My end-of-week morning train WFH reads:

• Miami got NYC’s billionaires. Will it get their businesses? The fact is, high earners who were formerly geographically tethered to their companies can now work remotely. They are optimising their domicile for taxes, weather, and quality of life. On the slow second leg of the Miami trade. Family-office migration is one thing; firm relocations are a much higher bar. (Financial Times)

• Repeat after me: Higher minimum wages are good for business.  Higher minimum wages seem to be beneficial for small businesses. Changes in employee retention rates after minimum wages increased. On average, existing employees were slightly more likely to stay longer at their employer if they got a higher wage. And that reduces costs for businesses in the medium term because every employee who leaves creates costs for hiring and training a new employee. The data has been clear for years; the politics catches up slowly. (Klement On Investing)  see also Why the U.S. job market is so hard, especially for recent college graduates: Hiring has slowed even as the economy keeps growing, and millions of workers are navigating a labor market that no longer follows the rules. The entry-level pinch is real, and it’s not just the AI scare. Hiring patterns are getting structurally less forgiving of inexperience. (Washington Post)

• How does Jane Street’s trading haul stack up against the hedge fund elite? We use some proprietary data, an iPhone calculator and a ton of assumptions to find out. The FT compares Jane Street’s revenue against the biggest hedge funds. The market-maker has quietly become a top-tier predator. (Financial Times)

• FICO And Mortgages: Rent History Now Matters More Than Your Plastic: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are starting to accept a newer credit score model that includes rental history. Jonathan Miller on the underwriting shift that finally credits renters for paying rent. Long overdue, modestly meaningful, and politically harder than it looks. (Housing Notes)

• The World Has Officially Reached Peak Bagel: From Chicago to Berlin, bakers are reimagining the bagel—and honoring its roots. Here’s where to try the very best. Saturation in the boutique-bagel economy. Either we’ve hit the bagel cycle top or H&H is about to IPO. (Wall Street Journal)

• Jung’s Five Pillars of a Good Life: The great Swiss psychoanalyst left us a surprisingly practical guide to being happier. (The Atlantic)

• America the Undammed: Cara Buckley on the biggest dam removal project in U.S. history. Restoring rivers and salmon runs while quietly retiring infrastructure that was due for replacement anyway. More miles of the country’s rivers were reconnected last year thanks to dam removals than at any other time in history. (New York Times)

• Grievance Poisoning in the First Degree: Nolan on the political economy of resentment — who cultivates it, who profits, and who pays. Is “I am so great” an actual philosophy? (How Things Work)

• Trump actually started to decouple America from China: The “economic divorce” between the two countries is proceeding slowly, but it is proceeding. Noah Smith on the tariff numbers that actually moved the bilateral trade balance. Whatever you think of the policy, the data is now legible. (Noahpinion) see also The Hippocratic Summit: On the choreography of the Trump-Xi meeting. Diplomatic theater as the only product the principals know how to make. (The Atlantic) see also Taiwan’s chips power the global economy. China holds the leverage: Big Tech’s reliance on TSMC makes the China-Taiwan dispute the world’s most dangerous geopolitical flashpoint, says writer Eyck Freymann ahead of this week’s Xi-Trump meeting in Beijing. Reporting on the asymmetric supply-chain choke points that get buried under the TSMC headline number. The vulnerability isn’t where the fabs are — it’s where the gases come from. (Rest of World)

• Broadway Has a Problem: Audiences Won’t Stop Laughing: Theatergoers are howling like they’re at a comedy show—even during serious moments; ‘a shrill horrible laugh.’ (Wall Street Journal)

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business this weekend with Sheila Bair, former Chairperson of FDIC from 2006-11. She helped steer the agency through worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Her new book is aimed at young adults and teenagers, titled “How Not to Lose a Million Dollars”

Video of the day: The HBO documentary on “Yacht Rock.” Is Bullsh*t

 

Is Tech Financial Market History is Repeating?

Source: Bespoke via Paul Kedrosky

 

Sign up for our reads-only mailing list here.

 

The post 10 Friday AM Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.

German SPD Leader Faces Backlash After Claiming Migrants Burdening Welfare System Is A 'Right Wing Extremist' Lie

Via Remix News,

Labor Minister and Social Democratic Party (SPD) co-leader Bärbel Bas (SPD) says nobody is immigrating to Germany to take advantage of its social welfare system. However, she has received substantial pushback directed at her claim.

Bas’ comment came during a session of the Bundestag, when AfD MP René Springer asked Bas why she wasn’t cutting spending on immigration due to the current budget crisis, given the clear burden it is putting on social welfare, a situation that is making German taxpayers increasingly angry. 

“Immigration into the welfare state threatens social cohesion! The fact is: More and more immigrants are pushing into our social welfare system – and are bringing the system to its limits and to the brink of collapse,” CSU Member of Parliament Stephan Mayer told Bild on Tuesday, as quoted by Junge Freiheit.

Bas, in return, has called this notion a lie from “right-wing extremists.”

Her goal, like many proponents of mass immigration is to link it to eliminating Germany’s skilled worker shortage.

“We have a skilled worker shortage in this country, which many companies are addressing by saying, ‘We need everyone who is here in the country and can work.'”

Mayer, and many others before him, shot her down.

“Every statistic refutes her. The immigration into Germany’s social systems is verifiably documented and one of the main reasons why the Federal Republic is heading toward state bankruptcy,” Springer posted on X last week. 

Bärbel Bas hat ein weiteres Zitat für die Geschichtsbücher geliefert. Nach Norbert Blüms „die Rente ist sicher“, Kohls „blühende Landschaften“ im Osten, Merkels „Wir schaffen das“ zur Grenzöffnung und Scholz' „Doppel-Wumms“ zur energiepolitischen Irrfahrt setzt die… pic.twitter.com/7etME3lddg

— René Springer (@Rene_Springer) May 6, 2026

“There is less and less money for those in need because the wrong people, who have never paid into the system and never will, are being supported by us,” he told Bild. 

Remix News has reported extensively on migrant abuse of the German welfare system. In November 2024, data from the federal government revealed that 64 percent of those receiving benefits have a migration background, despite making up a much smaller share of the overall German population. The cost of providing this social welfare rose to €12.2 billion the previous year, but in total, Germany spent nearly €50 billion on immigrants and protecting its border in 2023.

And yet, in August 2025, Germany’s Federal Employment Agency is actively promoting the country’s “citizen’s benefit” (Bürgergeld) to young migrants, with one critic noting: “Germany is so generous that it not only explains to immigrants from abroad how to get a job, but also how to make ends meet in Germany without one.”

That same month, two SPD chiefs in the German state of Thuringia broke with their party, calling for most non-EU migrants — including asylum seekers and recognized refugees — to receive social benefits only as interest-free loans, repayable once they find work, in an effort to break reliance on the state.

Currently, there is very little incentive for many to find work. And even those under deportation orders are being supported at taxpayer’s expense. And this is, of course, ignoring the other issue with massive crime from the migrant community.

Bas, however, has, in turn, said Springer is simply ignorant of the facts.

“You’ve probably never heard of it, because you’re probably not out and about in the country, visiting companies,” she told him. 

Alice Weidel, the AfD parliamentary group leader in the Bundestag, reacted to this with her own input:

“The SPD’s denial of reality is symptomatic of the federal government’s inability to act—a government that doesn’t want to change a thing. A political turnaround is only possible with the AfD!” she wrote on X. 

According to Günter Krings (CDU), deputy leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group, “there are too many people who come to us from other EU countries and only work a few hours a week, receiving social assistance for the rest of their time,” the MP told Bild, noting that the German social system is “a magnet for many EU foreigners.”

Former Bundestag member Joe Weingarten (SPD) described Bas’s statement as “a completely unrealistic assessment.” He added that she “is largely alone in this view, even within the SPD.” Weingarten also told The Pioneer, “Any responsible local politician could provide her with enough examples from their own city to prove the opposite.” 

Read more here...

Tyler Durden Fri, 05/15/2026 - 05:00

"Pushed Into Poverty": Somalia’s Currency Crisis Leaves Traders Holding Worthless Cash

For decades, Muse Omar Jama made a living swapping currencies in Mogadishu’s Bakara market, where customers once lined up to trade Somali shillings for dollars and mobile money. Now his office sits mostly silent, and the safes around him are stuffed with cash no one wants, according to The Guardian.

The problem began when traders in Somalia stopped accepting worn-out shilling notes, saying the bills were too damaged to use. The boycott quickly spread to shops, buses, and businesses across the country, wiping out the value of savings held in local currency. Jama describes the shock bluntly: “It’s like we went bankrupt overnight.”

He can no longer exchange the piles of shillings stacked in his office for US dollars, and many former customers leave empty-handed. “I have to turn them away because my safes, shelves and tables are already full of Somali shillings,” he says.

Photo: The Guardian

The Guardian writes that the crisis reflects Somalia’s long shift toward a dollar-based economy. The country hasn’t printed new banknotes since dictator Siad Barre was overthrown in 1991, when the central bank collapsed. Since then, US dollars, remittances sent through hawala networks, and mobile payments have increasingly replaced local currency.

The fallout has hit poor households hardest. Prices for essentials like food, medicine, and transport have risen sharply—one small bag of powdered milk reportedly doubled in price. Jama now walks five kilometers to work because buses no longer accept shillings.

Vegetable seller Asha Ali Ahmed says the change has also hurt small traders. Farmers in Afgoye now demand mobile payments, driving up produce costs in Mogadishu markets. With drought already devastating crops, many customers can no longer afford basic groceries.

According to the World Food Programme, about 6.5 million people in Somalia face severe hunger, while 2 million children under five are suffering acute malnutrition.

The federal government has declared refusing Somali shillings a crime, but many traders doubt it can enforce the order. Jama remains pessimistic: “Millions are going to suffer… More families will be pushed into poverty.”

Tyler Durden Fri, 05/15/2026 - 04:15

Britain Is Now Policing Thought Crime

Authored by Ciaran Kelly via DailySceptic.org,

If you want a snapshot of how far Britain has drifted from its liberal inheritance, consider the spectacle of a 78 year-old grandfather and retired pastor being warned by police that he must not preach from the Bible within a public area. His offence was not harassment, obstruction or intimidation. It was reciting and commentating on a verse many learned as children: “For God so loved the world…”

Clive Johnston’s alleged crime was breaching a ‘buffer zone’ around a hospital which houses a sexual health clinic where abortions are performed – despite the fact it was a Sunday afternoon when there were no scheduled abortions, and he made no reference whatsoever to abortion, nor motherhood, nor babies.

The state maintains he risked “influencing” anyone accessing the clinic in relation to abortion or anyone working there – a crime punishable by fine. He was prosecuted, and this week found guilty for doing so.

At this point, it is worth stating plainly: this is no longer about the cultural debate on abortion ethics.

It is about whether the state may decide which ideas are permissible in public space and which must be confined to the private sphere. In footage from the initial confrontation with police now circulating on X, the policeman literally tells Johnston his religious views should be expressed only in a “safe” place like a chaplaincy – not out on the street, where anyone passing by might hear.

Johnston’s case is the latest example in a pattern that has been building for years: the slow but unmistakable attempt to narrow the space in which Christians, in particular, are permitted to express their beliefs.

Take the school chaplain, Dr Bernard Randall, referred to Prevent for discussing Christian teaching during a school assembly. Or the numerous street preachers removed from public areas simply for speaking about Christ. Or the growing list of individuals questioned by police for nothing more than silent prayer within ‘buffer zones’ – cases in which no words were spoken, no signs displayed, no interactions initiated. The mere possibility of internal deviance in belief, it seems, is now sufficient to trigger official concern.

Abortion ‘buffer zones’ were introduced with a defensible aim: to protect women from harassment at a vulnerable moment. Few would quarrel with that objective (albeit one that was already adequately covered by pre-existing laws banning harassment). But like many well-intentioned measures, the law is being stretched beyond its original purpose. If “influence” can be inferred from the mere act of expressing Christian faith – irrespective of what is actually said, and whether it relates to abortion – then we are no longer policing conduct, but the hypothetical impact of ideas. To put it more bluntly, we are policing thought.

Once the elastic concept of “influence” becomes an offence, the implications are difficult to contain. If spoken words are suspect, what about the mere presence of someone with a certain belief? If preaching from the Bible is counted to be too influential, what about someone within the area wearing a Christian cross, or indeed a hijab? Could that deter a woman from an abortion because she knows of faith-based objections to abortion, and therefore be criminal? If influence is defined so subjectively, then almost any expression of belief becomes, in the eyes of someone, a potential offence.

The premise of the law banning “influence” rather than “coercion” or “harassment” is absurd. It suggests that we aren’t all influenced by one another on a daily basis. It isn’t immoral to change one’s mind on a topic – and indeed, it’s patronising to assume members of the public are so feeble-minded that to be in the presence of somebody with an alternative view would cause genuine harm.

Britain has developed a habit of elevating the avoidance of offence above the protection of liberty. From the proliferation of ‘non-crime hate incidents’ to the policing of speech on university campuses, the direction of travel has been unmistakable: fewer risks of discomfort at the cost of fewer freedoms.

Buffer zones are simply the latest and most disproportionate frontier. What is now being tested is not just the boundary of acceptable behaviour, but the boundary of acceptable belief. You need not share Clive Johnston’s theology to see the danger.

A country that tells its citizens their faith belongs only in designated “safe areas” is not protecting pluralism, but actively dismantling it.

Tyler Durden Fri, 05/15/2026 - 03:30

How Global Economic Power Shifted In The Last 10 Years

The global economic order has shifted dramatically over the last decade, with countries reshuffling positions amid inflation shocks, geopolitical tensions, pandemic disruptions, and the rapid rise of AI-driven industries.

This graphic, via Visual Capitalist's Gabriel Cohen, compares the world’s 15 largest economies in 2016 and 2026 using IMF World Economic Outlook data, revealing which countries gained ground, which fell behind, and which surprised the most.

The U.S. remains the world’s largest economy at $32.4 trillion in 2026 forecasts, while China crossed the $20 trillion mark. India posted one of the fastest growth rates among major economies, while Japan became the only G20 economy to shrink over the decade.

The World’s Reordering of Major Economies

The period from 2016 to 2026 saw major reordering among the world’s top economies, with Mexico overtaking Spain, India overtaking France, and Russia leapfrogging both Brazil and Canada.

The table below lists the world’s 15 largest economies in both 2016 and 2026 based on their nominal GDP in billions of U.S. dollars.

One of the biggest shifts in the rankings came from India, whose economy expanded by 83% between 2016 and 2026. By the end of the period, India’s GDP had nearly caught up with both Japan and Germany.

Meanwhile, Germany overtook Japan to become the world’s third-largest economy, despite relatively modest growth compared to emerging markets.

Germany’s growth was modest compared to emerging markets like China, India, and Mexico, and was tempered in part by the economic slowdown it faced throughout the post-COVID era. However, Germany still grew faster than other major European Union economies like France (46%) and Italy (45%), though not Spain (68%).

The decade between 2016 and 2026 also saw the European Union lose its second-largest member economy, the United Kingdom, in 2020. The UK grew its GDP by 57% to reach $4.3 trillion by 2026.

Another Lost Decade for Japan

Every major world economy expanded over the last decade, with one notable exception. Japan’s GDP shrank from $5.1 trillion in 2016 to $4.4 trillion in 2026, reflecting a 14% contraction.

Following decades of rapid economic expansion in the late 20th century, Japan’s economy has struggled since the 1990s. The government has accumulated a debt-to-GDP ratio of over 200%, while major exporters in the auto and tech sectors have faced rising competition and trade tensions involving both the U.S. and China.

Perhaps Japan’s most pressing challenge is its demographic crisis. The country’s population was roughly 5 million larger in 2016 than in 2026, reflecting a decades-long fertility decline that threatens future growth prospects.

Russia’s Economic Expansion

Russia’s economy more than doubled in size between 2016 and 2026, growing by 107% to reach $2.7 trillion based on IMF forecasts. This expansion came after the Russian financial crisis of 2014–2016, which was driven largely by falling oil prices.

Russia’s growth, fueled heavily by oil and gas exports, came despite sanctions imposed after the country’s occupation of Crimea in 2014 and full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Even as the U.S. and European Union imposed sanctions, Russian energy exports were rerouted toward buyers in China and India, albeit at discounted prices.

How do these countries and economic powers compare with individual U.S. states? Find out with The 50 Largest Economies, Including U.S. States on Voronoi.

Tyler Durden Fri, 05/15/2026 - 02:45

Communist Mamdani's Latest Redistribution Scheme: Tax On All New York Homes Over $1 Million Bought With Cash

Two days ago crestfallen commie mayor Zohran Mamdani abandoned his desperate plan to aggressively hike property taxes (even more) on New Yorkers following unprecedented pushback (but not before earning the former capitalist mecca a credit rating downgrade warning from most rating agencies). However, since communists who are not redistributing wealth (eventually under the barrel of a gun) are useless communists, it only took Mamdani administration 48 hours before pitching his latest idea how to take: according to Bloomberg, New York lawmakers are planning a new tax on New York City homes purchased in cash for at least $1 million.  The lawmakers are also considering expanding the tax to all-cash purchases over $1 million in New York, including those in the suburbs and upstate.

The New York City levy alone is expected to raise $160 million to help fill the city’s budget hole. The proposed tax would be levied at 1% of the purchase price and would be paid by the buyer, according to the people. 

A spokesperson for Governor Kathy Hochul said she “announced a general agreement with the State Legislature on many of the major elements of the FY 2027 Budget. The final budget bills will provide additional details.”

All-cash transactions have risen in New York as soaring mortgage costs have deterred financing, and instead buyers opt to be hit with capital gains taxes and liquidated other securities to fund real estate purchases. They are also an attractive option for sellers in New York City’s ultra-competitive real estate market as it’s faster than dealing with the lengthy mortgage approval process, and less likely to fall through.

Such purchases made up more than 60% of the nearly 18,000 transactions in New York City in the first six months of 2025, according to data compiled by the Center for New York City Neighborhoods. The report found that in Manhattan, nine out of 10 purchases over $3 million were done in all-cash transactions between January and June of 2025.

New York Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie said the tax would be included in the final budget as “part of the plan to help close the city’s deficit.” State Senator James Skoufis, who sits on the chamber’s finance committee, also said in an interview the new levy was discussed.

Mamdani unveiled his $124.7 billion budget plan for the fiscal year that starts on July 1 that includes more assistance from Albany. He is also counting on funds from a proposed tax on second homes worth more than $5 million that state and city lawmakers are still figuring out how to implement. Hochul said the state will send $4 billion in new aid to the city to help close the budget hole.

“New Yorkers are already the most heavily taxed residents in the country, and the city’s budget issues will not be solved by more taxes,” said James Whelan, president of the Real Estate Board of New York. He said that the new proposal would further burden home buyers and sellers in the city and threaten existing revenue. 

There are other problems with the proposal: New Yorkers already pay a 1% mansion tax, rising to 3.9%, on homes over $1 million whether paying with cash or financing.  On top of that, even the wealthiest cash buyers aren't usually just wiring cash from their bank accounts to buy homes. They sell assets (i.e. stocks) to generate the cash. This liquidation is subject to heavy capital gains taxes already that go to both the federal government and also the state of NY. This tax is usually far ins excess of any 1% "cash" tax this idiotic Mamdani administration is proposing. 

As some social media commentators were quick to point out correctly, "There are bad policy ideas, and then there are those that make absolutely zero sense. This is the latter."

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 17:20

Murders Down Roughly 20% In 2025, FBI Preliminary Data Show

Authored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The FBI on Sunday published an early glimpse at annual crime data, releasing preliminary 2025 data alongside first-quarter 2026 numbers that together show that violent crime has dropped sharply.

FBI personnel enter a building in Portsmouth, Va., on May 6, 2026. Peter Casey/The Virginian-Pilot via AP

The figures, typically released at the end of summer, marked the first time the bureau furnished a preview of annual crime tallies before the end of the following spring. 

The first-quarter 2026 numbers, drawn from 67 major law enforcement agencies, showed homicides fell 17.7 percent against the same period last year, robberies fell 20.4 percent, reported rapes declined 7.2 percent, and aggravated assaults dropped 4.8 percent. Declines appeared in every region of the country, according to the bureau. 

Among cities registering the steepest homicide reductions from January through March are Washington, D.C., down 64.7 percent; Philadelphia, 54 percent; San Diego, 50 percent; Houston, 36.4 percent; Memphis, Tennessee, 34.4 percent; New York City, 31.7 percent; and Los Angeles, 23 percent.

The 2025 full-year figures anchoring the release were equally stark.

The FBI recorded a 20 percent drop in the national murder rate, the largest single-year decrease ever captured in FBI data, alongside a 31 percent rise in fentanyl seizures, rescue of more than 6,000 child victims, and a 290 percent increase in gang disruptions. FBI Director Kash Patel told The Epoch Times that the achievements were the result of a “full-scale reset of the FBI—operationally, culturally, and fiscally.”

In 2025, FBI arrests climbed 197 percent, from 34,000 to 67,000; 1,800 gangs and criminal enterprises were dismantled—a 210 percent increase—and more than 30,000 were arrested for violent crimes, nearly double from 2024.

The U.S. homicide rate in 2025 fell 21 percent from 2024—44 percent below the 2021 pandemic peak, according to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, which analyzed data from 40 large cities. The group projected that when the FBI finalized its annual report, the national homicide rate would stand at roughly 4.0 per 100,000 residents, the lowest recorded in law enforcement or public health data stretching back to 1900.

Patel hinted at the historic nature of the data for months.

“We are on track to have the lowest murder rate in modern American history. The lowest murder rate by double-digit percentages,” he told the Senate Judiciary Committee in September 2025.  He attributed the shift in large part to the FBI’s Operation Summer Heat, noting that in New Orleans and Nashville alone, violent crime arrests climbed an average of 250 percent each.

A month later, Patel told The Epoch Times’s Jan Jekielek that homicides had fallen by double digits nationwide. 

“I’m happy to announce, finally, that one of the big targets we had for this year, obviously, was to reduce the murder rate across America,” he said.

In October 2025, Trump and Patel announced that Operation Summer Heat resulted in more than 8,700 arrests and a 20 percent drop in violent crime in targeted cities. Trump, in a Truth Social post days later, said that since he was inaugurated, 28,000 violent criminals have been arrested, more than 6,000 illegal firearms were removed from the street, 5,000 children have been rescued, and 2,000 criminal enterprises have been disrupted—calling them “historic results.”

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 17:00

Bad Signs: Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" Looks Like A Woke Disaster

The signs are not looking good.  Christopher Nolan's version of Homer's classic Greek epic "The Odyssey" was, at first, greatly anticipated.  The director's filmography is largely celebrated with blockbusters like Interstellar, The Dark Night, Dunkirk and Inception.  However, woke ideology is like a virus infecting everything in Hollywood, and rumors were spreading from very early in the production that wokeness has invaded the brain of Christopher Nolan. 

Even though the vast majority of "woke coded" films fail miserably at the box office, the Tinsel Town cult continues to lose billions of dollars every year pumping out one disastrous production after another.  If we apply the universal definition of insanity (making the same mistakes over and over and expecting different results), then Hollywood is truly a lunatic asylum.

Well, it appears that the rumors of the new Odyssey adaptation being a leftist propaganda vehicle are true.  The long running blackout on casting decisions now makes perfect sense, because it's a DEI circus.

It is now confirmed that Nolan's film features a race-swapped Helen of Troy.  The "most beautiful woman in the world" will be played by Lupita Nyong’o, a Kenyan-Mexican actress.  Truly a downgrade from previous iterations of the story on film.  Not to mention, Helen of Troy was a Greek - A Spartan Princess.    

  

But the sideshow doesn't end there.  Nolan has also been forced to defend his decision to cast rapper Travis Scott in “The Odyssey” after receiving harsh backlash.  The filmmaker addressed the controversy surrounding Scott’s appearance:  

“I cast him because I wanted to nod towards the idea that this story has been handed down as oral poetry, which is analogous to rap..."

Perhaps one of the most contrived and idiotic explanations ever spoken.  Unless you're making "Mel Brooks' The Odyssey", there is no reason for this decision.  

Keep in mind, this is an Ancient Greek epic, a story depicting some mythological elements, yes, but also historically important to the pillars of western civilization.  And, by modern standards and genetic standards, Ancient Greeks would be considered largely "white" today. 

Sub-Saharan Africans, though mentioned as "Aitheopes" in Greek literature, were an exceedingly rare minority and are never mentioned in Homer's Odyssey as prominent characters.  In fact, only one fleeting character is mentioned as black; a figure named  *{pointer-events:auto;} .r-12vffkv{pointer-events:none!important;} .r-12ym1je{width:18px;} .r-135wba7{line-height:24px;} .r-13qz1uu{width:100%;} .r-13tjlyg{transition-duration:0.1s;} .r-13wfysu{-webkit-text-decoration-line:none;text-decoration-line:none;} .r-146iojx{max-width:300px;} .r-1472mwg{height:24px;} .r-14j79pv{color:rgba(83,100,113,1.00);} .r-14lw9ot{background-color:rgba(255,255,255,1.00);} .r-158ssxm{max-height:calc(64px * 15);} .r-15ysp7h{min-height:32px;} .r-16dba41{font-weight:400;} .r-16y2uox{flex-grow:1;} .r-176fswd{transform:translateX(-50%) translateY(-50%);} .r-1777fci{justify-content:center;} .r-17bb2tj{animation-duration:0.75s;} .r-17c3jg3{background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0.80);} .r-17gznlh{animation-name:r-t2lo5v;} 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Then there's Zendaya, cast as Athena, the Greek Goddess of Wisdom.  At least she's not a dude, but Zendaya is the most over-exposed actress in Hollywood and doesn't come across as "wise" or Greek.   

And it gets worse.  Actress and trans activist Ellen Page (now known as Elliot Page) is confirmed as a cast member in the film.  It is not known which role she will play, but leaked info suggest that she is set to play Achilles, known as the greatest of all the Greek warriors. 

This might be the most ridiculous casting choice of all time, given that Page is a hundred pound skeleton, and also a woman.

It is a common woke propaganda trope to race-swap and gender swap figures from western classics and European history.  From black female viking warriors, to black Roman Emperors, to Black Cleopatra (she was Greek and white) to black royals in the British court and female knights defending the realm; no historical setting is safe from Marxist rewrites that defy the record of events. 

The message being sent is clear:  We control history now, and the European west has been targeted for erasure. 

Christopher Nolan's decisions come off as incomprehensible, until we look into his inspirational sources.  The director's source material for his adaptation is the very first "interpretation" by a female scholar, published in 2017.  Emily Wilson, a far-left activist, essentially rewrote The Odyssey as a feminist exploration on the "evils of masculinity".  She is noted for describing most women as "slaves", instead of servants or maids, and highlighting the "evils of ancient forms of patriarchy".     

“We should be shocked that the English-speaking world hasn’t had a translation by a woman,” Wilson said during a visit to Harvard. “Slightly more women than men get Ph.Ds. in the classics in the U.S., and yet the vast majority of translations that readers read in English for classics are by men. This is an issue, and we should talk about it.”  

Her work is a perfect example of why it's best to keep modern women away from interpreting the classics.  The British-born professor, in a lecture titled “Translating ‘The Odyssey’: Why and How”, stated:

“It’s very visible to me how misogynistic some of these translations are, and not because they were consciously imposing misogyny, but they had some unconsidered biases...Men are never asked about their gender, and this omission is seriously distorting. It’s very clear gender has an impact on men’s work.”

Wilson also injected modern vernacular into her interpretation, which is allegedly applied in the Nolan version of the story.  In the highly insulated and inbred world of academia, this kind of rhetoric is considered a revelation.  However, to everyone else, it sounds like a blend of pretentious conceit and woke zealotry.

It is also a fact that, in order to be considered for an Oscar, a film is now required to have at least one non-white/non-straight lead or significant role. At least 30% minor roles non-white/non-straight people.  And, at least two Departments headed by non-white/non-straight people.  But not all of Nolan's choices can be explained away by his bid for an Oscar.     

In other words, The Odyssey is most likely going to be a theatrical flop.  Nolan was smart to hide his casting choices until now (the movie trailers also try to hide the casting), but the film's July release gives the public plenty of time to discover the truth before they waste their money.  It could have been the movie that saved Hollywood, but instead, it is escalating into yet another epic woke bomb. 

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 16:40

Minnesota 'Culture Of Fraud' Enabled More Than $9 Billion In Misused Taxpayer Funds, Panel Says

Authored by Janice Hisle via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A “culture of fraud” infected Minnesota state agencies, resulting in more than $9 billion in taxpayers’ money squandered, a new legislative report says.

State Rep. Pam Altendorf listens as fellow Republican Rep. Isaac Schultz discusses a report released at a meeting of a fraud prevention committee in the Capitol in St. Paul, Minn., on May 13, 2026. Livestream from the Minnesota House of Representatives/Screenshot via The Epoch Times

“We finally pulled the curtain back—and the public is grateful,” state Rep. Kristin Robbins, chair of the Minnesota House Fraud Prevention and State Agency Oversight Committee, said May 13 during a session that summarized 16 months of investigative work.

Many fraudsters “came to believe that fraud was tolerated and paid in a big way,” according to a report that Robbins released at the meeting. The report summarizes the committee’s attempts to dissect how state agencies became so mired in fraud.

Testimony from dozens of witnesses, including state employees and whistleblowers, demonstrated that Gov. Tim Walz’s administration neglected “basic due diligence” to protect taxpayers’ money, and instead “prioritized getting as much money out the door as possible” via government-benefits programs, the report says.

The administration also allegedly punished whistleblowers and “ignored and consciously downplayed shocking levels of fraud” in more than a dozen Medicaid-funded programs, such as autism services, medical transportation, and adult day care, according to the document.

“All of these failures have created opportunities for serial fraudsters to steal billions from Minnesota taxpayers across multiple programs for years,” the report says, estimating $300 million in federal meals fraud and $9 billion in Medicaid fraud. Those numbers exclude “potential hundreds of millions more in fraud in child care” and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, the report notes.

The governor’s office did not respond to The Epoch Times’ request for comment by publication time.

Walz has repeatedly defended his track record on tackling fraud, including in a May 6 news release, stating: “We’ve made significant progress to strengthen programs and root out fraud. Today, we’re building on our success by putting an even stronger structure in place; adding leadership, improving oversight, and ensuring these programs are managed with the discipline and accountability Minnesotans expect.”

Robbins said accountability is lacking because no one in state government has been fired for failures, nor even for falsifying records—a finding that the Office of Legislative Auditor, a state watchdog, released early this year.

The new report from Robbins’s committee was released May 13, the same day that Vice President JD Vance, who heads a new anti-fraud task force, announced that the federal government was withholding $1.4 billion from home health and hospice operations suspected of fraud across the nation. So far this year, fraud concerns prompted federal officials to withhold $350 million from Minnesota’s Medicaid program.

Five Republicans including Robbins prepared the report. The committee’s trio of Democrats were invited to prepare their own version, mirroring a practice used in Congress.

Two Democratic committee members at the meeting, Reps. Dave Pinto and Emma Greenman, did not say whether they would take that step. Both disputed what they called “partisan” characterizations in the report; Pinto and Greenman abstained from voting on the GOP-authored report. All four Republicans who were present voted to accept it.

State Rep. Emma Greenman speaks during a meeting of the Fraud Prevention and State Agency Oversight Policy Committee in the Capitol in St. Paul, Minn., on May 13, 2026. Livestream from the Minnesota House of Representatives/Screenshot via The Epoch Times

Republican Rep. Isaac Schultz noted that despite allegations of partisanship, he sees signs of cooperation between the two parties. Just two weeks ago, the legislature approved “four great fraud-prevention bills on a bipartisan basis that were supported by members of this committee,” Schultz said, adding that one such bill called for “stopping grants going to convicted fraudsters.”

Remedies Proposed

The 84-page report contains numerous recommended changes in agency procedures and culture, and highlights broken internal processes.

For example, a law requires the Department of Human Services to annually review whether Medicaid beneficiaries are indeed eligible. The agency regularly skipped those verifications, and had conducted none since 2020, the report says, possibly costing “tens of millions of dollars.”

Under pressure from the committee and the public, the department conducted a review on March 20. It found “31,529 ineligible Minnesotans were receiving benefits,” who were then removed from the rolls, the report says.

Agency bureaucrats, who “viewed their role as supportive consultants rather than providing actual oversight” as they doled out taxpayers’ money, must instead use their authority to withhold payments and take other action, the report says.

The report also calls for agencies to log whistleblower complaints and hotline reports, then report those, along with actions taken, to lawmakers.

Fraud concerns and suspicious billing trends need to be tracked and reported too, the report says.

Another major recommended change: “Require electronic attendance records for child care, adult day care, sober homes, autism centers ... and other billable services ... before payments can be made.”

Committee’s Value Debated

The committee—the first of its kind in state history—began working in January 2025, nearly a year before Minnesota’s massive fraud scandals gained widespread national attention and sparked multiple federal probes.

As Robbins opened what could be the committee’s final meeting, she encouraged state lawmakers to re-establish the committee when the legislature reconvenes next year.

“The work we’ve done has hopefully carved a path for the next legislature in the next biennium to continue this important work,” she said, calling it “historic.”

State Rep. Kristin Robbins speaks at the Capitol in St. Paul, Minn., on May 13, 2026. Livestream from the Minnesota House of Representatives/Screenshot via The Epoch Times

The Republican lawmaker withdrew her bid for the governorship May 1, saying she would fight for improvements “from the outside” after her current term as a state representative expires in January 2027.

“It’s going to take many years, unfortunately, to undo the damage that has been done to taxpayers and vulnerable residents,” Robbins said. “But we must continue to expose the fraud, to strengthen internal controls and to make sure that fraudsters and agency officials are held accountable.”

Democrats Pinto and Greenman said the committee should have proposed legislation that could spark meaningful changes.

“Fighting fraud is urgent. Solutions were needed now,” Pinto said.

Robbins and other Republicans responded that the committee’s role was investigative, not legislative, and that the committee’s findings did inspire proposed laws.

Greenman said the document contains “misleading” information, and “no Democratic leader [is] left undisparaged” in the report. She defended the work of Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison in prosecuting fraud cases, and said the report fails to give him due credit.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 16:20

India Panics, Further Tightens Gold Flows As Rupee Collapses

Well, that escalated quickly...

With the Rupee accelerating its declines to ever lower record lows against the dollar, Indian authorities have stepped up capital controls, focusing on curbing demand in the gold 'exit' route.

4 days ago, there were no signs of import duty hikes as Prime Minister Narendra Modi  issued a rare weekend appeal urging citizens to forgo gold purchases as well as unnecessary foreign travel in order to help hold up the currency..

2 days ago, tariffs were more than doubled on gold and silver imports to 15% and 6% respectively.

And today, they are doing even more with India now tightening the advance authorisation route, effectively capping how much gold individual exporters can bring in through that channel. 

A government notification stated that imports of bullion exceeding 100 kilograms would be subject to prior authorization, adding that any subsequent imports would only be granted after exports equivalent to 50% had been carried out.

The notification also introduced stricter checks for first-time applicants seeking permission to import gold under the scheme.

The government has also linked future import approvals to export performance.

India, the world’s third-largest oil importer, has been hit hard by the inflationary shock caused by energy disruptions in the Persian Gulf. 

Higher import bills have driven sharp foreign-exchange outflows, pushing the rupee down to a record low and prompting the Reserve Bank of India to step in and sell dollars.

And the fact that gold is the country’s largest import item after crude oil does not help, which is why India is doing everything in its power to limit capital outflows. 

As UBS explains, the new curbs don't directly restrict the importing banks, but it does limit how much metal each participant can access, reducing the ability to build larger positions and tightening flows through the system.

The broader backdrop is that India is no longer purely a jewellery-led market.

Demand has become more investment‑driven, with a growing share of imports moving into financial holdings, including ETFs.

A significant part of last year’s import surge appears to have gone into investment rather than fabrication, which changes how the market behaves. During the initial phase of the recent Middle East escalation, Indian ETFs were among the first to react, selling roughly ~20 tonnes in the opening week of the move.

More immediately, demand has already been soft in recent weeks, as reflected in recent import data.

Monthly India Gold Imports below in tonnes, source: UBS

Near‑term uncertainty around fertiliser (urea) supplies also poses a risk to this year’s crop cycle, with the key monsoon period running into August, which could weigh on rural incomes and, by extension, gold buying.

The recent moves underscore policy concerns around curbing import-led dollar outflows from high foreign exchange-draining sectors, Madhavi Arora, economist at Emkay Global Financial Services said.

“We expect gold imports to fall by around 20-25% this year due to these steps.”

New Delhi is weighing several further emergency steps to shore up foreign-exchange reserves and limit the damage from the war in the Middle East.

If demand does recover, however, as seen in previous tightening cycles, attempts by the government to limit capital outflows via precious metals will only encourage activity to re‑route via unofficial channels (with smuggling picking up when the onshore market is constrained), to preserve purchasing power, and it is only a matter of time before India joins the rest of the financially suppressed developing world in actively pursuing such non-fiat alternatives as tether and bitcoin if the traditional gold and silver pathways are limited. 

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 15:40

DOJ Sues DC Bar Over Its Prosecution Of Former Trump Lawyer, Calls It "Partisan Arm Of Leftist Causes"

Authored by Troy Myers via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The Department of Justice (DOJ) filed a complaint on May 13 against the D.C. Bar, alleging it has acted as a “partisan arm of leftist causes.”

The U.S. Department of Justice in Washington on April 27, 2026. Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times

According to the DOJ, the agency seeks to advance President Donald Trump’s directives to end the weaponization of the federal government while nullifying the D.C. Bar’s prosecution of former Assistant Attorney General Jeff Clark.

D.C. Disciplinary Counsel Hamilton P. Fox III, the D.C. Office of Disciplinary Counsel, the D.C. Court of Appeals, the District of Columbia itself, the D.C. Bar, and others are named as defendants and accused of unlawfully prosecuting Clark based on his internal deliberations of potential fraud in the 2020 presidential election.

The Epoch Times reached out to the D.C. Bar for comment and was referred to the D.C. Board on Professional Responsibility, which did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Clark wrote a draft letter for his litigation on potential fraud, which was never issued, and the D.C. Court of Appeals’ disciplinary authorities punished him over it, according to the complaint.

The D.C. Bar and others’ investigation and discipline of Clark were improperly based on “their disagreement with Mr. Clark’s performance of his discretionary Executive Branch duties, particularly with respect to a predecisional and deliberative document about potential election fraud in Georgia, which remains the subject of criminal investigation and civil litigation years later,” the complaint said.

Allowing proceedings against Clark to continue would mean state bar authorities can exert control over the executive branch, the DOJ said, adding, “That is not the law.”

The DOJ cited the supremacy clause of the U.S. Constitution, or preemption, as a cause for dismissing proceedings and discipline against Clark. Preemption, the DOJ said, prevents states and the District of Columbia from regulating or interfering with federal officials performing their duties.

In the complaint, the DOJ also argued that a 2024 Supreme Court decision, Trump v. United States, offers protection for Clark.

In that landmark ruling, the justices said the president is entitled to absolute immunity “for conduct within his exclusive sphere of authority” because the president should have the “maximum ability to deal fearlessly and impartially with the duties of his office.”

The president would enjoy little immunity if federal attorneys could be targeted and disciplined for internal deliberations, the complaint said.

In the news release, the DOJ said this filing furthers Trump’s executive order, “Ending the Weaponization of the Federal Government,” and his presidential memorandum, “Preventing Abuses of the Legal System and the Federal Courts.”

“The D.C. Bar will no longer be permitted to probe sensitive Executive Branch deliberations and target Executive Branch officials with whom they happen to politically disagree,” Associate Attorney General Stanley Woodward said. “Federal attorneys will once again be free to share their candid legal advice with their bosses and colleagues.”

In a similar case to Clark’s, the DOJ said it filed a statement in support of former interim U.S. Attorney Ed Martin, who is looking to have the D.C. Bar’s prosecution of him taken up in a neutral federal court.

The DOJ noted in its news release that three former attorneys general have acknowledged that the D.C. Bar’s push to discipline federal attorneys “for making recommendations, factual assertions, and providing legal advice during confidential internal agency deliberations on law enforcement and sensitive public policy” is “improper and constitutionally impermissible.”

“President Trump promised to put an end to the weaponization of the legal process, and today’s lawsuit against the D.C. Bar makes good on that promise,” Woodward said.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 15:20

Zelenskyy's Former Right-Hand Man Yermak Arrested In $10.5 Million Money Laundering Scheme

Ukraine’s High Anti-Corruption Court ordered the pre-trial detention of Andriy Yermak, the powerful former head of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Office and once the country’s second-most influential figure, on money-laundering charges tied to a high-profile corruption scheme.

The ruling marks a dramatic fall for Yermak, who served as Zelenskyy’s closest aide from 2020 until his resignation in late 2025 amid earlier raids. He was taken into custody directly from the courtroom following the decision.

Charges and Allegations

Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) and Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO) named Yermak a suspect on May 11 in a scheme involving the laundering of approximately 460 million hryvnias (about $10.5 million or €9-10 million).

Prosecutors allege he participated in an organized criminal group that funneled illicit funds - originating from kickbacks at the state nuclear energy company Energoatom-through shell companies and fake contracts into the construction of a luxury residential complex (known as “Dynasty”) in the affluent village of Kozyn, south of Kyiv.

The broader “Midas” investigation into Energoatom reportedly uncovered a pattern where contractors paid 10-15% kickbacks to officials to secure or maintain deals. Funds were allegedly laundered between 2021 and 2025 via elite real estate development.

Yermak faces charges under Part 3 of Article 209 of Ukraine’s Criminal Code (legalization of criminally obtained proceeds). A conviction could carry up to 12 years in prison.

After multi-day hearings, the High Anti-Corruption Court (HACC) imposed 60 days of pre-trial detention starting May 14, with an alternative of bail set at 140 million hryvnias (roughly $3.2 million). Prosecutors had requested a higher bail of 180 million hryvnias (about $4 million).

Yermak was remanded in custody immediately, though he could secure release if the full bail is posted while the case proceeds. His legal team plans to appeal the ruling.

Yermak’s Response

Yermak has strongly denied all allegations, calling them “groundless” and “baseless.” He stated he owns only one apartment and one car, and has no involvement in the luxury development.

After the hearing, he told reporters: “I don’t have that kind of money, and my lawyer will now work with friends and acquaintances [to raise the money for bail].” He added that he respects the court, has “nothing to hide,” and is proud of his service to Ukraine during the war. He mentioned visiting the front lines weekly and receiving international support, though he said he would not use it to influence the judiciary.

His defense argues the case lacks merit and may carry political undertones.

Background and Political Impact

Yermak rose from a film producer and diplomat to become Zelenskyy’s chief of staff, wielding immense influence over policy, appointments, judiciary, and even early peace negotiations with Russia before the full-scale invasion. Critics accused him of consolidating power and sidelining longtime allies of the president.

He resigned in November 2025 after NABU raids on his properties linked to the wider Energoatom probe. Zelenskyy has not been implicated, and anti-corruption officials have stressed the president is not a subject of the investigation.

It is no wonder Democrats just love corrupt Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/wqKy6PjzWp

— Marcus Notrealius (@TheLieKeeper) May 14, 2026

The case comes as Ukraine faces intense pressure to combat high-level graft to advance EU membership and sustain Western support amid the ongoing war with Russia. It has sent shockwaves through Kyiv’s political elite and fueled public frustration over wartime corruption.

This remains a developing story. The investigation is ongoing, with potential for more suspects and revelations as the case moves forward.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 15:00

Biden FBI Quietly Hid Trump Prosecution Files For Potential Post-2028 Case

Authored by Luis Cornelio via Headline USA,

Another trove of newly unearthed Biden-era files suggest that the FBI attempted to retain purported evidence related to its prosecution of President Donald Trump until 2030 — when he would presumably be out of office.

The documents, reported Tuesday by Just the News, add to a growing body of records that have detailed the breadth of the aggressive actions targeting Trump, Republican lawmakers and conservative organizations connected to the 2020 election.

According to the report, the retention effort came as part of a broader push to preserve materials gathered by then-Special Counsel Jack Smith following the dismissal of related cases. Such materials are typically handled under DOJ procedures once a case is closed.

The documents in question were reportedly created in 2025, as Trump was preparing to return to office in January, and relate to investigations tied to the certification of the 2020 presidential election.

The decision to retain the evidence has raised questions about whether federal officials were preserving the option to revisit the case after Trump leaves office, when DOJ rules barring the prosecution of a sitting president would no longer apply.

The case itself was closed without prejudice, meaning it could be refiled at a later date.

As reported by Just the News:

“One of the key ‘Case Closing’ documents obtained by Just the News – originating from the FBI’s Washington Field Office’s CR-15 team – was dated a couple of weeks into Trump’s second term, on February 5, 2025, when many holdover FBI agents and leaders were still in place.

The newly-released closing document from early 2025 repeated the extensive claims of criminality against Trump, which had been pursued by Smith and the bureau, and it sought to retain all of the evidence for a half decade until at least February 2030, when Trump would be a former president once more and thus when the DOJ guidance prohibiting the prosecution of a sitting president would no longer be in force.”

According to the outlet, the document — titled “Arctic Frost – Election Law Matters – Sensitive Investigative Matter” — included supporting materials such as a “Deputy Special Counsel Concurrence” and the “Retention of Evidence Approval.”

In response to the findings, FBI Director Kash Patel said he had moved to eliminate the office involved in handling the matter.

“The American people deserve to know how this egregious weaponization of power to target political opponents and President Trump happened inside an institution meant to protect them,” Patel told Just the News.

“We shut down the weaponized CR-15 squad, and we are going to keep following the facts until there is full accountability. The FBI exists to protect the country, not to preserve political prosecutions for a future administration.”

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 14:40

With GOP Help, House Dems Force Vote To Give Another $1.3 Billion To Ukraine

In a rebellion defying the priorities of Speaker Mike Johnson, House Democrats have teamed up with two Republicans and an independent in a parliamentary maneuver that will force a vote on a bill that would give another $1.3 billion in military aid and other assistance to Ukraine, as that country continues to lose territory in its war with Russia.  

"We look forward to seeing the House pass this bill quickly and encourage the Senate to take it up without delay. The ​brave men and women of Ukraine ​are waiting," said NY Rep. Gregory Meeks, ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee and the author of the bill.  

A view, by Zelensky’s former press secretary whose interview went out on Tucker Carlson show last night. https://t.co/kkKP5HxnCQ

— Leonid Ragozin (@leonidragozin) May 12, 2026

All 215 House Democrats signed a discharge petition, a means by which representatives can bypass House leadership's agenda-setting role and compel a vote on a bill. Seldom used over House history, discharge petitions are showing their potency in a House ruled by a narrow majority, as is the case today. Most famously, Republican Rep. Thomas Massie and Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna used the maneuver last year to compel a vote on forcing the release of the Epstein investigation files. For this Ukraine bill, the Democrats were joined by two Republicans -- Pennsylvania Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon -- along with California independent Kevin Kiley, who earlier this year left the GOP. 

Kiley's signature on the petition pushed to the required 218. "Recent Ukrainian gains have created an opportunity for peace, but the collapse of the recent ceasefire shows that leverage is needed for diplomacy to succeed," he said in a statement. That will force Johnson to bring a vote to the floor on the Ukraine Support Act, which has three major thrusts: 

• Reaffirming US support for both Ukraine and NATO, and enacting measures for Ukraine's reconstruction
• $1.3 billion in aid and -- get this -- up to $8 billion more in direct loans that could prove to be LINOs -- loans in name only
• More sanctions and export controls on Russia, targeting officials, financial institutions, and the oil and mining sectors

The yellow area shows the last part of the Donetsk oblast that Russia has yet to seize control of. The Luhansk oblast is to the northeast, while the next two oblasts moving southwest are Zaporizhzhia and Kherson, with Crimea at the southernmost end (via Russia Matters) 

Though the House may pass the bill, the push to give more money to Ukraine will face an uphill climb in the Senate. The discharge-petition development comes as Ukraine and Russia moved on from a brief ceasefire and resumed blasting each other, though -- for now -- at a reduced tempo. Russia has continued to make gradual progress in taking control of both the Luhansk and Donetsk "oblasts" which together comprise the Donbas region of Eastern Ukraine. Moscow is insisting that Ukraine's ceding of the last parts of the Donbas is a precondition to resumed peace talks.  

Not accounting for another potential $1.3 billion thrown into the Ukraine war -- to say nothing of the money pit that is the US-Israeli war on Iran -- the US government was in February projected to post a fiscal-year 2026 deficit of $1.9 trillion. Not that anyone in Washington cares. 

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 14:20

Cable Crashes As Burnham Signals Challenge To UK PM Starmer

Update (1345ET): Following Wes Streeting's earlier resignation "having lost confidence" in Starmer's leadership, the UK PM is now under further pressure as Andy Burnham opened a possible path to challenge Keir Starmer for the prime minister’s job, after a Labour member of Parliament resigned and urged the Greater Manchester mayor to run for his seat.

Andy Burnham

Bloomberg reports that the MP, Josh Simons, announced plans to step down from his Manchester area seat, freeing up a House of Commons constituency that Burnham would need to mount a bid to become leader of the governing Labour Party.

“I am standing aside so that Andy Burnham can return to his home, fight to re-enter Parliament, and if elected, drive the change our country is crying out for,” Simons wrote.

“Nothing short of urgent, radical, courageous reform will make a difference.”

With UK bond markets closed, the outlet for positioning after this headline (and the anxiety over "radical reform") was the FX market and cable plunged on the news...

Burnham separately said he would seek permission from Labour’s National Executive Committee, a panel dominated by Starmer loyalists that blocked a similar bid earlier this year.

“Much bigger change is needed at a national level if everyday life is to be made more affordable again,” Burnham said in a statement to Manchester Evening News.

“This is why I now seek people’s support to return to Parliament: to bring the change we have brought to Greater Manchester to the whole of the UK and make politics work properly for people.”

There will be several hurdles standing in Burnham’s way. Starmer’s allies on Labour’s governing body blocked him from contesting a seat in the Manchester area when it became vacant earlier this year, citing the need to avoid a costly election for the mayoral post he would have to vacate. They could do so again.

*  *  *

With UK PM Starmer's leadership under increasing scrutiny, UK Health Secretary, Wes Streeting, has issued a statement via social media that he is resigning his post.

Wes Streeting

Streeting says that while there are good reasons to remain in post, he has lost confidence in Starmer’s leadership:

"As you know from our conversation earlier this week, having lost confidence in your leadership, I have concluded that it would be dishonourable and unprincipled to [remain in post]."

He went on:

"It is now clear that you will not lead the Labour Party into the next general election and that Labour MPs and Labour unions want the debate about what comes next to be a battle of ideas, not of personalities or petty factionalism.

Setting out the reasons for his resignation, he pointed to last week's "unprecedented" local elections results, in which the government's "unpopularity" was "a major and common factor" across Britain, the threat of Reform UK as one of the key reasons for his departure from government, and policy "mistakes".

"Where we need vision, we have a vacuum. Where we need direction, we have drift. This was underscored by your speech on Monday," he wrote.

pic.twitter.com/9qI2Bj35ZK

— Wes Streeting (@wesstreeting) May 14, 2026

Streeting is widely thought to be planning to challenge Starmer for the Labour leadership, but he does not announce the start of a formal bid in his letter.

For now there is little to no reaction in GBP or gilts (as several market observers believe any new leadership will deliver more orthodox and less "free shit" fiscal policies) but Polymarket shows the odds of Starmer being gone by the end of May are soaring...

Allies of Mr Streeting, who handed in his resignation as the Health Secretary on Thursday, have made little secret that he is ready to become prime minister and has a comprehensive plan to change the country.

Here is The Telegraph laying out what a Streeting premiership look like?

The economy

Mr Streeting said last year that he was “really uncomfortable with the level of taxation in this country”, suggesting he would resist further increases. Speaking in December, he admitted the Government was “asking a lot” of individuals and businesses with historically high taxes. But he also warned Britain had “a level of indebtedness that we need to take very seriously”, indicating that tax cuts would also be unlikely. He has previously defended Labour’s decision to increase employers’ National Insurance, saying the raise had paid for more NHS appointments. Mr Streeting has previously proposed several radical changes to the tax system. In a 2020 interview, he suggested equalising capital gains tax with income tax, replacing inheritance tax with a “lifetime gifts tax” and increasing corporation tax. He also said all new tax and spending plans should be put through a “progressive impact test” to ensure they helped people on low and middle incomes. But unlike his Left-wing rivals, he has also long advocated that Labour should stick to strict fiscal rules, balancing day-to-day spending with tax revenues.

Defense

Mr Streeting caused a stir in Westminster last month when he suggested that savings should be found from the welfare budget to fund defence. The Health Secretary acknowledged that Britain needed to put more money into the military and that the cash “has to come from somewhere”. While he ruled out taking the money from the NHS budget, he signalled an openness to find it from other areas of spending, such as benefits. Other than on that issue, Mr Streeting has largely backed Sir Keir’s plans to boost defence spending to 3 per cent of GDP by the mid-2030s. Last month, he defended the Government’s handling of the military, insisting that Britain was still “the cornerstone of European defence and security”. Defending the repeated delays to the Government’s defence investment plan, he said Downing Street was taking the time to “get it right”.

Brexit

Mr Streeting is one of the most high-profile Remainers in the Cabinet and was a passionate campaigner for Britain to remain in the EU. Last year, he strongly suggested Labour should consider taking the UK back into a customs union with Europe, saying it would boost growth. But he did insist that the manifesto pledge not to return to freedom of movement with the Continent must stay, ruling out the single market. “The best way for us to get more growth into our economy is a deeper trading relationship with the EU,” he told The Observer in December. “The challenge is any economic partnership we have can’t lead to a return to freedom of movement.” Mr Streeting has long been an advocate of closer EU ties. In 2018, while a backbencher, he rebelled against then leader Jeremy Corbyn, calling for him to commit Labour to keeping Britain in the single market and a customs union.

Immigration

Mr Streeting is naturally a liberal on immigration and has repeatedly signalled his discomfort at the Government’s clampdown on visas and asylum. He criticised Sir Keir’s “island of strangers” speech and has previously said Britain relies on migrants to care for an ageing population. Last November, he admitted he was not comfortable with plans laid out by the Home Secretary to deport families who arrived in the UK illegally. In a 2018 speech, Mr Streeting argued that “we rely on attracting people from overseas, particularly with our ageing population and shrinking working-age population”. But as far back as then, the Health Secretary was stressing the point that Britain needed to increase education and training for its domestic workforce. It is a principle he has taken into government, criticising the health service’s reliance on foreign doctors and admitting voters had “lost confidence in the immigration system”.

The NHS

One of the most notable things Mr Streeting has done in his two years in post is abolishing NHS England, the world’s largest quango. The decision came as a surprise to Westminster and demonstrated that the Health Secretary was unafraid to make significant structural changes to government. It will also put him and his ministers back in direct control of the NHS, hinting at a hands-on approach and a willingness to take on personal responsibility. Waiting lists have fallen on Mr Streeting’s watch and pledges to further improve the health service would be a core part of his premiership. He has also shown himself willing to go to war with the medical unions, warning that their pay demands for junior doctors would “break the country”. But although he has repeatedly spoken of the need to reform the NHS, any change to its funding model would be off the table under Mr Streeting. The Health Secretary has attacked Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, for suggesting the UK should consider moving to a French-style public insurance model.

Streeting is only one of the party figures likely to throw their hats into the ring in the event of a formal leadership contest. Former deputy premier Angela Rayner said Thursday morning that she had been cleared of wrongdoing in a probe into her tax affairs, while there is a large faction on the party’s left working to secure a parliamentary seat for Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, who can’t run without one.

For Starmer to face a formal leadership challenge, a potential successor would have to be nominated by 20% of Labour Members of Parliament. The party currently has 403 MPs, putting that threshold at 81. The ensuing contest would be decided by preferential votes by Labour Party members and affiliates, with precise voting eligibility set by Labour’s governing body.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 13:45

Separate Peace? Saudi Arabia Floats Regional Non-Aggression Pact With Iran

Are regional Gulf countries seeking to forge there own separate peace deals with Iran, apart from the United States? That's what fresh Thursday reporting in the Financial Times suggests.

The report says Saudi Arabia is supposedly considering a non-aggression pact between the Middle East states and Iran after the military conflict between the United States and Iran ends, the FT indicates.

via Express Tribune

Citing diplomatic sources, it describes that Riyadh is assessing a model of the Helsinki Process, which helped reduce tensions in Europe during the Cold War, and created an uneasy East-West peace in post-WW2 Europe. 

The driving rationale behind the potential diplomatic framework is that while Iran is "weakened," the reality is that it still "poses a threat to its neighbors."

An Arab diplomat cited by FT said that a non-aggression pact modelled along the lines of the Helsinki process is something likely to be embraced by most Arab and Muslim states, as well as by Iranian leader.

"It all depends on who is in it - in the current climate, you are not going to be able to get Iran and Israel... Without Israel, it could be counterproductive because after Iran, they are seen as the biggest source of conflict. But Iran is not going anywhere, and this is why the Saudis are pushing it," the source stated.

The Abraham Accords have theoretically attempted to build a normalization and non-aggression foundation involving Arab states and Israel, but other countries and populations in the region are suspicious of it for the very fact that it is seen fundamentally as a pro-US and pro-Israeli axis of alignment. 

As for for Tehran and Riyadh, they recently have experience with direct, good faith talks, given that it was only in 2023 that China made history when it brokered a landmark normalization deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia - after which mutual embassies opened and went into operation.

This week, Reuters and other sources revealed for the first time that at the height of Trump's Operation Epic Fury which began in late February and endured through March into early April, the UAE directly fired back on Iran as it was under attack by drones and missiles. Also interesting is the fresh revelation that Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu made a secret visit to the UAE as the Iran war was in full swing - though UAE has officially denied it, perhaps not wanting to inflame Arab public sentiment.

Kuwait also reportedly directly attacked Iranian interests, and additionally the Saudis attacked Shia Iraqi militias seen as cooperating with Iran.

Highways, railroads and ports in Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E. and Oman have been transformed into an emergency logistics lifeline during the Iran war, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz

With talks between the U.S. and Iran deadlocked, the conflict has devolved into an economic war of… pic.twitter.com/bgnzBmGc6g

— Joshua Landis (@joshua_landis) May 13, 2026

Interestingly, US intelligence and the governments involved kept this under wraps for many weeks, and it suggests just how close the world was to witnessing a broader regional war that could have quickly spun out of control. Before the series of disclosures, it was widely assumed that only the United States military was 'defending' the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. But clearly some of these countries were hitting back against the Islamic Republic on their own.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 13:40

After "Fantastic Day" With Xi, Trump Touts 200-Jet Boeing Deal As China Offers Hormuz Help

Summary: 

• Trump says Boeing Secured a 200 'Big' jet order from China

• Trump says President Xi wants Hormuz reopened, won't give Tehran weapons 

• Trump, Xi Put Hormuz, Iran, Trade, Taiwan At Center Of Historic Beijing Summit

Boeing-China Jet Deal

A highly anticipated Boeing jet deal appears to have materialized after the first day of President Trump's summit with President Xi Jinping. 

Fox News reports that Trump said Boeing secured an order for 200 "big" jets from China. He said the order was initially for 150, but the final figure will be 200

Trump Says China Will Help On Reopening Hormuz 

It is nearly midnight in Beijing, and President Trump is still speaking on the record with corporate media, offering additional insight on the first day of the summit and state banquet with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

In comments to Fox News, Trump said Xi offered to help pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, signaling that Beijing may be willing to use its leverage over Tehran.

*TRUMP SAYS CHINA'S XI OFFERED TO HELP ON IRAN: FOX NEWS

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 14, 2026

This comes as energy insiders and traders warn that continued closure of the Strait through the end of the month could spark a worsening energy shock.

Trump also said Xi would not provide weapons to Tehran.

*TRUMP: XI SAID HE WON'T GIVE MILITARY EQUIPMENT TO IRAN https://t.co/9s2HQn4rPs

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 14, 2026

Trump, Xi Put Hormuz, Iran, Trade, Taiwan At Center Of Historic Beijing Summit

President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are currently seated at the main table at a state banquet. President Xi called the visit historic, and said U.S.-China ties are "stable" amid talks with Trump's team.

President Xi offers a toast at the state banquet dinner in Beijing: "To the bright future of China-U.S. relations, and the friendship between the two peoples, and to the health of President Trump and all of the friends present." pic.twitter.com/VmJeU4Xk1f

— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) May 14, 2026

According to a White House readout, Trump and Xi agreed that the Strait of Hormuz should remain open to free navigation and that Tehran should not charge a fee to ships using the critical waterway.

Key notes from the White House readout (courtesy of Bloomberg):

• Trump Had A Good Meeting With Xi: White House Official

• Leaders Discussed Increasing China's purchases of Agriculture

• Trump, Xi Agreed Hormuz Must Remain Open: White House Official

• U.S. Says Xi Made Clear China Opposes Militarization of Hormuz

• Both Sides Agreed Iran Can Never Have A Nuclear Weapon: U.S.

• U.S. Says Xi Expressed Interest in Purchasing More American Oil

From the Bilateral Meeting in Beijing:

President Trump had a good meeting with President Xi of China. pic.twitter.com/WaH8hR1ZV3

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) May 14, 2026

Both countries agreed that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. pic.twitter.com/7hYMIBoTZY

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) May 14, 2026

Beijing also signaled interest in buying more U.S. oil to reduce China's reliance on crude and crude products transiting the Hormuz chokepoint. This signifies how the U.S.-Iran conflict is rewiring global energy flows.

Trump-Xi talks also covered fentanyl, securing market access for U.S. companies in the mainland market, and increasing Chinese investment in American industries and purchases of U.S. agricultural products.

"American enterprises are deeply involved in China's reform and opening up, a process from which both sides have benefited," Xi told the leaders of U.S. companies accompanying Trump on the trip. Those CEOs include Tesla's Elon Musk, Apple's Tim Cook, Boeing's Kelly Ortberg, and Nvidia's Jensen Huang.

The two sides discussed ways to enhance economic cooperation between countries, including expanding market access for American businesses into China and increasing Chinese investment.

Leaders from many of the United States’ largest companies joined a portion of the meeting. pic.twitter.com/i3Q1ogde2E

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) May 14, 2026

Xi continued, "China's door to the outside world will only open wider."

On the agricultural front, Bloomberg reported that China renewed import licenses for hundreds of U.S. beef plants, reviving trade that will help ranchers and farmers.

Xi was quoted as saying that China and the U.S. agree to build a "constructive and strategically stable relationship" that will serve as a framework for China-U.S. relations over the next three years and beyond.

On the subject of Taiwan, Xi told Trump bluntly that Sino-U.S. relations would enter an "extremely dangerous place" if Trump ignored Beijing's demands over Taiwan.

Back at the state banquet, Trump invited Xi to Washington on Sept. 24.

Overall, it appears that day one of Trump's summit with Xi was positive.

.@POTUS delivers remarks at the state banquet dinner at the Great Hall of the People: "It was a fantastic day, and in particular, I want to thank President Xi, my friend, for this magnificent welcome... and for so graciously hosting us on this very historic state visit." pic.twitter.com/lcFTC7wUY9

— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) May 14, 2026

Earlier, Trump and Xi took a walk at an ancient temple in Beijing.

.@POTUS in China: "It's great — a great place. Incredible. China is beautiful." pic.twitter.com/Xiu7KSCvpL

— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) May 14, 2026

"The China-U.S. Summit is ongoing, with expectations for any breakthroughs low," UBS analyst Justinus Steinhorst told clients earlier.

UBS analyst Shuo Yang noted, "It has been a subdued Asia session, with markets in wait-and-see mode into the Trump-Xi meeting."

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joined CNBC and said the U.S. and China are seeking to lower tariffs on some trade, starting with $30 billion in non-critical areas. Bessent also noted that Chinese officials are "doing what they can" to reopen Hormuz. 

Bessent added that Boeing is nearing a "large" plane order from China, but did not specify whether those orders would be for narrow-body or wide-body jets.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 13:30

Are Markets F***ed? Collum And Pomboy To Address Everything Bubble

LIVE NOW:

https://t.co/VzsW6va0Px

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 14, 2026

*************

As the S&P continues to reach new highs in the mid 7000s, leaving the COVID era 3000s as a forgotten fevered dream… and AI euphoria fueling increasingly speculative bets across Wall Street and Main Street, the sane among us need to ask the question: when will reality hit?

In tonight’s ZeroHedge debate, hosted by the legendary Dave Collum, Macro Mavens founder Stephanie Pomboy and Michael Lebowitz will break down the most dangerously overvalued sectors of today’s market. From AI to private credit… and debate how, when, and where the unwind may begin.

Nasdaq is up almost 30% since the end of March. Howbowdah?

— Dave Collum (@DavidBCollum) May 13, 2026

The discussion will examine whether the AI boom has become detached from economic reality, whether Nvidia’s 43 PE ratio makes any sense, and whether private credit gating is the canary in the coal mine. With liquidity tightening beneath the surface and credit conditions deteriorating, Collum and the gang will discuss ways to preserve wealth before the cycle turns.

The conversation will also focus heavily on the Federal Reserve’s next chapter under incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, whose prior statements indicate a hawkish stance… but that’s been true of past chairs before they held the helm. Is Warsh a genuine monetary hawk willing to tolerate market pain to restore credibility to the dollar and contain inflation? Or will he ultimately cave under political and financial pressure like Jerome Powell during COVID?

However, let's not forget that Warsh voted for QE and bailouts and parroted Bernanke's nonsense during the GFC.

— Michael Lebowitz, CFA (@michaellebowitz) April 21, 2026

For investors trying to position themselves ahead of what could be the next major repricing event, or for those who just want to hear about how horrible the economy really is… join Collum, Pomboy, and Lebowitz this evening.

The debate will stream live on the ZH X account and homepage at 7pm ET. See you there.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 12:20

 

 

I am hosting a few panels today at the Bloomberg Hedge Fund & Alternative Emerging Manager Forum.

We just did a version of this in San Francisco last month — these are always fascinating and informative. What makes these events so special is the Bloomberg special sauce — they have all the data needed to select the top-performing managers.

My views on Alts have only slightly moderated over the years: If you have access to a top decile fund, you should strongly consider it. As to all of the rest…

~~~

Here are the details:

New & Emerging Manager Panel
Discussion with new and emerging fund leaders about launching and scaling differentiated strategies, including AI use cases in investment processes and operations.

Featuring:

Paul Podolsky
Founder and Chief Investment Officer
Kate Capital

Michael Alfaro
Chief Investment Officer
Gallo Partners

Nadine Buckland
Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Zenzic Capital

 

Bloomberg:

The alternative investment landscape is evolving rapidly, with hedge fund managers navigating unprecedented market volatility, rising investor expectations, and accelerating advances in technology. The Bloomberg Hedge Fund & Alternative Manager Forum 2026 brings together senior leaders from hedge funds, multi-managers, family offices, and private capital firms for an afternoon of strategic insights, networking, and innovation.

As the lines between traditional and alternative investing continue to blur, this event will explore what it takes to stand out in today’s competitive environment—from launching a fund to scaling operations and embracing new approaches to data, research, and risk. Sessions will feature industry-leading allocators, emerging managers, and experts at the forefront of global macro strategy, AI innovation, and private markets expansion.

Should be fun!

Swing by if you are in town…

 

 

Previously:
Video: Bloomberg Hedge Fund/Alt Fund Manager (June 30, 2025)

Bloomberg Hedge Fund & Alternative Manager Forum 2025 (June 24, 2025)

Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2024 (June 4, 2024)

 

The post Hedge Fund & Alternative Manager Forum 2026 appeared first on The Big Picture.

Iran Proclaims Safe, Toll-Free Passage For 30 Chinese Tankers Amid Xi-Trump Summit

During President Trump's ongoing state visit to China, he and President Xi Jinping agreed that the ‌Strait of ‌Hormuz must be open for ‌the ⁠free flow of energy. They along with their senior officials have expressed agreement that no country can ​be allowed to exact shipping tolls in the Strait of Hormuz.

Following this, Thursday saw Iranian state media proclaim that some 30 Chinese vessels are being allowed safe passage by Iran. Bloomberg also freshly reports, "The vessels were allowed to pass the Strait of Hormuz with the coordination of the Iranian authorities and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ navy, state TV reports, citing an IRGC naval official." While it's as yet unknown or unclear whether the US Navy side of the de facto blockade will also let them pass, Reuters has also reported the following:

Iran ‌has begun allowing some Chinese vessels to transit through the Strait of Hormuz following an understanding over Iranian management protocols for the waterway, the semi-official Fars news agency said on Thursday, citing an informed source.

via Reuters

In particular the move also follows formal requests by China's foreign minister as well as Beijing's ambassador to Iran, with Tehran reportedly agreeing based on safeguarding the two allies' strategic partnership.

Bloomberg cited the IRGC official as saying of the Iranian protocol for passage, "A new era in the Strait of Hormuz has started as many countries of the world and fleets have accepted that the best, quickest and simplest way for transiting this very important waterway is only though coordination with the IRGC’s naval forces."

This was after Wednesday saw the key milestone of a Chinese supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude having successfully passed through the Strait of Hormuz, after previously being stranded for more than two months.

Also of note is that the Chinese Cosco Shipping tanker did not have to pay tolls. According to The Wall Street Journal:

Lloyd’s List Intelligence data show the Yuan Hua Hu crossed the waterway through the corridor in the north controlled by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Ship trackers said the vessel switched off its transponder while sailing from an anchorage in Dubai towards Larak, then came back online for a couple of hours before going dark again. Ships crossing through Larak pay an average of $2 million each, according to brokers.

The Yuan Hua Hu is the third Chinese state-owned tanker to leave the Gulf since the start of the war.

State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott emphasized earlier this week that Washington and Beining "agreed that no country or organization can be allowed to charge tolls to pass through international waterways like the Strait of Hormuz."

China imports the bulk of its energy from the Middle East, and while it has amassed substantial crude oil stockpiles that are helping it weather the worst of the crisis - anecdotally over 1.4 billion barrels - restoring normal flows from the Persian Gulf is important for one of the world’s top energy importers.

Are Iran and China coordinating behind the scenes to seek to take negotiating leverage away from Trump?

Chinese companies are in talks for major new arms sales to Iran, explicitly ignoring Trump's letter to Xi before his arrival.

And in return, Iran just granted more than 10 Chinese ships, including oil tankers, passage through the Strait of Hormuz — preempting any U.S. attempt to… pic.twitter.com/k4H3vG0vgb

— MeidasClips (@MeidasClips) May 13, 2026

Earlier in the war, reports emerged that Beijing had pressured Iranian officials to stop attacking vessels carrying crude oil and LNG via Hormuz. Judging from later events that involved Iranian strikes on vessels in the chokepoint, Tehran did not yield to the pressure.

Tyler Durden Thu, 05/14/2026 - 10:55