Individual Economists

MiB: Judd Kessler, Lucky by Design

The Big Picture -



 

 

This week, I speak with Judd Kessler, author of “Lucky by Design: The Hidden Economics You Need to Get More of What You Want,” and a professor at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

We discuss his research into the hidden markets that allocate value to desirable things such as restaurant reservations. We also delve into Judd’s research into how couples allocate their resources within a relationship and possible alternate ways to distribute concert tickets.

A list of his current reading/favorite books is here; A transcript of our conversation is available here Tuesday.

You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube (audio), YouTube (video), and Bloomberg.All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here.

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business next week with Songyee Yoon, founder and managing partner of Principal Venture Partners, an AI-focused investment firm established in 2024, and since 2025 a member of the board of directors of HP Inc.

 

 

 

Authored Book

 

Current Reading/Favorite Books

 

 

 

The post MiB: Judd Kessler, Lucky by Design appeared first on The Big Picture.

Fannie Mae Set To Accept Crypto As Collateral For Home Loans For First Time

Zero Hedge -

Fannie Mae Set To Accept Crypto As Collateral For Home Loans For First Time

Fannie Mae, the giant government-backed mortgage securitizer, is preparing to accept cryptocurrency as collateral for home loans for the first time, marking a further step in the integration of digital assets into traditional U.S. housing finance, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Mortgage lender Better Home & Finance Holding Co. and crypto exchange Coinbase are teaming up to allow home buyers to pledge Bitcoin or the USDC stablecoin to secure a down payment on a Fannie Mae-conforming mortgage.

While crypto-backed mortgages have existed in limited forms, Fannie Mae’s involvement—through loans it will purchase and guarantee—could bring such arrangements into the mainstream of the $12 trillion U.S. mortgage market.

The Journal has more details:

The new mortgage product works like this: A home buyer gets a traditional 15- or 30-year Fannie-backed mortgage from Better. Instead of making a cash down payment, the buyer gets a separate loan, backed by either bitcoin or USDC, a popular stablecoin.

Paying interest on a second loan instead of making a cash down payment can increase the overall cost of homeownership significantly. The interest rate on both loans would range from comparable to typical Fannie Mae mortgages to 1.5 percentage points higher.

“A lot of those crypto owners and investors have not been able to become homeowners,” because they don’t want to sell their crypto investments, said Max Branzburg, Coinbase’s head of consumer and business products. “We haven’t really had the best way to service that need.”

The development comes as the Trump administration moves to enact regulation aimed at establishing the United States as the number one destination for building crypto companies.

Speaking in January at the World Economic Forum, President Trump said he helped secure America’s place as the “crypto capital of the world” by backing legislation aimed at boosting the digital asset industry.

Trump touted his signing of a “landmark GENIUS Act” last year, focused on stablecoins, partly to gain political support and partly to keep China from leading the space.

"China wanted that market too," the president told attendees. "We have to make it so that China doesn't get the hold of it. It's just like they want the AI, and we've got that market, I think, pretty well locked up."

*  *  * On sale!

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 14:00

How To Convert Your 401(k) Into A Reliable Monthly Paycheck

Zero Hedge -

How To Convert Your 401(k) Into A Reliable Monthly Paycheck

Authored by Adam H. Douglas via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Yes, you can turn your 401(k) into a predictable monthly paycheck in retirement. The key is to move from the accumulation phase to a structured distribution strategy. Many retirees combine systematic withdrawals, dividend-producing investments, and guaranteed income sources such as annuities.

Smart planning can turn your 401(k) balance into a predictable cash flow. Ladanifer/Shutterstock

By balancing these tools and managing withdrawal rates carefully, you can convert a fluctuating retirement account balance into a steady income stream that helps cover monthly living expenses throughout retirement.

Why the Distribution Phase Matters

During your working years, your focus is simple: build the largest retirement account balance possible. Contributions, employer matches, and market growth drive the accumulation phase.

Once you stop working, your 401(k) must shift from a growth vehicle into an income engine. Instead of asking, “How big is my account balance?” the better question becomes, “How much income can this generate each month?”

Without a clear strategy, withdrawals can become inconsistent and risky. Market downturns early in retirement may reduce your portfolio faster than expected.

To help you before you retire, here’s a structured income framework.

Creating a Retirement Paycheck From a 401(k) Step 1: Estimate Your Monthly Retirement Income Needs

Before converting your 401(k) into income, start with a clear picture of your retirement spending.

Most retirees separate expenses into two categories:

Essential expenses

  • housing costs
  • utilities
  • food and transportation
  • health insurance and medical care

Discretionary spending

  • travel
  • hobbies
  • dining and entertainment

A common guideline suggests retirees aim to replace 70–80 percent of their pre-retirement income, though the exact number varies based on lifestyle and debt levels.

Once you determine your monthly income goal, you can begin designing a withdrawal strategy that supports it.

Step 2: Use a Systematic Withdrawal Strategy

One of the simplest ways to create a retirement paycheck is through systematic withdrawals: taking out a set amount from your retirement account each month or quarter.

One guideline is the 4 percent rule. You withdraw roughly 4 percent of your retirement portfolio during the first year of retirement and adjust amounts annually for inflation.

The rule is meant to help portfolios last about 30 years under historical market conditions. However, it works best when combined with a diversified portfolio and flexibility during volatile markets.

Many retirement plans allow you to set automatic monthly distributions, which can mimic the feel of receiving a paycheck.

Step 3: Add Dividend-Producing Investments

Another way to generate consistent retirement income is through dividend-paying assets.

Dividend stocks and income-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) distribute cash payments to investors regularly, often quarterly.

These payments can supplement your systematic withdrawals.

Potential dividend sources include:

  • dividend-paying blue-chip stocks
  • dividend-focused ETFs
  • real estate investment trusts (REITs)
  • high-quality corporate bonds

For example, a portfolio producing a 3 percent dividend yield on a $600,000 investment could generate about $18,000 annually, or $1,500 per month before taxes.

Dividend income may help reduce how much you need to sell during market downturns, which can help protect your portfolio from sequence-of-returns risk.

Step 4: Consider Guaranteed Income Options

Some retirees prefer adding income sources that resemble traditional pensions.

Annuities are insurance products that convert a lump sum into guaranteed payments for a fixed period or for life.

Common types include:

  • Immediate annuities: Begin paying income shortly after purchase.
  • Deferred income annuities: Start payments later in retirement.
  • Longevity annuities: Designed to protect against the risk of outliving your savings.

For example, converting a portion of your 401(k) into an immediate annuity may produce monthly payments that continue regardless of market conditions.

While annuities provide stability, they typically limit flexibility and may involve fees, so many retirees use them only for part of their retirement savings.

Step 5: Manage Taxes and Required Minimum Distributions

Withdrawals from traditional 401(k) accounts are typically taxed as ordinary income.

After age 73, the Internal Revenue Service also requires minimum distributions (RMDs), which mandate that retirees withdraw a certain percentage of their retirement accounts each year.

Tax planning strategies may include:

  • gradual withdrawals before RMD age
  • Roth IRA conversions during lower-income years
  • coordinating withdrawals with Social Security income

Managing these factors carefully can help reduce taxes and preserve more of your retirement income.

Step 6: Build a Balanced Retirement Income Plan

The most resilient retirement paycheck strategies combine several income sources.

Diversifying income streams can reduce reliance on any single source and provide greater financial stability throughout retirement.

Keep in Mind
  • Market volatility can affect withdrawal sustainability if downturns occur early in retirement.
  • Inflation reduces purchasing power over time, especially during long retirements.
  • Longevity risk means your income plan may need to support 25–30 years or more.
  • Adjusting withdrawals during weak market years and maintaining a diversified portfolio can help your retirement income last longer.
Frequently Asked Questions About Turning a 401(k) Into Monthly Income How Much Monthly Income Can a 401(k) Provide?

The amount of income a 401(k) can generate depends on your account balance, withdrawal rate, and investment returns. Withdrawing about 4 percent annually is a common guideline. For example, a $750,000 retirement account could generate roughly $30,000 per year, or about $2,500 per month. However, retirees often supplement withdrawals with Social Security benefits, dividend income, or annuities. Retirement spending needs, health care costs, and expected lifespan should all be considered when estimating how much monthly income your 401(k) can support.

Can You Set Up Automatic Monthly Payments From a 401(k)?

Yes, most retirement plan providers allow you to schedule automatic distributions from your account. These systematic withdrawals can be set up monthly, quarterly, or annually, depending on your preference. Many retirees choose monthly payments to create a predictable “retirement paycheck.” Distribution amounts can often be adjusted over time to account for inflation, investment performance, or changes in spending needs. Automatic withdrawals may help budget discipline and avoid large lump-sum withdrawals that could disrupt long-term portfolio sustainability.

What Is the Biggest Risk When Withdrawing From a 401(k)?

Sequence-of-returns risk, which occurs when major market losses happen early in retirement while you are withdrawing funds, is one of the biggest. Early losses can permanently reduce your portfolio and shorten lifespans. Retirees often manage this risk by holding diversified investments, maintaining a cash buffer, and adjusting withdrawals during market downturns. Strategies such as dividend income and annuities may also reduce the need to sell investments during periods of market stress, helping preserve long-term retirement income stability.

The Epoch Times copyright © 2026. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors. They are meant for general informational purposes only and should not be construed or interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation. The Epoch Times does not provide investment, tax, legal, financial planning, estate planning, or any other personal finance advice. The Epoch Times holds no liability for the accuracy or timeliness of the information provided.

*  *  * Top Supplements

Brain Rescue

Mushroom 10x

Ultimate Omega 3

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 12:50

Hormuz Bypasses Maxed Out: Saudi East-West Pipeline Hits Record 7 MMb/d, As UAE Fujairah Crude Loadings Reach Capacity

Zero Hedge -

Hormuz Bypasses Maxed Out: Saudi East-West Pipeline Hits Record 7 MMb/d, As UAE Fujairah Crude Loadings Reach Capacity

The ramp up in Saudi Arabia's Hormuz-bypassing East-West pipeline has been nothing short of remarkable.

Two days after we reported that flow through the pipeline which crosses Saudi Arabia east to west for oil flows (hence the name) and is also known as the Abqaiq-Yanbu pipeline for nat gas flows had doubled from roughly 1.5 million before the war, today Bloomberg updates on the latest flow numbers and it now appears that the crucial East-West pipeline is pumping oil at its full capacity of 7 million barrels a day. 

Crude exports via Yanbu have now reached about 5 million barrels a day and the kingdom is also exporting 700,000 to 900,000 barrels a day of refined products, according to the Bloomberg source familiar with the Saudi oil industry. Of the 7 million barrels a day that go through the pipeline, 2 million are destined for Saudi refineries. 

This remarkable achievement, which many experts predicted would take weeks longer to achieve, is the culmination of the kingdom’s longstanding contingency plan for keeping its oil flowing after the effective closure of their main export route. Meanwhile, the Red Sea next to the Saudi port terminal of Yanbu is becoming a bit of a tanker parking lot as flotillas of tankers patiently await to collect the oil, providing an important lifeline for global supply.

As reported previously, Saudi Arabia has been preparing for decades for the worst-case scenario of Hormuz closing. It put its contingency plan to work within hours of the first US and Israeli strikes on Iran, and has been ramping up east-west shipments ever since. Running the breadth of the Arabian Peninsula from the massive oil fields in the east of the country to the industrial port city of Yanbu, the pipeline is more than 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) long. It’s a by-product of a previous conflict - the 1980s Iran-Iraq war - which saw attacks on ships in the Strait, but nothing like the unprecedented near-closure the current conflict has caused.

Despite the record flow, the Yanbu route still only partly offsets the hit to supply from shutting Hormuz, through which about 15 million barrels a day of crude shipments passed before the war. But the bypass is one reason oil prices haven’t reached the crisis-level highs of previous supply shocks. 

However, with Yemen’s Houthis now saying they are entering the war, the concern for oil markets will be that the Red Sea becomes a new front in the conflict. While the Houthis have not given any indication they would attack tankers going through the Red Sea and Bab El-Mandeb strait, they have previously threatened shipping in the area with drones and missiles.

UAE's Fujairah Nears Capacity

It's not just Saudi Arabia that has been ramping up its options to bypass the Strait: the United Arab Emirates has also maxed out oil exports from a vital port that lies outside the Strait of Hormuz, after some of the biggest crude loading infrastructure resumed operations following Iranian drone strikes earlier this month.

The largest crude operations by Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) in Fujairah are picking up after they had halted March 14. The port in the UAE’s east coast has a critical role as an outlet for oil bypassing the all-but shut Hormuz waterway, making it among the energy sites most frequently targeted by Tehran. After Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea port of Yanbu, it’s the biggest exit point for Persian Gulf crude circumventing the maritime chokepoint.

As Bloomberg reports, the return of much of Adnoc’s operations helped push up crude loading to about 1.9 million barrels a day over the March 20-24 period. That’s up 57% from the average flows of about 1.21 million barrels a day over the past year, as the UAE pushes to get more cargoes out through the route with Hormuz still mostly blocked.

The latest crude oil export figures suggest a 252-mile (406-kilometer) Adnoc-owned pipeline - linking Habshan, the collection point for Abu Dhabi’s onshore fields, to the port - is operating close to its capacity.

The uptick compares with an average of 1.48 million barrels a day for the month through March 24. More recent exports still need to be verified as electronic jamming is widely blocking the transmission of satellite signals that allow tracking in the region.

Fujairah’s proximity to Iran - it’s about 80 miles (130 kilometers) south of Hormuz, nestled in the shadow of the Al Hajar mountains - makes it more vulnerable than Yanbu. Over the past four weeks, Tehran has attacked Fujairah at least seven times, destroying storage tanks and causing fires in a petrochemicals complex.

Besides crude oil, Fujairah also has large fuel-loading operations. Part of that system is still out of commission, after a key manifold was damaged in a strike more than three weeks ago. Most fuel is currently being loaded via an older section of the port, which connects directly to the ship berths without going via the manifold, according to people with knowledge of the situation. Refineries, including one run by a unit of Vitol Group, are still halted.

Fujairah — which became a refueling port for tankers during the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s, before the construction of storage tanks at the turn of the century — exported its first crude in 2012.

*  *  *

Spring Sale - Readywise

Anza - limited edition knives & mini shanks

Protein - your daily usual + peptides

*  *  *

“It took foresight to build a pipeline that bypasses the strait and was an effort to reduce dependence on a single chokepoint,” said Ben Cahill, director for energy markets and policy at the University of Texas at Austin’s center for energy. “At this point, every barrel matters.”

Still, Iranian attacks have deterred some shippers from calling at Fujairah, while loading systems and storage tanks — especially at the port’s product terminals — have been damaged.  More importantly, those initial strikes damaged systems in the port, known as the Matrix Manifolds, which manage the flow of oil from each of the tank farms. Refined products are pumped through a complex web of piping arriving at a single point where the flows are then directed to any of more than a dozen ship berths.

A tank farm run by companies including Royal Vopak of the Netherlands and Dubai’s Emirates National Oil Co. halted loadings when the initial strikes crippled the manifolds, according to the people who asked not to be identified discussing operational issues. Loading from the Vopak Horizon terminal restarted late this week, according to a March 26 report from Inchchape Shipping Services.

Now Fujairah is working to restore full export capacity for refined products from a vast network of storage tanks that can store up to 70 million barrels. Fujairah has also developed into one of the top three ports for bunker fuel — the propellant used by ships — although the effective closure of Hormuz has curbed demand.

According to Bloomberg, traders took a net 404,000 barrels of fuel out of Fujairah’s tanks in the week through March 23, representing a 2.8% decline in stocks, according to data from the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone and compiled by Platts, a unit of S&P Global Inc. While some terminal operators are trying to empty their tanks to reduce fire risks, others have been reluctant to load for fear that would make them a target, according to people familiar with the operations.

Finally, taking a look at the Hormuz closure, which remains Iran's only remaining Trump card and which Tehran has now played, increasingly more ships are now crossing: in addition to China and India, traditionally the biggest export clients of gulf oil, Japan has also reportedly reached a deal with Iran to be allowed passage. This morning, Thailand Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul said his country had negotiated an agreement with Iran to allow the safe passage of Thai oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

Anutin said the agreement would ease some concerns about Thailand’s oil supply. The Thai Ministry of Foreign Affairs said this week it had successfully secured the passage through the strait of a tanker owned by the Bangchak Corporation, a Thai energy conglomerate. Earlier this month Iran said its forces fired on a Thai-flagged cargo ship, Mayuree Naree, which caught fire north of Oman after being hit by an unknown projectile. Three crew members went missing and another 20 were rescued.

Also on Saturday morning, ship tracking services reported that two LPG tankers and two bulk carriers exited the Gulf, with all four ships following a northern route that passes through the narrow gap between the two Iranian islands of Larak and Qeshm which many speculate the US will seek to take over with a marine invasion due to their critical importance in halting strait traffic.

 

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 12:15

Audits Spotlight Unusual Trends In Medicaid Spending For Autism Care

Zero Hedge -

Audits Spotlight Unusual Trends In Medicaid Spending For Autism Care

Authored by Sylvia Xu via The Epoch Times,

One in 31 U.S. children has an autism diagnosis. Among Minnesota’s Somali community, that number jumps to one in 12.

That discrepancy made headlines last fall when the Department of Justice charged a Somali woman with netting millions in fraudulent autism services.

Now, state and federal investigators are putting autism spending in the spotlight.

The September 2025 federal indictment alleged that a therapy center—run by 28-year-old Asha Farhan Hassan—recruited Somali children for an autism services program that was then reimbursed by Medicaid.

The White House pointed to the indictment on March 16 in an executive order announcing the creation of a federal task force to eliminate fraud.

“The staggering fraud and waste in Minnesota alone is a case in point,”  the order reads.

“There is also strong reason to believe that similar problems exist in other States, including California, Illinois, New York, Maine, and Colorado.”

Nationwide, Medicaid spending for autism therapy services increased by over 200 percent between 2018 and 2024—nearly four times the rate of overall Medicaid spending. In some states, the increase was much higher.

The surge is linked to what Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has called an autism epidemic, including “an alarming escalation in case severity, and increasingly stark disparities across racial and ethnic groups.”

However, investigators say the rise in spending can’t be explained by the increase in diagnoses or escalation in severity alone.

Meanwhile, a series of federal audits has drawn attention to four states where auditors found millions in “improper” or incorrectly billed payments for Medicaid-funded autism services.

Here is a look at states that have uncovered higher-than-usual Medicaid spending for autism services.

Minnesota

Since 2018, Minnesota has spent more than $18 billion on 14 Medicaid programs considered “high risk” for fraud, Assistant U.S. Attorney Joe Thompson said in December.

More than $9 billion of that money went to fraud, Thompson estimated, announcing another autism related indictment.

The state’s Early Intensive Developmental and Behavioral Intervention program, which treats children under 21 with autism spectrum disorder, is under particular scrutiny.

It’s the coverage framework for services like applied behavior analysis, a major part of the program.

Applied behavior analysis is a widely used behavior therapy, primarily used with children who have been diagnosed with autism or other developmental disorders. It can include teaching children to follow directions or practicing communication or social skills. Registered behavior technicians usually administer the therapy, supervised by more highly trained behavior analysts.

On March 17, Minnesota released the results of its own audit investigating allegations of kickbacks in the state’s autism services program.

For over 30 years, the report said, the state’s definition of “fraud” has not included kickbacks.

“While DHS could have acted at any time to revise its rules, it has permitted the error to stand since 1995, limiting its authority to address kickbacks,” the report said.

Meanwhile, the cost of the state’s autism early intervention service increased nearly 1,600 percent from 2019 to 2024, according to a March report from the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.

Enrollment ballooned by more than 620 percent during those years.

A state-commissioned report from United Health Group’s Optum division found Minnesota could have saved more than $1 billion in autism early intervention costs between January 2022 and October 2025, if officials had clarified ambiguous policies. An addendum to the January report revised that number to $703 million.

An investigation revealed patterns of claims that didn’t match clear policies or procedures.

“If the pre-payment system being developed now had been in place at the time, these items would have been flagged for further review and payments paused, until additional investigation was completed,” John Connolly, deputy human services commissioner and state Medicaid director, said in February.

“This is not a measure of fraud, waste and abuse, but it shows us where we need to do more work to understand why these claims are raising red flags,” Connolly said in a statement.

Nebraska

Nebraska’s Medicaid spending for applied behavior analysis increased notably over a similar time period. It grew by 1,700 percent from 2020 to 2024, according to a report last fall from the state’s Health and Human Services department.

The number of companies providing applied behavior analysis services nearly quadrupled, growing from 10 to 38 over the four years.

The number of behavior analysts and technicians billing for autism services in the Cornhusker State rose by 761 percent from 2019 to 2024—higher than Minnesota’s rate of growth in that area, which was 646 percent, according to a December report from Trilliant Health, a health care analytics company.

The payment rates in Nebraska were the highest in the nation, according to the Nebraska Department of Health and Human Services.

“We found that Nebraska’s rates for these services have been significantly higher, some more than twice as high, as those of other state Medicaid programs,” said Drew Gonshorowski, Medicaid and long-term care division director for the department.

A behavior technician in Nebraska earned $36.11 per 15-minute unit in 2024. That’s slightly more than $144 an hour, and 130 percent higher than the national average.

Behavior technicians typically undergo 40 hours of training and must have a minimum of a high school diploma.

In August 2025, the state agency reduced Medicaid payment for a behavior technician by 48 percent, bringing the rate from $36.11 to $18.70 per 15-minute unit, or $74.80 per hour.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, spending on autism therapy is projected to exceed $1 billion over the next two years.

Medicaid spending on applied behavior analysis in the state grew by 347 percent from 2022 to 2025, North Carolina Medicaid deputy secretary Melanie Bush reported in a joint legislative oversight committee meeting March 10.

“Nothing here can answer the question of where that growth rate is coming from,” state Sen. Ralph Hise said during the meeting.

Spending growth was concentrated among a small number of providers and far outpaced growth in new provider enrollment, according to a report from the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services.

Utilization growth also increased faster than the autism diagnoses, the report said.

While total Medicaid enrollees receiving applied behavior analysis services grew by 249 percent over the four years, the number of 15-minute service increments increased even more, by 305 percent.

“Utilization growth far outpaces increases in Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) diagnosis,” the report said, adding that it’s “unlikely that this level of growth can be explained by increased access alone.”

Massachusetts

MassHealth, the Medicaid and children’s health insurance program for Massachusetts, overpaid autism service providers $17.3 million in 2024, according to an audit report from the state’s Office of the Inspector General.

The state’s spending on autism services rose 36 percent between 2021 and 2023, according to the 2024 report.

State rules require that a licensed applied behavior analyst provide at least one hour of supervision for every 10 hours of therapy given by a technician.

Nearly $16.8 million was overpaid because the therapy provided was over that ratio and should not have been billed, the audit found.

Further, from 2018 to 2022, behavior technician roles in the state grew at twice the pace of licensed supervisor positions, at 129 percent and 52 percent, respectively.

When applied behavior analysis is not properly supervised, it undermines the quality of care for vulnerable children and results in the waste of public funds, the audit concluded.

Federal Audits

At the federal level, the HHS Office of Inspector General is investigating services and billing patterns for Medicaid applied behavior analysis services provided to children with autism.

The audits, which began in 2022, have been completed for four states: Colorado, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Maine. Three other audits remain in progress.

The federal agency estimated nearly $200 million in improper payments and more than $400 million in potential improper payments for these states.

The completed audits found payments that were improper or potentially improper in 100 percent of reviewed claims. That was often due to inadequate records, such as missing progress notes, lack of supervision logs, or billing issues.

However, the audits also uncovered problems that could affect the quality and safety of care, such as criminal convictions for weapons offenses, assault or driving under the influence.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:40

French Police Foil Overnight Terror Plot: Suspect Caught Trying To Ignite Bomb Outside BofA Headquarters In Paris

Zero Hedge -

French Police Foil Overnight Terror Plot: Suspect Caught Trying To Ignite Bomb Outside BofA Headquarters In Paris

French anti-terrorism authorities thwarted an attempted attack early Saturday morning when police arrested a suspect as he tried to ignite an explosive device directly in front of the Bank of America headquarters in Paris. 

The incident unfolded around 3:25-3:30 a.m. when officers from the Paris police's BAC (Brigade Anti-Criminalité) unit, already on heightened patrol near the building due to prior threats, spotted the individual attempting to set fire to the device with a lighter. The device consisted of a 5-liter transparent jerrycan filled with an unidentified flammable liquid (reportedly a hydrocarbon such as gasoline) attached to a mortar-style tube or large firecracker containing approximately 650 grams of explosive powder. No detonation occurred, and there were no injuries or damage.

A second individual, believed to have been acting as a lookout, fled the scene on foot. The arrested suspect, a 17-year-old minor born in Senegal and residing in a Paris suburb, was taken into custody. During initial questioning, he reportedly claimed he had been dropped off at the location by a driver and was recruited via the social media app Snapchat for a payment of €600 to carry out the act.

BofA Paris HQ, April 2019

According to Le MondeFrance’s Parquet National Antiterroriste (PNAT), the national anti-terrorism prosecutor’s office, immediately opened a formal investigation. The probe is being conducted in flagrante delicto on charges including:

  • Attempted degradation by fire or dangerous means in connection with a terrorist undertaking
  • Manufacturing, possession, and transport of an incendiary or explosive device in a terrorist context
  • Participation in a terrorist criminal association

The Paris judicial police’s anti-terrorism section and France’s domestic intelligence agency, the DGSI, are leading the inquiry alongside judicial police units. The device was secured and sent for analysis by the Paris police prefecture’s central laboratory.

Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez praised the officers’ swift action on social media, stating: “Bravo to the rapid intervention of a Paris prefecture crew that allowed thwarting a violent action of a terrorist nature this night in Paris. Vigilance remains more than ever at a high level.”

A spokeswoman for Bank of America confirmed the company was “aware of the situation” and is cooperating with French authorities. The building had reportedly been under increased surveillance due to previous threats, including a recent video from a pro-Iran group that singled out the bank as a target linked to “Zionist and Israeli interests.”

This foiled plot occurs against a backdrop of heightened terrorist threat levels in France and Europe, with authorities maintaining elevated vigilance amid ongoing international tensions. The investigation continues, with efforts focused on identifying any broader network or accomplices. No further arrests have been reported as of Saturday afternoon.

The suspect remains in police custody, and authorities have not yet released additional details about his background or possible motives. Updates are expected as the probe advances.

* * *

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:30

Russia Warns Situation At Bushehr Nuclear Plant Deteriorating After 3rd Airstrike In Ten Days

Zero Hedge -

Russia Warns Situation At Bushehr Nuclear Plant Deteriorating After 3rd Airstrike In Ten Days

On Friday Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency that Bushehr nuclear power plant was struck by US-Israeli attacks for the third time since the start of the war.

At the same time, the head of Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom has confirmed that the situation continues to deteriorate; however, there's as yet been no damage to the operating reactor and no release of radiation reported. It was the third strike in just ten days.

The Kremlin has newly accused Washington and Israel of putting the whole region in danger, and further of harming the cause of nuclear non-proliferation globally.

Anadolu Agency

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova has issued a fresh statement: "The drama of the situation is aggravated by the fact that countries attacking peaceful nuclear facilities in Iran are effectively undermining the NPT, the IAEA's verification mechanisms, nuclear and physical security conventions, as well as the agency's relevant regulations," according to the ministry's website.

"Carefully crafted and internationally agreed solutions are not taken seriously by these states and can be discarded at any moment in favor of their selfish interests and geopolitical considerations," the spokeswoman added.

Zakharova further communicated that atrocities in Iran must cease, and nuclear sites must be safeguarded, referencing the latest attacks in the past days on the complex in Khondab, the factory in Ardakan, and the strikes near the Bushehr nuclear power plant.

"The aggressors continue to raise the stakes in their war in the Middle East, ignoring all associated risks, including the danger of widespread radioactive contamination," Zakharova said.

She further chastised UN and international bodies for not stepping up to loudly condemn the US-Israeli operation.

Russia has a direct interest in Iran's nuclear sites, given hundreds of Russian experts and technicians have long helped operate them, and support the Islamic Republic's domestic nuclear power generation for its electricity needs. Reuters reported this week:

Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom ​evacuated a further ‌163 of its staff from Iran's Bushehr nuclear ​power plant on ​Wednesday, the state-run RIA ⁠news agency reported.

It ​cited Rosatom chief Alexei ​Likhachev as saying about 300 of the company's staff ​remained at Bushehr, ​but more would be leaving.

Some 500 to 1,000 Russian staff are there during normal operations, and presumably many more are at other sites throughout the country. Russia helped construct many of these very complexes many years ago.

*  *  *

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:05

Maersk Slaps Emergency Fuel Surcharge As War Upends Marine Supply Chains

Zero Hedge -

Maersk Slaps Emergency Fuel Surcharge As War Upends Marine Supply Chains

Submitted by Michael Kern of OilPrice.com,

The war in the Middle East has upended shipping fuel markets with prices of marine fuels skyrocketing and regions running low on supply, pushing some traders to forgo cargo and ship additional fuel volumes to key bunkering ports outside the Middle East.

The price of fuel oil has surged this month as the stalled tanker traffic at the Strait of Hormuz is tightening supplies of the fuel in Asia, the key bunkering hub for fuel oil used in ships.

The Middle East is a major global supplier of fuel oil, especially of high-sulfur fuel oil (HSFO). But the Iran war has all but halted traffic via the Strait of Hormuz, stranding supplies for Asia and its key bunkering hub of Singapore.

Yet, stocks in Singapore have increased this month as shipping owners and operators have refrained from buying the too expensive fuel. These, however, could soon start to deplete, fast, because vessels are becoming desperate to refuel, according to a Financial Times analysis.

One trader told the publication that their firm had to forgo cargo in order to deliver additional fuel volumes between major ports, mostly between the United States and Singapore.

With the Middle East's key bunkering port of Fujairah mostly offline by the end of March due to Iranian attacks earlier this month, the marine fuel market is in chaos.

Shipping giant Maersk warned in its latest Middle East advisory this week that "To preserve network stability, we have undertaken significant redistribution of fuels to offset shortages in the Middle East, and are securing alternative sources from different locations, suppliers, and at increased premiums."

Maersk also introduced as of March 25 an Emergency Bunker Surcharge (EBS), "in response to notable fluctuations in fuel supply and the additional costs of distribution."

Maersk's chief commercial officer Karsten Kildahl said earlier this month that "There is currently sufficient fuel globally, but it is unevenly distributed. As a result, we are making changes to our fuel supply chain and begin moving fuel to ensure our vessels can continue to bunker where needed – and protect the flow of trade."

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 10:30

The European Union Hates Hungary, Loves Ukraine

Zero Hedge -

The European Union Hates Hungary, Loves Ukraine

Authored by J.B. Shurk via American Thinker,

What’s in a name?  These days…not much.

The European Union does not include Ukraine; nevertheless and notwithstanding the objections of E.U. members Hungary and Slovakia...

...the European supra-state insists on paying the salaries of Ukraine’s government bureaucracy while that nation’s martial-law-holdover-president, Volodymyr Zelensky, fights to maintain control over a breakaway region that has rejected Ukrainian rule since the 2014 coup d’état of Ukraine’s then-president, Viktor Yanukovych.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization does not include Ukraine; nevertheless and notwithstanding the objections of NATO members Hungary and Slovakia...

....the American-led military alliance insists on sending money and weapons to the Kyiv regime warring with the Russian Federation over territories whose people overwhelmingly identify as Russian.  Former Dutch prime minister and current secretary general of NATO, Mark Rutte, has stated on multiple occasions that the military alliance would continue to help defend non-NATO-member Ukraine.  

According to Ukraine’s newly appointed, thirty-something-year-old defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine has over two million draft dodgers and a quarter of a million active-duty troops who have gone AWOL.  

So NATO is protecting a non-NATO country whose men refuse to fight.  

NATO is assisting a Kyiv dictatorship that depends almost entirely upon conscription (including the violent “busification” of “recruits” after draft officers break into vehicles and homes with drawn weapons).

While the E.U. and NATO fight Russian authoritarianism by protecting Ukrainian authoritarianism, both institutions have remained relatively quiet as member states sustain actual attacks.  Seven months after Russia moved to annex the Russophone regions of Ukraine, the Nord Stream pipelines transporting natural gas from Russia to Germany were sabotaged and made inoperable.  German, Dutch, and French energy companies own interests in the pipelines.  Subsequent German investigations have identified a dozen Ukrainian suspects, including members of a Kyiv diving school where military personnel train.  Several independent journalists have concluded that Ukraine’s military carried out the underwater demolition of the Nord Stream pipelines.

If Ukraine’s government was, in fact, responsible for the destruction of the pipelines, then Ukraine (a non-NATO member) destroyed property belonging to NATO members.  Ukraine’s alleged act of sabotage cut off Russia’s inexpensive natural gas from most of Europe.  (Prior to the war, Russia supplied 45% of the E.U.’s natural gas imports.)  So the destruction of the pipelines has raised the cost of energy (and the price of finished goods transported within the Union) for European citizens.  NATO continues to protect a nation that may have directly attacked members of the military alliance.

Similarly, Ukraine has caused an international incident with regard to the European-Russian Druzhba (which means, “friendship”) Pipeline that was jointly constructed to transport Russian oil to Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Germany, and the Czech Republic.  Last year, Ukraine’s military bombed several pumping stations servicing the pipeline.  This year, Ukraine’s government claims that Russia attacked the Ukrainian section of the Druzhba Pipeline (a claim the Russian Federation denies), effectively halting all deliveries of Russian oil to Hungary and Slovakia.  As both nations are almost entirely dependent upon this oil supply, the pipeline’s inoperability has created a major energy crisis for citizens of Hungary and Slovakia.  Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico blame Ukraine for the oil shutdown.  Ukraine’s president/dictator Zelensky says he has no intention of repairing the pipeline.  After Hungary and Slovakia blocked additional sanctions on the Russian Federation and a ninety-billion-euro gift (a loan that never needs to be repaid) for Ukraine’s regime, Ukraine’s military destroyed another critical transit node of the Druzhba Pipeline in Russia.

President/Dictator Zelensky also made a little news two weeks ago when he directly threatened Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán’s life: “We hope that in the European Union, one person will not block the ninety billion [euros].  Otherwise, we will give this person’s address to the armed forces, to our guys, let them call him and talk to him in their own language.”  Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó condemned Kyiv’s thuggish “culture”: “This is the man Brussels admires and the country they want to fast-track into the European Union….No one can blackmail us just because we refuse to pay the price of Ukraine’s war and refuse to accept higher energy prices because of Ukraine.”  Prime Minister Orbán took the Ukrainian threat on his life in stride, saying: “There will be no deals, no compromise.  We will break the Ukrainian oil blockade by force.  Hungary’s energy will soon flow again through the Friendship pipeline.”

Orbán followed up by very publicly intercepting part of Zelensky’s alleged money-laundering operation running through Hungary.  Foreign Minister Szijjártó revealed that Hungary had already confiscated Ukrainian “mafia” funds that included tens of millions of U.S. dollars, tens of millions of euros, and a few million dollars in gold bars.  In addition, the foreign minister has alleged that several billion dollars worth of currency and gold have been transported through Hungary to Ukraine in the last two months.  A former Ukrainian general who once oversaw Zelensky’s intelligence service and secret police was detained in Hungary in connection to the suspected money laundering.  An angry Zelensky again threatened to send Ukraine’s “special military operators” to Prime Minister Orbán’s home.

In response to Zelensky’s increasingly belligerent behavior, Prime Minister Fico urged the European Commission to distance itself from Zelensky’s “outrageous blackmailing statements.”  The best that the Commission could do was a short statement from its deputy chief spokesperson, Olof Gill, in which the Eurocrat clinically observed: “Specifically in relation to the comments made by President Zelensky, we are very clear as the European Commission that that type of language is not acceptable.  There must not be threats against EU member states.”  At the same time, E.U. leaders pledged to provide for Ukraine’s budgetary needs for at least the next two years.

Ukraine is effectively waging an economic/energy war against Hungary and Slovakia.  Hungary and Slovakia are members of the E.U. and NATO.  Ukraine is a member of neither.  Nevertheless, the E.U. and NATO continue to take Ukraine’s side.  It is as if “unions” and “alliances” mean nothing.

In fact, the E.U. is not hiding its disdain for Hungary’s Orbán.  Brussels has made it very clear that it prefers Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party to oust Orbán’s Fidesz Party in Hungary’s upcoming parliamentary elections.  The European Commission has activated its Rapid Response System to “combat potential Russian online disinformation campaigns” in Hungary.  The E.U.’s handpicked “fact checkers” will use the powers of the new Digital Services Act to decide when online public debate qualifies as “disinformation” that must be censored.

The U.S. House Judiciary Committee recently concluded that the E.U.’s Rapid Response System almost exclusively targets so-called “right-wing” and “populist” political candidates.  The European Commission has extended its online censorship campaign to one week after Hungary’s elections, allowing Eurocrats to monitor and censor public conversations concerning the election’s legitimacy.  While E.U.-funded NGOs work to oust Prime Minister Orbán, E.U.-funded censors will be in a position to label allegations of European election meddling as nothing more than “Russian talking points.”

Just as in Romania, Moldova, Germany, France, and the Netherlands, the E.U. will use its army of paid “influencers” and propagandists posing as “journalists” to manipulate the outcome of Hungary’s elections.  

To “save democracy,” Brussels’s Eurocrats believe that they are entitled to choose each nation’s leaders.  

They don’t want Orbán because Hungary’s current prime minister continues to block the E.U.’s funding for Ukraine.  

Brussels would do anything for martial-law-holdover-president/dictator Zelensky and non-E.U. Ukraine.  

But allowing the citizens of E.U.-member Hungary to vote for their own national interests?  That simply won’t do.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 08:10

A Kid Just 3D-Printed A $97 MANPAD Rocket Launcher

Zero Hedge -

A Kid Just 3D-Printed A $97 MANPAD Rocket Launcher

A viral video circulating on X appears to show a young developer unveiling a 3D-printed proof-of-concept prototype of a shoulder-fired surface-to-air missile system, or MANPADS, built for less than $100.

According to the project page on GitHub, the five-minute video showcases a "proof-of-concept prototype of a low-cost rocket launcher and guided rocket system built using consumer electronics and 3D-printed components."

The project description says the system uses an onboard flight computer, inertial measurement hardware, and a sensor stack that includes GPS, compass, and barometric modules to determine orientation and transmit telemetry.

At the end of the video, the developer says the prototype was only made possible because "modern tools, additive manufacturing, consumer electronics, and rapid prototyping have shattered the old barriers that once confined advanced hardware to well-funded laboratories."

He added, "This prototype explores what happens when these tools are pushed into defense, creating systems that are powerful, modular, and scalable in ways that were once impossible." 

The big takeaway is that 3D printing and consumer electronics are turning weapons into scalable hardware. Together, they are making warfare cheaper, faster, more decentralized, and more accessible to civilians. This technology has already appeared on modern battlefields, from FPV drones in Ukraine equipped with shaped charges to low-cost Iranian drones. 

Warfare has been permanently changed, as the hyper-development seen over the last four years in Ukraine and elsewhere has pulled 2030s-era war technology into the present.

Perhaps the kid has a future in working for some 'war unicorn' that produces low-cost war tech. That's certainly what the Department of War is searching for. He created a prototype MANPADS for $97. The Army currently pays $400,000 per unit.

*  *  *  ULTRA COMBO

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 07:35

10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture -

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads:

God is a comedian A stiff drink is recommended. A philosophical meditation on the absurdity of the current moment, delivered with the kind of dark humor the times demand.It is a well-established fact that the universe has a sense of humour. It is less well-established, but increasingly obvious, that the humour is of the kind best enjoyed from a great distance, like, let’s say the moon. Three weeks into the Iran war, reality has passed through the looking glass, out the other side, and is now selling tickets to the gift shop. What follows is not satire. Satire requires exaggeration, and you cannot exaggerate something that is already operating at maximum absurdity. This is simply the news, and nothing but the news. Told straight, in a universe that has clearly stopped taking its medication. (Gold and Geopolitics)

Google Has a Secret Reference Desk. Here’s How to Use It. 40 Google features to find exactly what you need, the alternative search engines that do things Google won’t, and the reference desk framework underneath all of it. (Card Catalog)

In search of Banksy: The British street artist’s identity has been debated, and closely guarded, for decades. A quest to solve the riddle took Reuters from a bombed-out Ukrainian village to London and downtown Manhattan — and uncovered much more than a name.  (Reuters)

How to fix capitalism: A guide to building a company that defies gravity. (Ari Shapiro)

The Chinese Billionaire Who Says America’s EV Market Is Doomed Without Him: Robin Zeng of CATL can’t build a factory in America, but Tesla, Ford and GM rely on its technology (Wall Street Journal)

Welcome to a Multidimensional Economic Disaster: The AI boom wasn’t built for the polycrisis. (The Atlantic)

• ‘My Client Walked out Within Minutes.’ How AI Is Tanking Home Sales. When listing photos drift too far from reality, disappointed buyers and even legal concerns can follow. (Mansion Global)

Inside the Sprawling World of MAGA Merchandise: MAGA merchandise is its own pocket universe in the world of retail. There are official diamond-studded gold watches for $100,000, promoted by President Trump. There are less official bobbleheads of Mr. Trump, smeared with blood, memorializing an assassination attempt against him. The industry is a cornerstone of Mr. Trump’s political movement… and it is only continuing to grow. (New York Times)

Spylandia: How a Stretch of Florida Real Estate Has Become a Covert Corridor for Chinese and Russian Spies. The so-called Space Coast, with its rocket launches and military tech, is now an unassuming setting for espionage. (Vanity Fair)

Trump’s red lines mean nothing now: Iran is exposing the limits of a presidency built on bluff, improvisation and submission rituals. (Washington Post)

Why I Got Out Of The Gambling Business: I learned to sort gamblers into these categories during the years I worked for an online sportsbook. I worked in customer service, at first directly with customers and later in a more behind-the-scenes role. These jobs required a little bit of detective work, and I often found myself wading through piles of extremely detailed personal information about our customers. Names, addresses, payment history, net losses, geolocation, remarks left during previous customer service interactions; all of this was there for me to review any time there was a problem with a customer that needed to be solved. Through this process I got intimate looks into the lives of strangers. (Defector)

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business next week with Judd Kessler, the Howard Marks Endowed Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. The winner of the Vernon L. Smith Ascending Scholar Prize,he is the author of is Lucky by Design The Hidden Economics You Need to Get More of What You Want.

The number of Americans worth eight or even nine figures is up markedly

Source: Wall Street Journal

Sign up for our reads-only mailing list here.

~~~

To learn how these reads are assembled each day, please see this.

 

The post 10 Weekend Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.

Why Is The Trump DOJ Still Enforcing The Biden Pistol Brace Rule?

Zero Hedge -

Why Is The Trump DOJ Still Enforcing The Biden Pistol Brace Rule?

Via Gun Owners of America,

The current Department of Justice is choosing to continue enforcing an unconstitutional legal theory being weaponized against gun owners by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.

GOA

According to a recent statement in GOA’s Texas et al. v. ATF case, DOJ claims that ATF “continue[s] to enforce the NFA’s and the GCA’s regulation of short-barreled rifles against some brace-equipped pistols, even though the Rule has been universally vacated.”

For those who are unfamiliar, in 2022 the Biden Administration issued an executive order instructing the Department of Justice to ban pistol braces, a popular firearm accessory designed to allow shooters with disabilities to “brace” their firearms against their forearm.

The Biden DOJ used this rule to effectively outlaw firearms equipped with stabilizing braces, by regulating them as short-barreled firearms under the National Firearms Act. This move turned the law-abiding owners of upwards of 40 million pistol braces  into felons practically overnight, unless they destroyed their firearm or registered it with the federal government.

GOA and other pro-gun groups challenged this pistol brace rule in multiple courts across the country, culminating with a total elimination of the rule in court.

With this victory, pistol braces were once again viable options for shooters, and owners of pistol-braced firearms were no longer in danger of becoming felons...or so they thought.

Unfortunately, it seems as though the current Justice Department is looking to pick up right where Biden’s DOJ left off.  And so ATF appears to be still enforcing the very same legal theories about braces, as confirmed by their statement in GOA’s pistol brace case.

This development is extremely concerning for GOA and millions of gun owners nationwide who own pistol brace-equipped firearms.

In addition, the continued possibility of felony NFA charges against at least some gun owners with braced pistols stands in stark contrast to President Trump’s repeated campaign promises to gun owners:

I will eliminate the Biden ATFs ridiculous pistol brace rule, which orders law-abiding citizens to register or surrender guns with stabilizing braces.”

– President Trump on April 14th, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana

[President Biden] imposed the so-called pistol brace rule which orders law-abiding citizens to register or surrender guns with certain equipment. You know that many of you are forced to do it. … All of those Biden disasters get ripped up and torn out my first week but maybe my first day in office okay, okay maybe my first.”

– President Trump on Feb. 9th, 2024 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

The disconnect between President Trump’s campaign promises and the Department of Justice’s recent threat to owners of firearms with pistol braces justifiably has led to a great deal of confusion and concern.

Over the past week, GOA brought this matter to the attention of multiple senior DOJ officials and expressed our members’ concerns.  Unfortunately, we were given no indication that ATF intends to reverse course.

To gun owners and the firearm industry, we urge caution. ATF and DOJ apparently intend to continue targeting at least some braced pistols.  But it is currently unclear which braced pistols the ATF believes are illegal short-barreled rifles.  In fact, ATF told one of our colleagues that it will not issue any classification letter classifying firearms with braces—unless it is in a criminal case.  This means that all pistol braced firearms—and their owners—are in jeopardy. 

To the Trump Administration, we request a swift re-affirmation of the President’s intention to end the Biden Pistol Brace Ban, and affirmation of the legality of all pistols equipped with stabilizing braces – once and for all. It’s 2026, and the National Firearms Act no longer even imposes a tax on short-barreled firearms. There is no reason for bureaucrats at ATF to fret over barrel length, or the ability of a firearm to be shouldered. DOJ must follow President Trump’s executive order and protect our Second Amendment rights!

Even as the Department of Justice fights us in court, we continue to seek a permanent injunction against ATF’s enforcement of its legal theories regulating braced pistols as short-barreled firearms. And we continue to challenge the dubious regulation of short-barreled firearms under the guise of a non-existent $0 tax. We will not give up until the NFA is eliminated, and our rights are fully protected and restored.

[ZH] If you agree with GOA and their efforts, consider joining or contributing

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 23:05

Black Women Bear Brunt Of Mass Layoffs With The Rise Of AI And The End Of DEI

Zero Hedge -

Black Women Bear Brunt Of Mass Layoffs With The Rise Of AI And The End Of DEI

Over the course of the last decade, the great social debate has mostly revolved around the issue of "merit vs equity", or equality of opportunity vs equality of outcome.  For anyone with common sense it's clear that "equity" is a non-starter; a system which skews accomplishment and hands success to unqualified people based solely on their ethnicity, gender or sexual identity.  The experiment has been disastrous for western civilization so far.

Women in general and black women in particular were initially sought out by companies to fill DEI quotas that should not have existed in the first place.  These quotas were instituted because governments and NGO's created the demand for them by offering numerous subsidies, tax breaks and special credit access.  Corporations that met the DEI requirements would then have a financial edge on the competition, so everyone had to participate to avoid being surpassed by the other guy.   

One interesting side effect has been the encouragement of cultural delusion among certain demographics.  The idea that minorities are somehow being "held back" by "white supremacy" and that they are at the same time far more accomplished than their oppressors is self perpetuating.  One of the most common arguments heard in defense of the woke era was that "black women are the most educated and successful group" in America today. 

This claim, of course, relied heavily on DEI in college admissions and DEI in corporate hiring.  Black women were by far the biggest beneficiaries of DEI practices.  Furthermore, the explosion in women's wages and minority wages was thanks to a unique but brief employment market built on easy venture capital.  This created an explosion in tech jobs, marketing jobs, HR and diversity positions, not to mention an avalanche of web media jobs promoting progressive ideologies.

On top of all this, government hiring accelerated dramatically under the Biden Administration, and a lot of these jobs went to women and minorities in order promote equity quotas. 

This all changed in 2025 with the virtual death of DEI, triggered by the Trump Administration crackdown through DOGE cuts and the advancement of civil suits against companies engaged in anti-white hiring practices.  Almost immediately black women were most affected by the change.

Over 300,000 black women faced layoffs last year, with the trend continuing into 2026 and some estimates at around 500,000 total job losses.  Currently, the unemployment rate for black women is 7.1%, far above the national average of 4.4%.  Black female employees represented 12% of all federal employees in 2024 (double their share of the population in the national labor force), but they were also 33% of federal layoffs in 2025-2026. 

The first response of progressives is to cry "racism" over these numbers, but they're not asking the question that really needs to be asked:  Did these women truly qualify for the jobs they were hired for?  Or, were they hired to make a political virtue statement and to collect subsidies?  If they were highly competent and well trained, then one would think companies and government agencies would keep them regardless of extra cash or tax breaks. 

Their value as workers should be enough.  Another potential cause of these layoffs beyond the end of DEI is the prospect that black liberal women are notoriously difficult to work with.  Companies tolerated them because there were financial benefits to having them on staff, but now those benefits are drying up.

The exodus of black women from the workforce has become a conundrum for the political left and the cope is flowing.  The media is running stories regularly on the "return of black women" through burgeoning communities and online support groups.  The discussion is often centered on the way in which black women can "regain their seat at the table".  The problem is, the dynamic that gave them so much access in the woke years no longer exists and it's probably never coming back.

Beyond the collapse of DEI programs there is the looming specter of AI.  Artificial Intelligence was initially heralded as an Apocalypse for low wage workers in entry level positions.  However, the real demographic under threat is women in corporate environments. 

Of the 6.1 million workers whose jobs are the most likely to be disrupted by AI and least likely to adapt, 86% are women, a recent Brookings analysis has found.  Labor markets most populated by women in air conditioned offices across the nation - secretaries, receptionists, payroll clerks, customer service representatives, middle management, marketing, online journalism, education, even HR and communications - are all under threat from AI. 

As easily as black women were elevated to six-figure incomes and the upper-middle class lifestyle, they are now on the verge of losing it all.  The sad thing is, DEI built an environment in which every minority in a high level position became suspect.  While there are certainly minority employees who are highly skilled and deserve the jobs they have, the decade of DEI has put them in a state of constant suspicion.  Today, no one knows who was hired based on merit, and who was hired because of their skin color.                         

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 22:40

Macquarie: Two More Months Of War Could Send Oil To $200

Zero Hedge -

Macquarie: Two More Months Of War Could Send Oil To $200

Submitted by Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com 

Oil prices could hit a record $200 per barrel if the war in the Middle East drags on through the entire second quarter, analysts at Macquarie Group have warned. 

The odds of the Iran war dragging on until June were put at 40% by the analysts in a note carried by Bloomberg. But the scenario of the war ending by the end of March currently appears more plausible, with odds at 60%, according to Macquarie.   

“If the strait were to stay closed for an extended period, prices would need to move high enough to destroy an historically large amount of global oil demand,” Macquarie’s analysts wrote in the report. 

“The timing of the re-opening of the straits, and physical damage to energy infrastructure, is the main determinant of the longer-term impact on commodities,” they added. 

Many other analysts warn that if the Strait of Hormuz, which is already closed to most tanker traffic for nearly a month, remains blocked for another month or two, oil prices could jump to as high as $150 and even $200 per barrel, forcing a global economic shock.    

Analysts started expressing views that $200 oil is not a fantasy anymore—with 20% of global oil supply choked at the Strait of Hormuz buyers are racing to procure physical cargoes, refiners in Asia consider cutting processing rates, and Asian countries restrict fuel exports. 

Andrew Harbourne, Wood Mackenzie’s senior analyst for oil markets, notes that the record 400-million-barrel release coordinated by the International Energy Agency (IEA) will cover only about four weeks of disruption in the Gulf.

“Strategic stocks remain an effective emergency buffer, but they are a one-off intervention that must eventually be rebuilt and cannot cover a sustained supply gap,” Harbourne added

Supply shocks in the past suggest that if the war and the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz persist, Brent crude prices could surge to $150 to $200 per barrel. For some petroleum products, such as diesel and jet fuel, the effective prices could be $200 to $250 a barrel or more, according to WoodMac.   

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 22:15

Israeli Military Chief Warns Army Nearing Internal Collapse As Netanyahu Pushes Service Extensions

Zero Hedge -

Israeli Military Chief Warns Army Nearing Internal Collapse As Netanyahu Pushes Service Extensions

In a surprising announcement splashed all over Israeli media front pages, especially given the ongoing censorship regimen related to the Iran war, Israel's military chief has sounded the alarm over a severe manpower crisis in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).

Military Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir has warned the "IDF is going to collapse in on itself" during a security cabinet meeting this week, according to Times of Israel and others. This as Israeli forces are now fighting on multiple fronts: there's the major war against Iran, as well as the 'northern front' against Hezbollah in Lebanon and amid IAF airstrikes on Beirut, and Israeli forces are still operating in Gaza. 

via AFP

"I am raising 10 red flags in front of you," Gen. Zamir warned the country's civilian leadership, citing intensifying operational demands across all the fronts.

"Right now, the IDF needs a conscription law, a reserve duty law, and a law to extend mandatory service," he laid out, per local media sources. "Before long, the IDF will not be ready for its routine missions and the reserve system will not last."

So this appears a major push to immediately get more personnel into active service, over and above the standard required 32-months of mandatory service (and women serve 24 months).

This is also in line with fresh Netanyahu efforts at expanding the size of the armed forces and increasing retention:

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the government plans to extend mandatory military service as the army grapples with a deepening personnel shortage, the Israeli public broadcaster KAN reported Thursday.

Netanyahu made the remarks during a security cabinet meeting in response to Army Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, who warned that the army could “collapse” if the crisis is not addressed.

He said the government would move to revise conscription laws and extend service periods after the Jewish Passover holiday.

Already due to years of fighting in Gaza against Hamas, the IDF was said to be reaching exhaustion among its ranks, with last fall The Wall Street Journal reporting that:

"The Israeli military is beginning to draw down the number of its reservists serving in Gaza and other arenas, in a sign that it is reducing the intensity of fighting after two years of war and as the U.S.-brokered cease-fire holds."

Currently, the warring sides - especially Iran and Israel - appear to be settling in for a long war even as Washington is said to be seeking to cobble together a ceasefire deal in search of an offramp. 

Israel has indicated at least four soldiers killed in Lebanon operations, and as for casualties related to the ongoing Iranian bombardment, this isn't clear - amid broader reports of deaths and injuries to the civilian population.

*  *  * For Your Consideration

Spring Sale - Readywise

Anza - limited edition knives & mini shanks

Protein - your daily usual + peptides

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 21:50

Vance Claims Iran Could Make Nuclear Suicide Vest

Zero Hedge -

Vance Claims Iran Could Make Nuclear Suicide Vest

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

Vice President JD Vance on Thursday attempted to justify the continued US-Israeli war against Iran by implying that Iran could potentially turn a nuclear bomb into a suicide vest, a claim not grounded in reality.

Vance made the claim during a cabinet meeting while discussing military and diplomatic "options" that the US has regarding the conflict with Iran. He has continued to portray the war as being necessary to prevent Iran from making a nuclear weapon, though there was no evidence that Tehran had decided to build a bomb either before the June 2025 war or the current war that was launched on February 28.

File, illustrative: The Kansas City Star

"What we have now that we didn't have when the president took over, just a little over a year ago, is the ability to use every tool at our disposal to ensure that Iran doesn't get a nuclear weapon," Vance said.

"Because when I say options, I think it’s important the American people know options for what? And it’s options to ensure that Iran never has a nuclear weapon," the vice president added.

"You talk about people who walk into a crowded supermarket and have a vest on, and they blow up the vest and a couple of people get killed, and that’s a terrible tragedy. What happens when what's on the vest is not something that can kill a couple of people, but can kill many, many tens of thousands of people?

A nuclear bomb could not be miniaturized to the point where it could be worn as a vest, and if Vance was alluding to a "dirty bomb" that uses some nuclear material, such a weapon at that size would not cause tens of thousands of casualties (and likely in the 'dirty bomb' scenario the wearer would die or become incapacitated from the radiation).

Plus, in recent decades, the overwhelming majority of suicide bombings in the region were carried out by Sunni Muslim extremists, not Iran and its Shia allies.

Before the US and Israel launched the war, Vance became one of the leading voices in the administration, making the claim that the coming conflict was about preventing Iran from developing a nuclear bomb, contradicting President Trump’s insistence that US airstrikes in June 2025 “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program.

At one point, Vance even claimed there was evidence Iran was trying to "rebuild a nuclear weapon," something Iran has never had.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 21:25

Americans Are Becoming More And More Interested In Buying Chinese EVs

Zero Hedge -

Americans Are Becoming More And More Interested In Buying Chinese EVs

As electric vehicle (EV) adoption grows in the United States, a segment of American consumers is increasingly drawn to Chinese-made models—largely due to their affordability, advanced technology, and feature-rich designs. However, steep trade barriers and political resistance continue to keep these vehicles out of the U.S. market, according to Reuters

With the average price of a new car in the U.S. մոտ $50,000, Chinese EVs—many of which sell for under $30,000 in international markets—are gaining attention for offering strong value. Models from automakers such as BYD, Geely, and Zeekr often include premium interiors, advanced driver-assistance systems, and unique features like in-car entertainment and mini refrigerators, typically found in higher-end vehicles.

Reuters writes that industry experts note that Chinese automakers have rapidly improved both quality and innovation. China has recently surpassed Japan to become the world’s largest vehicle exporter, with growing sales across Europe, Latin America, and parts of North America. Countries such as Canada and Mexico have already begun integrating Chinese EVs into their markets at lower tariff rates.

In contrast, the United States has imposed tariffs exceeding 100% on Chinese vehicles, effectively blocking their entry. Policymakers cite concerns over data security, regulatory compliance, and the potential impact on domestic manufacturing jobs. Major U.S. auto industry groups have also urged continued restrictions, arguing that domestic automakers could face significant competitive pressure.

Despite these barriers, consumer curiosity remains strong. Surveys indicate that nearly half of prospective U.S. car buyers view Chinese vehicles as offering high value, and a notable share support allowing them into the domestic market. At the same time, concerns persist around safety standards, data privacy, and broader economic implications.

Auto dealers remain cautious. While many acknowledge that competitively priced Chinese EVs could attract buyers, only a small percentage currently support their introduction, citing uncertainty over compliance with U.S. regulations and market disruption.

For now, Chinese EVs remain largely absent from American roads. Yet as global competition intensifies and affordability becomes a growing concern for consumers, pressure may continue to build for greater access to lower-cost electric vehicles in the U.S. market.

* * * Be Prepared

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 21:00

US Offers Up To $3 Million Bounty For Information On Finances Of Haitian Gangs

Zero Hedge -

US Offers Up To $3 Million Bounty For Information On Finances Of Haitian Gangs

Authored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. government on March 25 announced a bounty of up to $3 million for information on the finances of Haiti’s ‌Viv Ansanm and Gran Grif gangs.

Armed police ride in the back of a truck after the streets of the Haitian capital, Port-au-Prince, were deserted following a call for a general strike launched by several professional associations and companies to denounce insecurity in Port-au-Prince, on Oct. 18, 2021. Richard Pierrin/AFP via Getty Images

The United States designated both groups, which bring together hundreds of gangs in the capital Port-au-Prince, the agricultural Artibonite region, and central Haiti, as terrorist organizations in May 2025.

The two gangs are a “primary source of instability and violence in Haiti” and are a “direct threat to U.S. national security interests in our region,” Secretary of State Marco Rubio said at the time, adding that they are “committed to overthrowing the government of Haiti.”

Gangs have grown in power since the assassination of President Jovenel Moïse in 2021. They are estimated to control about 90 percent of the capital, Port-au-Prince, according to a 2025 U.N. security briefing, and have expanded their activities into the countryside, including looting, kidnapping, sexual assaults, and rape. Haiti has not had a president since the assassination.

The U.S. Embassy in Haiti said in a March 25 statement that Viv Ansanm members are “responsible for an ongoing campaign of violence, including attacks against the government of Haiti, prison systems, police stations, hospitals, and the nation’s main airport in Port-au-Prince,” while Viv Ansanm is “directly involved in the mass murder and collective rape of Haitian civilians, including violence against American citizens in Haiti.”

Haitian security ​forces, with the support of a partially deployed U.N.-backed force and a U.S. private ⁠military company, have intensified attacks on armed gangs that control most of the capital, but ​have yet to make a major gang leader’s arrest.

Even if gang members are arrested, Haiti’s judicial system is barely functional. A 2024 U.N. report found that “many courthouses remain destroyed, non-operational, or located in inaccessible areas, effectively barring judicial personnel and lawyers from accessing them.”

More than ​a million people have been displaced by the conflict with gangs, which has exacerbated food insecurity, and ‌close ⁠to 20,000 have been reported killed in Haiti since 2021. The death toll has climbed every year.

According to a Mercy Corps survey published this month, which ⁠surveyed thousands of displaced people across the capital Port-au-Prince, 99 percent had no job or income after being displaced, and 95 percent felt unsafe in ​their new lodgings.

An overview of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, on June 3, 2025. Clarens Siffroy/AFP via Getty Images

Less than half had access to a functioning toilet, ​and the vast majority were eating fewer than two meals a day. Just a third of children were attending school, and a third of women said they had suffered physical or sexual violence at ⁠the displacement ​site, the report found.

The United Nations estimated that 1.45 million people ​were internally displaced across Haiti by the end of last year, with more than 400,000 displaced in the past ​year alone.

Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

*  *  * Nighty night

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 20:35

Moore Problems? Maryland Gov. Wes Moore Booed At Baltimore Stadium In Deep-Blue Territory

Zero Hedge -

Moore Problems? Maryland Gov. Wes Moore Booed At Baltimore Stadium In Deep-Blue Territory

Left-wing Maryland Gov. Wes Moore was greeted Thursday afternoon by a stadium full of boos at Camden Yards on Opening Day for Orioles baseball, a striking public rebuke of the struggling governor and the one-party rule of Democratic Party kings and queens running the state into the ground.

After years of fiscal mismanagement, Annapolis Democrats have driven Maryland into a fiscal crisis, compounded by the death spiral of higher taxes and backfiring green energy policies that are now colliding with surging data-center power demand across the region, sparking a power bill crisis for Marylanders.

The end result of this epic mismanagement is extraordinarily sad: a growing exodus of residents, with net migration trends turning negative for the state as people flee to places where common sense is prioritized, not state-ruining far-left experiments.

One notable observation about the boos is that they occurred at Camden Yards in Baltimore City, which is controlled by a crazed left-wing mayor in a deeply blue city. In fact, the boos should never have been heard there, but among voters in the state, left or right, the cost-of-living crisis sparked by out-of-control taxes and state-ruining progressive policies is crushing pocketbooks everywhere.

Let’s remind readers that Gov. Moore has been positioned by the Democratic Party machine as a possible nominee in 2028.

Moore smiling with far-left radical Alex Soros. 

However, Polymarket odds show his chances of securing the nomination at just 2%, and for good reason: the endless mismanagement of the state is a massive liability on the national stage. 

On Friday morning, Republican Del. Matt Morgan joined local outlet Fox 45 Morning News to discuss the boos at Camden Yards. He said the crowd at the stadium was upwards of 40,000 people and nonpartisan.

Morgan said, referring to the boos, "It was basically a state poll that told you Marylanders are fed up with the policies coming out of Annapolis and the Moore administration.”

Earlier this week, on the two-year anniversary of the catastrophic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge at the Port of Baltimore, there is still no bridge, while Democrats in recent days prioritized “appropriately sized tampons” for men’s bathrooms.

Baltimore City is broken. Maryland is broken. Democrats broke the state. Moore's aspirations for 2028 have imploded. Perhaps he can work on his golf swing at the local elite golf clubs he frequents in Baltimore. 

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 20:10

$100 Oil Is Solving Russia's Budget Problem

Zero Hedge -

$100 Oil Is Solving Russia's Budget Problem

Submitted by Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com

Russia is getting an unexpected windfall from the war in the Middle East. The Kremlin’s oil revenues this month hit a four-year high as oil prices jumped to $100 per barrel amid the Iran war and the de facto closed Strait of Hormuz.

Moscow expects so much additional revenues from the oil price spike that authorities are unlikely to downgrade Russia’s economic prospects, hold off on planned budget cuts, and even boost military spending on the war in Ukraine, Bloomberg reports, citing sources with knowledge of the matter.

A month ago, Russia was considering lowering the oil price level above which it sends the proceeds to its wealth fund as oil and gas revenues were plummeting with widening discounts and key Russian buyers like India pulling out of the spot market.

But the Middle East war and the worst disruption in the history of the global oil market pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel and prompted the United States to give buyers a free pass on Russian oil purchases.

As a result, the price of Urals, Russia’s flagship crude, has now nearly doubled to about $100 per barrel as demand for Russian oil in India is soaring again.

The oil price spike has already given Russia a reason to postpone the planned budget tightening.

Moscow has now scrapped plans to make a substantial downgrade to its economic growth forecast for 2026, according to Bloomberg’s sources.

Russian oil revenues have steadily increased in March, thanks to higher shipments and soaring oil prices, according to tanker-tracking data monitored by Bloomberg. In two of the weeks this month, Russia was estimated to cash in the highest amounts of oil revenues since 2022, just after its invasion of Ukraine drove prices above $100 per barrel.

Russia is cashing in on the Iran war even as it cannot take full advantage of the oil price spike as Ukraine targets its key Baltic Sea ports in an attempt to undermine Moscow’s oil export capabilities.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 19:45

Pages