This is dampened by alcohol or drugs. Wives and children suffer by being beaten up by drunk, frustrated and drug-addled men. Having two frequently drunk parents ensures children are malnourished and aimless.

This is not theoretical – it is seen all over the world where people of one culture are overrun by those of another and confined to subservience, economic and societal irrelevance, and handouts. Some people and communities break out of it, usually by finding ways to grow their local economy and achieve some form of self-governance and self-reliance. Breaking out is not common and requires an opportunity, the possibility, to do so.

Our brave new technocratic world

The road much of the ‘developed’ world is currently on is towards UBI, but without that potential for escape. I use this term ‘developed’ in a technological sense – not a human sense – as it denotes technology rather than awareness. UBI will be introduced as a panacea to the problem of artificial intelligence replacing a lot of jobs. The use of AI is increasing because it can accumulate wealth for investors more reliably than employees can. Amazon’s plans to replace humans with robots will not only mean a few hundred thousand human jobs gone at Amazon, but lots more high-street shops boarded up and their employees and owners gone. AI may be overplayed or not, but what Amazon is doing will be widely repeated.

The people out of work, by and large, will be city and town dwellers who must obtain their food from shops (or Amazon). They will need to be given money or food vouchers to do this. Governments will provide these, because they cannot afford responsibility for abject poverty on a mass scale, and many in government also mean well. People will increasingly rent their housing from Blackstone or a similar corporate entity rather than own it, further increasing their dependence. For a while, some people will play online games or draw pictures and grow token lettuces on their balconies, but knowing this is just window dressing on life. Then they will go the way of the communities at the top of this piece, taking families and communities with them.

Government UBI will happen – it already does to some extent in the widespread use of welfare payments, but the future will see it on a far, far larger scale. It will not be cash handouts but digital currency. This will be a tightly controlled version, as in a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), because the government will claim responsibility to control the money it dispenses. CBDC is essentially food vouchers, and intended to be. Your UBI will be yours as long as you use it for what the government allows, within the time it allows.

Well-meaning people are already building the social acceptability for this. Those suggesting now that a virtuous society should prevent food vouchers or unemployment benefits being used for sugar-based drinks or tobacco believe already that dependent people have lost the right to autonomy. Again, this is not at all theoretical.  It is exactly what this form of money is intended for. Most people in society will see its introduction as a good thing, as they are fine limiting the freedom of others if they beileve it serves a greater good.

Living as safe as slaves

In countries like Canada, if you protest against the government you can already lose your right to buy or sell. If you need permission to obtain the basics of life and cannot make your own choices on the pursuit of happiness, and you are punished for questioning those who restrict you, then you are in a master-slave relationship. In time, most people will become essentially a slave of the UBI provider, the government. This is the design behind UBI and CBDCs. It is why very rich people, the people who own the AI and robotics that are going to make so much human labour superfluous, see this as an excellent path.

All the above will not seem at all dystopian. Governments will control their populations as part of ‘saving the world’ and will readily convince a majority of the population that being saved is a good idea. We need governments to save us from climate catastrophe by stopping us travelling, as our children are already told. We need large corporations to save us from pandemics, including those the same corporations’ laboratories may develop. We need ever more expensive pharmaceuticals injected into us to save us from the scourge of obesity – to save us from our own inability to control our eating. We will certainly need saving from mass unemployment and the inability of a large part of the population to earn their own keep.

Saving people is, after all, the government’s job. As the last few years have shown, convincing populations to indulge in self-harm on the pretext of being saved is much easier than we thought. We will slip back into slavery, into a feudal system, because most people will choose it.

A conversation we are unlikely to have

So, we need to talk about UBI because a lot of people think it is a harbinger of a great future, but it is something else. They think people will somehow flourish when they have nothing much useful to do, when they get money for being idle and compliant and there is no compelling incentive to get out of bed in the morning. A temporary social welfare net is what society should do to protect its members and act with decency. UBI – permanent free money for the majority – is something else entirely. It will ensure that the vast majority can never break out of their lot and recover any semblance of the real economic autonomy necessary for societal flourishing.

The UBI future is simply a return to the default of human societies through the ages – feudalism – but without even the relative purpose found in walking behind a plough. Human nature leads us to want to stay on top if we are already there, or wallow in depression if there is no potential for improvement. Depression, drugs, violence, neglect – this is the UBI and CBDC future.

Over the past few hundred years many societies broke free of feudalism. This freedom has been a brief time in the sun. Accepting or rejecting Universal Basic Income as a basis for fixing the rapidly approaching decimation of useful employment will determine whether the sun keeps shining or we return to the oppressive societal default. Slavery for many will seem easier than struggling, and far safer. Once dependent, the luxury of struggling may be gone. We need a real conversation before we turn irretrievably down that road.

Tyler Durden Sat, 11/01/2025 - 16:20

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