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House Of Horrors: Cops Search Epstein's Zorro Ranch For Strangled Girls, 'Human Experimentation'

Zero Hedge -

House Of Horrors: Cops Search Epstein's Zorro Ranch For Strangled Girls, 'Human Experimentation'

Weeks after New Mexico officials launched an investigation into Jeffrey Epstein's Zorro Ranch in New Mexico - which has since been purchased to turn into a Christian retreatthe FBI and local law enforcement descended on the 7,500 acre property in search of dark secrets, including the possible graves of trafficked girls who may have been strangled to death during violent sex sessions on the property. 

For years the rumors have swirled around the isolated estate near the tiny town of Stanley (about 30 miles south of Santa Fe), however the identities of the alleged victims - and whether their bodies are on the property - has remained a mystery. 

The search - conducted on Monday and into Tuesday, is part of a planned state “truth commission” established by New Mexico lawmakers last month to investigate allegations surrounding Epstein’s activities at the ranch because the feds have dropped the ball

The operation began just a day after hundreds of protesters gathered outside the ranch on International Women’s Day to show support for victims of sexual abuse, the Daily Mail reports.

Danny Wilson, the brother of Epstein victim Virginia Giuffre, spoke at the protest held outside Zorro Ranch on Sunday, International Women's Day

“We have heard years of allegations and rumors about Epstein’s activities in New Mexico, but unfortunately, federal investigations have failed to put together an official record,” said New Mexico state Rep. Andrea Romero, who pushed to create the commission.

“With this truth commission, we can finally fill in the gaps by investigating the failures that led to the horrific allegations of abuse and crime at Zorro Ranch, so we can learn from them and prevent such atrocities from taking place in our state going forward,” Romero said.

One Epstein Files email references a woman who claimed Epstein offered her money to 'birth babies for black market use.'

Via @blueapples

In another Epstein file, a former staff member at Zorro allegedly claimed that "somewhere in the hills outside Zorro, two foreign girls were buried on orders of Jeffrey and Madam G" - referring to Ghislaine Maxwell. 

According to the Daily Mail, witnesses have begun claiming that Epstein may have also used the secluded ranch for disturbing medical procedures tied to his reported interest in eugenics.

“We have people coming forward saying they were drugged, had sex organs and sperm harvested from their bodies, and woke up around medical equipment not knowing where they were or what happened to them,” Romero told the Daily Mail.

New Mexico state Representative Andrea Romero is one of several lawmakers now calling for a sweeping investigation into what really happened at Zorro Ranch, following a recent influx of tips 

In addition to the allegedly strangled women, one of the most disturbing threads surrounding Jeffrey Epstein’s New Mexico estate involves allegations that the ranch may have been tied to his unusual fascination with human experimentation - particularly eugenics and genetic engineering, ideas he reportedly discussed with scientists and wealthy associates. According to accounts cited by various outlets, Epstein spoke openly about a plan to use the remote property as a kind of “baby ranch,” where women would be impregnated with his sperm in order to create a genetically “superior” bloodline.

Investigators and journalists say Epstein had a long-standing interest in transhumanism and eugenics - the controversial belief that the human race can be improved through selective breeding - and he surrounded himself with scientists and academics for frequent discussions. 

In another document from the Epstein dump, a victim writes a coded diary where she describes being a 'human incubator' who was forced to give birth to a child that was taken from her.

Eft a 02731361 by Zerohedge Janitor

Romero acknowledged that the allegations sound unusual but said investigators must examine the claims.

It’s so dark and perplexing, and I know that if you mention this to someone, it sounds very conspiratorial,” Romero said. “But we need to get down to the truth of what really happened here in our own backyard.”

The property was bought by Epstein in 1993 from former New Mexico governor Bruce King. It spans roughly 13 square miles of high desert and includes a massive luxury hacienda, guest lodges, staff dwellings, horse stables, a private airstrip, hangar and helipad. Epstein owned the ranch until his death (or escape) in (from) a New York federal jail cell in 2019 while awaiting trial on federal sex-trafficking charges. After his death (or escape), the ranch was listed for sale for $27.5 million in 2021 before the price was reduced to $18 million. The property was eventually sold in 2023 to a limited liability corporation that renamed it San Rafael Ranch.

New Mexico DOJ spokesman Lauren Rodriguez said the current owners - the family of Texas real-estate developer Don Huffines - granted investigators access to search the property and nearby public land.

Epstein’s ranch has long been alleged to have served as one of several locations where the financier trafficked and abused young women, alongside properties in New York, Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Civil filings have claimed that prominent guests visited the compound, including Britain’s (former) Prince Andrew, who was accused by Epstein accuser Virginia Giuffre of being one of the men she was trafficked to. Andrew has denied wrongdoing. There have also been unverified claims by contractors and journalists that former President Bill Clinton and other prominent figures spent time at the ranch, although Clinton denied being there during a deposition before Congress.

Accuser Maria Farmer has said she and her younger sister Annie were brought to Zorro Ranch in 1996 under the pretense of working on an art project. Maria has alleged that she was sexually assaulted by Epstein and his associate Ghislaine Maxwell, who was convicted in 2021 of child sex trafficking and is currently serving a 20-year federal prison sentence. Annie Farmer has said she was 15 when she was flown to the ranch and directed by Epstein and Maxwell “to take off all her clothes and get on a massage table.”

Since plans for the Truth Commission were announced, Romero said lawmakers have received between 25 and 30 tips from people claiming to have information about activities at the ranch.

We have this massive international story in New Mexico and all these potential conspiracies, horrible things that have happened there,” she said. “We don't know what's fact from fiction, but owe it to the people of our state to sort through these threads of information and get answers.”

Republican state Rep. Andrea Reeb, a former prosecutor who plans to sit on the commission, said the state has not done enough to examine what happened at the ranch.

“Zorro Ranch has given New Mexico a black eye. We as a state haven't been aggressive enough on figuring out what happened there,” Reeb said.

My main interest is to see if we can bring justice to some of the victims.”

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 12:20

House Of Horrors: Cops Search Epstein's Zorro Ranch For Strangled Girls, 'Human Experimentation'

Zero Hedge -

House Of Horrors: Cops Search Epstein's Zorro Ranch For Strangled Girls, 'Human Experimentation'

Weeks after New Mexico officials launched an investigation into Jeffrey Epstein's Zorro Ranch in New Mexico - which has since been purchased to turn into a Christian retreatthe FBI and local law enforcement descended on the 7,500 acre property in search of dark secrets, including the possible graves of trafficked girls who may have been strangled to death during violent sex sessions on the property. 

For years the rumors have swirled around the isolated estate near the tiny town of Stanley (about 30 miles south of Santa Fe), however the identities of the alleged victims - and whether their bodies are on the property - has remained a mystery. 

The search - conducted on Monday and into Tuesday, is part of a planned state “truth commission” established by New Mexico lawmakers last month to investigate allegations surrounding Epstein’s activities at the ranch because the feds have dropped the ball

The operation began just a day after hundreds of protesters gathered outside the ranch on International Women’s Day to show support for victims of sexual abuse, the Daily Mail reports.

Danny Wilson, the brother of Epstein victim Virginia Giuffre, spoke at the protest held outside Zorro Ranch on Sunday, International Women's Day

“We have heard years of allegations and rumors about Epstein’s activities in New Mexico, but unfortunately, federal investigations have failed to put together an official record,” said New Mexico state Rep. Andrea Romero, who pushed to create the commission.

“With this truth commission, we can finally fill in the gaps by investigating the failures that led to the horrific allegations of abuse and crime at Zorro Ranch, so we can learn from them and prevent such atrocities from taking place in our state going forward,” Romero said.

One Epstein Files email references a woman who claimed Epstein offered her money to 'birth babies for black market use.'

Via @blueapples

In another Epstein file, a former staff member at Zorro allegedly claimed that "somewhere in the hills outside Zorro, two foreign girls were buried on orders of Jeffrey and Madam G" - referring to Ghislaine Maxwell. 

According to the Daily Mail, witnesses have begun claiming that Epstein may have also used the secluded ranch for disturbing medical procedures tied to his reported interest in eugenics.

“We have people coming forward saying they were drugged, had sex organs and sperm harvested from their bodies, and woke up around medical equipment not knowing where they were or what happened to them,” Romero told the Daily Mail.

New Mexico state Representative Andrea Romero is one of several lawmakers now calling for a sweeping investigation into what really happened at Zorro Ranch, following a recent influx of tips 

In addition to the allegedly strangled women, one of the most disturbing threads surrounding Jeffrey Epstein’s New Mexico estate involves allegations that the ranch may have been tied to his unusual fascination with human experimentation - particularly eugenics and genetic engineering, ideas he reportedly discussed with scientists and wealthy associates. According to accounts cited by various outlets, Epstein spoke openly about a plan to use the remote property as a kind of “baby ranch,” where women would be impregnated with his sperm in order to create a genetically “superior” bloodline.

Investigators and journalists say Epstein had a long-standing interest in transhumanism and eugenics - the controversial belief that the human race can be improved through selective breeding - and he surrounded himself with scientists and academics for frequent discussions. 

In another document from the Epstein dump, a victim writes a coded diary where she describes being a 'human incubator' who was forced to give birth to a child that was taken from her.

Eft a 02731361 by Zerohedge Janitor

Romero acknowledged that the allegations sound unusual but said investigators must examine the claims.

It’s so dark and perplexing, and I know that if you mention this to someone, it sounds very conspiratorial,” Romero said. “But we need to get down to the truth of what really happened here in our own backyard.”

The property was bought by Epstein in 1993 from former New Mexico governor Bruce King. It spans roughly 13 square miles of high desert and includes a massive luxury hacienda, guest lodges, staff dwellings, horse stables, a private airstrip, hangar and helipad. Epstein owned the ranch until his death (or escape) in (from) a New York federal jail cell in 2019 while awaiting trial on federal sex-trafficking charges. After his death (or escape), the ranch was listed for sale for $27.5 million in 2021 before the price was reduced to $18 million. The property was eventually sold in 2023 to a limited liability corporation that renamed it San Rafael Ranch.

New Mexico DOJ spokesman Lauren Rodriguez said the current owners - the family of Texas real-estate developer Don Huffines - granted investigators access to search the property and nearby public land.

Epstein’s ranch has long been alleged to have served as one of several locations where the financier trafficked and abused young women, alongside properties in New York, Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Civil filings have claimed that prominent guests visited the compound, including Britain’s (former) Prince Andrew, who was accused by Epstein accuser Virginia Giuffre of being one of the men she was trafficked to. Andrew has denied wrongdoing. There have also been unverified claims by contractors and journalists that former President Bill Clinton and other prominent figures spent time at the ranch, although Clinton denied being there during a deposition before Congress.

Accuser Maria Farmer has said she and her younger sister Annie were brought to Zorro Ranch in 1996 under the pretense of working on an art project. Maria has alleged that she was sexually assaulted by Epstein and his associate Ghislaine Maxwell, who was convicted in 2021 of child sex trafficking and is currently serving a 20-year federal prison sentence. Annie Farmer has said she was 15 when she was flown to the ranch and directed by Epstein and Maxwell “to take off all her clothes and get on a massage table.”

Since plans for the Truth Commission were announced, Romero said lawmakers have received between 25 and 30 tips from people claiming to have information about activities at the ranch.

We have this massive international story in New Mexico and all these potential conspiracies, horrible things that have happened there,” she said. “We don't know what's fact from fiction, but owe it to the people of our state to sort through these threads of information and get answers.”

Republican state Rep. Andrea Reeb, a former prosecutor who plans to sit on the commission, said the state has not done enough to examine what happened at the ranch.

“Zorro Ranch has given New Mexico a black eye. We as a state haven't been aggressive enough on figuring out what happened there,” Reeb said.

My main interest is to see if we can bring justice to some of the victims.”

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 12:20

First Deutsche Bank, Now UBS Warns U.S. Airlines "Nearly 100% Unhedged" Against Energy Shock

Zero Hedge -

First Deutsche Bank, Now UBS Warns U.S. Airlines "Nearly 100% Unhedged" Against Energy Shock

Building on Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Linenberg’s warning last week that surging jet fuel prices pose an "existential threat" to airlines, analysts at UBS offered their own take on the unfolding energy shock set to unleash turbulence across the industry, noting that U.S. airlines are "nearly 100% unhedged" against jet fuel costs above $4 per gallon.

"US airlines are nearly 100% unhedged, with only DAL's refinery providing it a partial hedge against jet crack spreads. As such, the earnings degradation at $4+ fuel is likely to be significant and widespread," analyst Atul Maheswari wrote in a note on Monday.

Maheswari said Delta, United, and Southwest could still deliver a "meager profit" with Jet A fuel prices over $4, but "none of the other airlines will make money if fuel remains at these levels, with some airlines likely to be deep in the red."

The hit to airlines' first-quarter results will be noticeable but somewhat muted because the energy shock is coming late in the quarter, and airlines typically carry two weeks of inventory.

Maheswari said the real deterioration will come in the second quarter:

We note the impact on 1Q, while material, is cushioned by the fact the fuel spike happened late in 1Q and that airlines tend to carry 2 weeks of inventory. The impact on 2Q, though, could be significant. We continue to believe that DAL, UAL, and LUV are relatively better positioned to navigate higher fuel. AAL and several smaller airlines are more vulnerable.

Based on our math, fuel sustaining at these levels through 2Q could push DAL's 2Q EPS to $1.13, down 55% versus our current $2.49 estimate. For LUV, our 2Q EPS would go to $0.57 vs. $1.81 currently. UAL's 2Q EPS has potential to move lower to $0.96, down 80% vs. our $4.78 estimate. AAL would turn to a 2Q loss of -$0.31 vs. our current forecast of +$1.39. ALK would have a modest 2Q loss, while JBLU, ALGT, and ULCC are likely to generate a significant 2Q loss.

We assumed current fuel price (Gulf Coast $3.82/gallon) and added an incremental spread for distribution and other items based on the average historical spread reported by each for 2025. We also assumed 200 bps higher RASM relative to our published current estimate for 2Q in our analysis.

In an unlikely scenario where jet fuel stays at these levels in 2H'26 as well, it would imply about $3 in FY'26 EPS for DAL (vs. UBSe $7.17). LUV's EPS could be about $1.60 (vs. UBSe $5.05), and UAL's $2.35 (vs. UBSe $13.56). This is after assuming 200 bps higher RASM relative to our current estimates. AAL, ALK, and other smaller airlines would witness losses for FY'26 in this scenario. Full details on the impact for each airline by quarter are in figure 1.

The result of the energy shock will be "earnings degradation" that will force airlines to "quickly move to cut capacity," the analyst said. This warning echoes DB's Linenberg warning last Friday that the "financially weakest carriers could halt operations." Read the note here.

UBS Chartbook on airlines:

EPS drag from higher fuel - US Airlines

Gulf Coast Fuel Prices

FY'25 Fuel as a Percentage of Sales - by Airlines

Feb-April of 2022 - Airline stock analysis during the fuel hike of 2022

The S&P 500 Airlines Index has erased much of the November-to-February gains.

This is incredibly bad news for U.S. travelers, as capacity cuts by the weakest airlines will only lead to higher ticket prices.

Professional subscribers can read the UBS note here at our new Marketdesk.ai portal

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 12:00

First Deutsche Bank, Now UBS Warns U.S. Airlines "Nearly 100% Unhedged" Against Energy Shock

Zero Hedge -

First Deutsche Bank, Now UBS Warns U.S. Airlines "Nearly 100% Unhedged" Against Energy Shock

Building on Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Linenberg’s warning last week that surging jet fuel prices pose an "existential threat" to airlines, analysts at UBS offered their own take on the unfolding energy shock set to unleash turbulence across the industry, noting that U.S. airlines are "nearly 100% unhedged" against jet fuel costs above $4 per gallon.

"US airlines are nearly 100% unhedged, with only DAL's refinery providing it a partial hedge against jet crack spreads. As such, the earnings degradation at $4+ fuel is likely to be significant and widespread," analyst Atul Maheswari wrote in a note on Monday.

Maheswari said Delta, United, and Southwest could still deliver a "meager profit" with Jet A fuel prices over $4, but "none of the other airlines will make money if fuel remains at these levels, with some airlines likely to be deep in the red."

The hit to airlines' first-quarter results will be noticeable but somewhat muted because the energy shock is coming late in the quarter, and airlines typically carry two weeks of inventory.

Maheswari said the real deterioration will come in the second quarter:

We note the impact on 1Q, while material, is cushioned by the fact the fuel spike happened late in 1Q and that airlines tend to carry 2 weeks of inventory. The impact on 2Q, though, could be significant. We continue to believe that DAL, UAL, and LUV are relatively better positioned to navigate higher fuel. AAL and several smaller airlines are more vulnerable.

Based on our math, fuel sustaining at these levels through 2Q could push DAL's 2Q EPS to $1.13, down 55% versus our current $2.49 estimate. For LUV, our 2Q EPS would go to $0.57 vs. $1.81 currently. UAL's 2Q EPS has potential to move lower to $0.96, down 80% vs. our $4.78 estimate. AAL would turn to a 2Q loss of -$0.31 vs. our current forecast of +$1.39. ALK would have a modest 2Q loss, while JBLU, ALGT, and ULCC are likely to generate a significant 2Q loss.

We assumed current fuel price (Gulf Coast $3.82/gallon) and added an incremental spread for distribution and other items based on the average historical spread reported by each for 2025. We also assumed 200 bps higher RASM relative to our published current estimate for 2Q in our analysis.

In an unlikely scenario where jet fuel stays at these levels in 2H'26 as well, it would imply about $3 in FY'26 EPS for DAL (vs. UBSe $7.17). LUV's EPS could be about $1.60 (vs. UBSe $5.05), and UAL's $2.35 (vs. UBSe $13.56). This is after assuming 200 bps higher RASM relative to our current estimates. AAL, ALK, and other smaller airlines would witness losses for FY'26 in this scenario. Full details on the impact for each airline by quarter are in figure 1.

The result of the energy shock will be "earnings degradation" that will force airlines to "quickly move to cut capacity," the analyst said. This warning echoes DB's Linenberg warning last Friday that the "financially weakest carriers could halt operations." Read the note here.

UBS Chartbook on airlines:

EPS drag from higher fuel - US Airlines

Gulf Coast Fuel Prices

FY'25 Fuel as a Percentage of Sales - by Airlines

Feb-April of 2022 - Airline stock analysis during the fuel hike of 2022

The S&P 500 Airlines Index has erased much of the November-to-February gains.

This is incredibly bad news for U.S. travelers, as capacity cuts by the weakest airlines will only lead to higher ticket prices.

Professional subscribers can read the UBS note here at our new Marketdesk.ai portal

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 12:00

Shots Fired At U.S. Consulate In Toronto As Iran War Fuels Terror Fears

Zero Hedge -

Shots Fired At U.S. Consulate In Toronto As Iran War Fuels Terror Fears

Submitted by The Bureau's Sam Cooper,

Police responded at 5:29 a.m. Tuesday to reports that someone fired shots at the American Consulate at University Avenue and Queen Street West in the heart of Toronto, in an incident that comes as Western security agencies confront growing fears that the Iran war is triggering retaliatory violence far beyond the Middle East.

In a public statement posted by Toronto Police Operations, police said they had located evidence of a firearm discharge, that no injuries were reported, and that officers remained on scene investigating. CityNews reported damage to a consulate door and about 10 shell casings outside the building.

On Monday, ABC News reported that a federal alert sent to law enforcement agencies said the United States had intercepted encrypted communications believed to have originated in Iran that may serve as “an operational trigger” for “sleeper assets” outside the country. According to ABC, the alert cited “preliminary signals analysis” of a transmission “likely of Iranian origin” relayed across multiple countries shortly after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the Feb. 28 U.S.-Israeli strike. ABC further reported that the encoded transmission appeared intended for “clandestine recipients” holding the proper encryption key, potentially to convey instructions to “covert operatives or sleeper assets” without using internet or cellular networks.

That warning aligns with a Department of Homeland Security threat assessment reviewed by Reuters, which said Iran and its proxies “probably” pose a persistent threat of targeted attacks in the Homeland, even though a large-scale physical attack is considered unlikely.

In Toronto, the consulate incident follows a string of shootings that has deepened fears of ideologically driven or conflict-linked violence.

The city has seen multiple Jewish institutions struck by gunfire in recent days, alongside a separate shooting at a boxing gym reportedly tied to an Iranian-Canadian critic of Tehran. Authorities have not publicly connected those incidents to the consulate shooting, but the pattern has heightened concern across the city.

Reflecting that alarm, Canadian newspaper columnist Brian Lilley wrote on X: “This is in the heart of Toronto. I know people who work in that [Consulate] building. Many of them are non-partisan civil servants who may not agree with this war. Political violence in Toronto has been normalized.”

The pattern is not confined to Canada. In Oslo, Reuters reported that a loud explosion struck the U.S. embassy early Sunday, causing minor damage but no injuries, in what Norwegian police said may have been a deliberate attack linked to the crisis in the Middle East. Reuters quoted Oslo police saying one hypothesis was terrorism, while other possibilities were also being explored. Investigators said they were searching for one or several perpetrators.

*   *   * 

Reminding readers that Jared Cohen, President of Global Affairs and Co-Head of the Goldman Sachs Global Institute, warned investors on the GS Weekend Macro Call, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps maintains cells across multiple emerging market countries and could begin activating them.

"What I am looking for next is that they have meaningful cells in the Tri-Border Area of Latin America, West Africa, and elsewhere. They could hit an embassy, they could hit a consulate, or they could hit a cultural center in any one of the twelve countries they have already attacked," Cohen explained. 

Read the report here

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:40

Shots Fired At U.S. Consulate In Toronto As Iran War Fuels Terror Fears

Zero Hedge -

Shots Fired At U.S. Consulate In Toronto As Iran War Fuels Terror Fears

Submitted by The Bureau's Sam Cooper,

Police responded at 5:29 a.m. Tuesday to reports that someone fired shots at the American Consulate at University Avenue and Queen Street West in the heart of Toronto, in an incident that comes as Western security agencies confront growing fears that the Iran war is triggering retaliatory violence far beyond the Middle East.

In a public statement posted by Toronto Police Operations, police said they had located evidence of a firearm discharge, that no injuries were reported, and that officers remained on scene investigating. CityNews reported damage to a consulate door and about 10 shell casings outside the building.

On Monday, ABC News reported that a federal alert sent to law enforcement agencies said the United States had intercepted encrypted communications believed to have originated in Iran that may serve as “an operational trigger” for “sleeper assets” outside the country. According to ABC, the alert cited “preliminary signals analysis” of a transmission “likely of Iranian origin” relayed across multiple countries shortly after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the Feb. 28 U.S.-Israeli strike. ABC further reported that the encoded transmission appeared intended for “clandestine recipients” holding the proper encryption key, potentially to convey instructions to “covert operatives or sleeper assets” without using internet or cellular networks.

That warning aligns with a Department of Homeland Security threat assessment reviewed by Reuters, which said Iran and its proxies “probably” pose a persistent threat of targeted attacks in the Homeland, even though a large-scale physical attack is considered unlikely.

In Toronto, the consulate incident follows a string of shootings that has deepened fears of ideologically driven or conflict-linked violence.

The city has seen multiple Jewish institutions struck by gunfire in recent days, alongside a separate shooting at a boxing gym reportedly tied to an Iranian-Canadian critic of Tehran. Authorities have not publicly connected those incidents to the consulate shooting, but the pattern has heightened concern across the city.

Reflecting that alarm, Canadian newspaper columnist Brian Lilley wrote on X: “This is in the heart of Toronto. I know people who work in that [Consulate] building. Many of them are non-partisan civil servants who may not agree with this war. Political violence in Toronto has been normalized.”

The pattern is not confined to Canada. In Oslo, Reuters reported that a loud explosion struck the U.S. embassy early Sunday, causing minor damage but no injuries, in what Norwegian police said may have been a deliberate attack linked to the crisis in the Middle East. Reuters quoted Oslo police saying one hypothesis was terrorism, while other possibilities were also being explored. Investigators said they were searching for one or several perpetrators.

*   *   * 

Reminding readers that Jared Cohen, President of Global Affairs and Co-Head of the Goldman Sachs Global Institute, warned investors on the GS Weekend Macro Call, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps maintains cells across multiple emerging market countries and could begin activating them.

"What I am looking for next is that they have meaningful cells in the Tri-Border Area of Latin America, West Africa, and elsewhere. They could hit an embassy, they could hit a consulate, or they could hit a cultural center in any one of the twelve countries they have already attacked," Cohen explained. 

Read the report here

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:40

Boeing Slides After Wiring Flaw Discovery Set To Delay Some 737 Max Deliveries

Zero Hedge -

Boeing Slides After Wiring Flaw Discovery Set To Delay Some 737 Max Deliveries

Boeing shares fell a little more than 3% in late-morning trading in New York after a new report from The Wall Street Journal stated that deliveries of some narrow-body 737 MAX jets would be delayed following the discovery of scratched wiring on newly built aircraft.

Boeing told the WSJ that each affected jet can be fixed within days and that the wiring flaw will not derail its target of delivering about 500 737 MAX jets this year, though March deliveries could be slowed.

The wiring issue is yet another manufacturing setback as Boeing tries to demonstrate to FAA regulators that it has improved quality control following the January 2024 midair door-plug blowout, the two 737 MAX crashes, and other quality-related issues related to the narrow-body jet.

Boeing shares fell 3.3% following the report, leaving the stock roughly flat on the year." 

Last week, a Bloomberg report cited people familiar with the talks as saying that the planemaker and China could agree to a 500-plane order for 737 MAX jets at the Trump-Xi summit later this month.

Goldman analysts led by Noah Poponak recently shared an aircraft delivery tracker with clients showing Boeing deliveries tracking at around 52 for February, including 43 737 MAX jets and 3 787s.

The WSJ report made no reference to which systems the flawed wiring affected. Hopefully, it was not critical flight systems.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:21

Boeing Slides After Wiring Flaw Discovery Set To Delay Some 737 Max Deliveries

Zero Hedge -

Boeing Slides After Wiring Flaw Discovery Set To Delay Some 737 Max Deliveries

Boeing shares fell a little more than 3% in late-morning trading in New York after a new report from The Wall Street Journal stated that deliveries of some narrow-body 737 MAX jets would be delayed following the discovery of scratched wiring on newly built aircraft.

Boeing told the WSJ that each affected jet can be fixed within days and that the wiring flaw will not derail its target of delivering about 500 737 MAX jets this year, though March deliveries could be slowed.

The wiring issue is yet another manufacturing setback as Boeing tries to demonstrate to FAA regulators that it has improved quality control following the January 2024 midair door-plug blowout, the two 737 MAX crashes, and other quality-related issues related to the narrow-body jet.

Boeing shares fell 3.3% following the report, leaving the stock roughly flat on the year." 

Last week, a Bloomberg report cited people familiar with the talks as saying that the planemaker and China could agree to a 500-plane order for 737 MAX jets at the Trump-Xi summit later this month.

Goldman analysts led by Noah Poponak recently shared an aircraft delivery tracker with clients showing Boeing deliveries tracking at around 52 for February, including 43 737 MAX jets and 3 787s.

The WSJ report made no reference to which systems the flawed wiring affected. Hopefully, it was not critical flight systems.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:21

World's Biggest Hedge Funds Crushed By Oil Price Surge

Zero Hedge -

World's Biggest Hedge Funds Crushed By Oil Price Surge

We knew something was off when Bloomberg reported yesterday that Balyasny's chief commodities strategist, Damien Courvalin, whom the multi-strat hedge fund poached from Goldman in 2023 after a 16-year span at the bank where he led the bank’s oil research and become one of the most prominent oil analysts on Wall Street, had left the hedge fund where he oversaw the fimr's central commodities intelligence effort, including implementation in cross-commodity portfolios, after the rollercoaster moves in oil.

We are just guessing, but Courvalin may have been just a bit bearish on oil: after all, he led Goldman’s research when the bank predicted, correctly, a price plunge in early 2020, just before oil prices fell below zero. He also covered gold, agriculture, natural gas and commodity asset allocation through his tenure at the bank.

There is another reason why Courvalin was likely bearish: according to Bloomberg, his (now former) employer Balyasny Asset Management declined by 3.5% last week after a 0.4% increase in the two months through February.

It wasn't just Balysani: according to Bloomberg, some of the world’s biggest hedge funds suffered hundreds of millions of dollars in losses last week after the war against Iran sent oil prices surging and triggered wild market moves, suggesting that short oil was among the most consensus trades within the hedge fund world, something we warned about in late 2025.

According to the report, Citadel’s main Wellington hedge fund lost 2% last week, with its macro business suffering declines. The fund was up 2.9% through February. ExodusPoint’s multistrategy hedge fund last week gave away all the gains it had notched up for the year; it had been up 2.6% in the first two months.

Other multi-strats also got crushed: Izzy Englander's Millennium Management, which manages  $86.7 billion, lost about $1.5 billion in the week through March 6, leaving it up just 0.75% this year through March 6. It had advanced 2% in the first two months. At Steve Cohen's Point72, the 1.1% decline during the week cut its advance this year through March 6 to 3.4%. Marshall Wace’s flagship Eureka hedge fund was down 3.7% last week, paring gains for the year to 2.4%, according to another person.

The Iran war sparked general market mayhem, as stocks, bonds and other asset classes saw a broad selloff since the US and Israel launched a series of strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, targeting the country’s leadership and strategic sites. Crude oil touched almost $120 a barrel earlier this week on concerns of output cuts as the conflict escalated before declining on Trump’s assurance that the war would resolve “very soon.” A weak jobs report out of the US and renewed anxiety about the private-credit industry also weighed on investor sentiment.

Hedge funds also suffered a blow from their bets on the UK rates market as well, as the strife in the Middle East forced a dramatic reassessment of Bank of England policy expectations and led to the worst week in more than three years. The policy-sensitive two-year gilt yield rocketed about 35 basis points in the five days through March 6 and continued to soar further on Monday.

As extreme market volatility continues, expect to see more bad news for funds who are not prepared for this kind of trading environment. The question is whether the degrossing associated with adapting to a surge in the vix will also lead to a reduction in the huge basis trade which has long been the biggest driver of profit for the multi-strat community, and whose blow up in March 2020 forced the Fed to step in with massive bailouts. 

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:20

World's Biggest Hedge Funds Crushed By Oil Price Surge

Zero Hedge -

World's Biggest Hedge Funds Crushed By Oil Price Surge

We knew something was off when Bloomberg reported yesterday that Balyasny's chief commodities strategist, Damien Courvalin, whom the multi-strat hedge fund poached from Goldman in 2023 after a 16-year span at the bank where he led the bank’s oil research and become one of the most prominent oil analysts on Wall Street, had left the hedge fund where he oversaw the fimr's central commodities intelligence effort, including implementation in cross-commodity portfolios, after the rollercoaster moves in oil.

We are just guessing, but Courvalin may have been just a bit bearish on oil: after all, he led Goldman’s research when the bank predicted, correctly, a price plunge in early 2020, just before oil prices fell below zero. He also covered gold, agriculture, natural gas and commodity asset allocation through his tenure at the bank.

There is another reason why Courvalin was likely bearish: according to Bloomberg, his (now former) employer Balyasny Asset Management declined by 3.5% last week after a 0.4% increase in the two months through February.

It wasn't just Balysani: according to Bloomberg, some of the world’s biggest hedge funds suffered hundreds of millions of dollars in losses last week after the war against Iran sent oil prices surging and triggered wild market moves, suggesting that short oil was among the most consensus trades within the hedge fund world, something we warned about in late 2025.

According to the report, Citadel’s main Wellington hedge fund lost 2% last week, with its macro business suffering declines. The fund was up 2.9% through February. ExodusPoint’s multistrategy hedge fund last week gave away all the gains it had notched up for the year; it had been up 2.6% in the first two months.

Other multi-strats also got crushed: Izzy Englander's Millennium Management, which manages  $86.7 billion, lost about $1.5 billion in the week through March 6, leaving it up just 0.75% this year through March 6. It had advanced 2% in the first two months. At Steve Cohen's Point72, the 1.1% decline during the week cut its advance this year through March 6 to 3.4%. Marshall Wace’s flagship Eureka hedge fund was down 3.7% last week, paring gains for the year to 2.4%, according to another person.

The Iran war sparked general market mayhem, as stocks, bonds and other asset classes saw a broad selloff since the US and Israel launched a series of strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, targeting the country’s leadership and strategic sites. Crude oil touched almost $120 a barrel earlier this week on concerns of output cuts as the conflict escalated before declining on Trump’s assurance that the war would resolve “very soon.” A weak jobs report out of the US and renewed anxiety about the private-credit industry also weighed on investor sentiment.

Hedge funds also suffered a blow from their bets on the UK rates market as well, as the strife in the Middle East forced a dramatic reassessment of Bank of England policy expectations and led to the worst week in more than three years. The policy-sensitive two-year gilt yield rocketed about 35 basis points in the five days through March 6 and continued to soar further on Monday.

As extreme market volatility continues, expect to see more bad news for funds who are not prepared for this kind of trading environment. The question is whether the degrossing associated with adapting to a surge in the vix will also lead to a reduction in the huge basis trade which has long been the biggest driver of profit for the multi-strat community, and whose blow up in March 2020 forced the Fed to step in with massive bailouts. 

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:20

Archer Accuses Flying Taxi Rival Joby Of Depending On Chinese Suppliers

Zero Hedge -

Archer Accuses Flying Taxi Rival Joby Of Depending On Chinese Suppliers

Authored by Andrew Moran via The Epoch Times,

Flying taxi maker Archer Aviation has alleged that its rival Joby Aviation has been misleading regulators and investors for years by hiding its connections to China.

In a March 9 filing in federal court in California, Archer accused Joby of running a manufacturing unit in Shenzhen, China, for more than a decade that received government grants intended to spur technological development and of carrying out fraudulent business practices that gave it an improper competitive edge.

“Joby has falsely presented itself as a domestically rooted, American-made, fully vertically integrated aviation company while covertly relying on its Chinese manufacturing subsidiary,” Archer alleged in the filing.

The lawsuit alleges that the company later hid aerospace components shipped from that facility by falsely labeling thousands of pounds of imported components as mundane consumer goods such as hair clips, napkins, socks, and similar products.

This approach, the suit alleges, allowed Joby to “evade U.S. tariffs, distort competition, improperly secure government contracts and strategic partnerships, and circumvent national-security oversight.”

Archer’s counterclaim, filed in a lawsuit initiated by Joby, further argues that Joby secured at least $131 million in U.S. Air Force contracts while marketing its aircraft as committed to American innovation, raising national security concerns in areas in which Chinese supply chain dependencies were not fully disclosed.

Alex Spiro, an attorney for Joby, said in a statement to The Epoch Times that the company “doesn’t respond to nonsense.”

“Archer’s constant legal issues and flailing business operations have left it no choice but to resort to invented nonsensical theories,” Spiro said in a statement. “We will see them in court.”

The latest legal development is part of a counterclaim to Joby’s November 2025 lawsuit against Archer.

Joby accused its competitor of using stolen information from a former employee to secure a partnership deal with a real estate development company.

The air taxi maker called it “corporate espionage, planned, and premeditated.”

This is not the first time that Archer has been involved in a legal dispute.

A Joby Aviation air taxi outside of the New York Stock Exchange ahead of its listing in the Manhattan borough of New York City, on Aug. 11, 2021. Andrew Kelly/Reuters

In August 2023, Archer settled a case against Boeing-owned Wisk Aero over alleged trade-secret theft.

In February, Archer filed suit in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, alleging that rival Vertical Aerospace recently redesigned its air taxi concept in a manner that infringes upon Archer’s patents.

Although the stocks of both Archer (ACHR) and Joby (JOBY) had a terrific 2025, they have struggled this year, with share prices falling by nearly 30 percent.

An Industry Taking Off

Flying taxis—also called electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft—have become a major industry worldwide, including in the United States and China.

The current market is valued at about $6.3 billion and is forecast to reach nearly $76 billion by 2035, according to Precedence Research analysts.

Although they are viewed as modes of transportation for wealthy clients, experts said they believe that they could eventually become a tool for individuals traveling to and from work.

“Flying taxis will be the fastest mode of transportation with lower traffic conjunctions and it gives a hassle-free experience to the consumers,” the analysts said in a Jan. 6 research note.

In summer 2025, President Donald Trump signed executive orders to “create a pilot program testing flying cars,” including air taxis.

Archer said on March 9 that the Department of Transportation and Federal Aviation Administration selected its partners in Florida, New York, and Texas to participate in the White House’s pilot program to bring electric air taxis to market.

Similar to nationwide robotaxi pilot initiatives, this initiative will allow Archer to collaborate with federal and state regulators and communities to “build trust and establish the playbook for safely scaling electric air taxis across the country.”

Joby said in February that it is partnering with Uber to launch a battery-powered aircraft ride-hailing service in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, this year.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:00

Archer Accuses Flying Taxi Rival Joby Of Depending On Chinese Suppliers

Zero Hedge -

Archer Accuses Flying Taxi Rival Joby Of Depending On Chinese Suppliers

Authored by Andrew Moran via The Epoch Times,

Flying taxi maker Archer Aviation has alleged that its rival Joby Aviation has been misleading regulators and investors for years by hiding its connections to China.

In a March 9 filing in federal court in California, Archer accused Joby of running a manufacturing unit in Shenzhen, China, for more than a decade that received government grants intended to spur technological development and of carrying out fraudulent business practices that gave it an improper competitive edge.

“Joby has falsely presented itself as a domestically rooted, American-made, fully vertically integrated aviation company while covertly relying on its Chinese manufacturing subsidiary,” Archer alleged in the filing.

The lawsuit alleges that the company later hid aerospace components shipped from that facility by falsely labeling thousands of pounds of imported components as mundane consumer goods such as hair clips, napkins, socks, and similar products.

This approach, the suit alleges, allowed Joby to “evade U.S. tariffs, distort competition, improperly secure government contracts and strategic partnerships, and circumvent national-security oversight.”

Archer’s counterclaim, filed in a lawsuit initiated by Joby, further argues that Joby secured at least $131 million in U.S. Air Force contracts while marketing its aircraft as committed to American innovation, raising national security concerns in areas in which Chinese supply chain dependencies were not fully disclosed.

Alex Spiro, an attorney for Joby, said in a statement to The Epoch Times that the company “doesn’t respond to nonsense.”

“Archer’s constant legal issues and flailing business operations have left it no choice but to resort to invented nonsensical theories,” Spiro said in a statement. “We will see them in court.”

The latest legal development is part of a counterclaim to Joby’s November 2025 lawsuit against Archer.

Joby accused its competitor of using stolen information from a former employee to secure a partnership deal with a real estate development company.

The air taxi maker called it “corporate espionage, planned, and premeditated.”

This is not the first time that Archer has been involved in a legal dispute.

A Joby Aviation air taxi outside of the New York Stock Exchange ahead of its listing in the Manhattan borough of New York City, on Aug. 11, 2021. Andrew Kelly/Reuters

In August 2023, Archer settled a case against Boeing-owned Wisk Aero over alleged trade-secret theft.

In February, Archer filed suit in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, alleging that rival Vertical Aerospace recently redesigned its air taxi concept in a manner that infringes upon Archer’s patents.

Although the stocks of both Archer (ACHR) and Joby (JOBY) had a terrific 2025, they have struggled this year, with share prices falling by nearly 30 percent.

An Industry Taking Off

Flying taxis—also called electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft—have become a major industry worldwide, including in the United States and China.

The current market is valued at about $6.3 billion and is forecast to reach nearly $76 billion by 2035, according to Precedence Research analysts.

Although they are viewed as modes of transportation for wealthy clients, experts said they believe that they could eventually become a tool for individuals traveling to and from work.

“Flying taxis will be the fastest mode of transportation with lower traffic conjunctions and it gives a hassle-free experience to the consumers,” the analysts said in a Jan. 6 research note.

In summer 2025, President Donald Trump signed executive orders to “create a pilot program testing flying cars,” including air taxis.

Archer said on March 9 that the Department of Transportation and Federal Aviation Administration selected its partners in Florida, New York, and Texas to participate in the White House’s pilot program to bring electric air taxis to market.

Similar to nationwide robotaxi pilot initiatives, this initiative will allow Archer to collaborate with federal and state regulators and communities to “build trust and establish the playbook for safely scaling electric air taxis across the country.”

Joby said in February that it is partnering with Uber to launch a battery-powered aircraft ride-hailing service in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, this year.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 11:00

N.C. Medicaid Scammers Sentenced To Over 14 Years In Prison For 'Somali-Style Fraud' Scheme

Zero Hedge -

N.C. Medicaid Scammers Sentenced To Over 14 Years In Prison For 'Somali-Style Fraud' Scheme

Authored by Debra Heine via American Greatness,

A federal judge has sentenced four individuals to more than 14 years in federal prison for running a $12.7 Million “Minnesota-Somali-style fraud” scheme in North Carolina that paid more than $1 Million in kickbacks to drug addicted patients.

The fraudsters, Brandon Eugene Sims, 40; Kimberly Mable Sims, 39; Francine Sims Super, 64; and Keke Komeko Johnson, 53, operated Life Touch, LLC, a now permanently shut down fake substance abuse facility and 1st Choice Healthcare Services, a urine drug screening company.

Between 2018 and 2023,  Johnson and Super reportedly oversaw more than $1 million in illegal kickback payments to drug using Medicaid patients.

The kickbacks were meant “to lure patients to show up for costly substance abuse and lab services that Johnson billed to Medicaid on behalf of Life Touch and 1st Choice,” the Eastern North Carolina U.S. Attorney’s Office stated in a press release.

Inmate Sims, Inmate Super’s daughter, owned 1st Choice Healthcare, and paid Medicaid kickbacks to Inmates Super and Johnson for fake lab services ordered by Life Touch, LLC. Meanwhile, Inmate Brandon Sims, who owned Life Touch and resided in Texas, received Millions in illegal proceeds from the Life Touch operation, but failed to file or pay taxes on that money. The gift card kickback scheme resulted in more than $12.7 Million fake billings to the Medicaid program.

The feds seized $6 million in assets from them in 2023, including cash, cars and homes. After becoming aware of the criminal investigation, Brandon Sims “withdrew more than $1 Million in cash from a bank account, hiding it in a safe at his Texas home.”

Agents executed a search warrant and seized $1.3 million in cash, a 2021 Rolls Royce Cullinan, a 2021 Chevrolet Corvette, and a 2020 Chevrolet Silverado.

Agents seized millions more in other real property, the U.S. Attorney’s Office said.

“This is shocking Minnesota-Somali-style fraud right here in North Carolina,” said U.S. Attorney Ellis Boyle in a statement. “For too long, government has allowed grifters to steal taxpayer dollars with impunity. Here, these vultures exploited particularly susceptible drug abusers trying to recover their lives and dignity. Shameful abuse, no remorse. They better learn, and everyone should get the message. Cheaters. Never. Win.”

The Judge sentenced Johnson, the company’s “Compliance Director,” to six years in federal prison and to pay $15,286,912.91 in restitution to North Carolina Medicaid and $331,851.00 to the IRS.

Johnson pleaded guilty in August 2025 to a health care fraud conspiracy, “including making and receiving illegal payments, making and using materially false documents, and failing to file a tax return.”

The Judge sentenced Super, the “Kinston office manager,” to six years in federal prison, and to pay $15,286,912.91 in restitution to North Carolina Medicaid and $373,810.00 to the IRS.

Super had previously pleaded guilty “to conspiracy to pay illegal kickbacks, healthcare fraud, making and using materially false documents,” and “failure to file a tax return.”

The Judge sentenced Kimberly Sims to two years in federal prison and to pay $1,845,276.95 in restitution to North Carolina Medicaid and $207,383.00 to the IRS.

She previously pleaded guilty to “a conspiracy to paying illegal kickbacks, healthcare fraud, making and using materially false documents, and filing a false tax return.”

The Judge ordered Life Touch, LLC, to pay a $15 Million fine, “to dissolve, and serve five years of probation and repay $12,762,511.30 in restitution to the North Carolina Medicaid program.”

Brandon Sims was sentenced to two and a half years and six months in federal prison, and was ordered to pay $1,892,919.40 in restitution to the IRS.  He has also been ordered to “forfeit all traceable proceeds of the Life Touch scheme to the United States.”

“Healthcare Fraud robs American taxpayers and betrays the very programs meant to protect our most vulnerable citizens. In this case, more than $12 million was stolen by these defendants directly from those who need it most,” said Reid Davis, the FBI Special Agent in Charge North Carolina. “These defendants now face more than 170 months in federal prison, over $30 million in restitution to North Carolina Medicaid, and a $15 million fine. This outcome sends a clear message: those who defraud public healthcare programs will be held accountable.”

“These defendants orchestrated an egregious scheme involving illegal kickbacks, placing greed above patient care. Fraudulent operations like this undermine the availability of federal health care program funds intended to support millions of beneficiaries,” said Special Agent in Charge Kelly Blackmon of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Office of Inspector General (HHS‑OIG). “Together with our law enforcement partners, HHS‑OIG will continue to safeguard the integrity of Medicaid and other federally funded health care programs.”

“The people behind this scheme were supposed to help patients,” said N.C. Attorney General Jeff Jackson. “Instead, they developed an elaborate scheme to steal millions in taxpayer dollars. My office and our federal partners will hold accountable anyone who exploits patients and abuses Medicaid for their personal gain.”

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 10:15

US Existing Home Sales Bounced In February As Mortgage Rates Tumbled

Zero Hedge -

US Existing Home Sales Bounced In February As Mortgage Rates Tumbled

Despite tumbling mortgage rates, existing home sales plunged (the most since COVID) in January, with some blaming 'below-normal temperatures' despite The West suffering the biggest declines (and unaffected by the winter storms).

Consensus was for a modest 0.8% MoM decline in February (again despite an ongoing drop in mortgage rates) but sales actually surprised to the upside, rising 1.7% MoM. Perhaps even more notably, January's 8.4% MoM plunge was revised up to a slightly less crazy 5.9% MoM drop...

Source: Bloomberg

With the beat and upward revision, existing home sales were down just 1.45% YoY but SAAR topped 4mm (4.09mm) once again...

Source: Bloomberg

On the bright side, with mortgage rates at their lowest since 2022, existing home sales look set to continue to improve (unless Trump's war triggers more panic in rates)...

Source: Bloomberg

Mortgage rates fell at the end of last month to 6.09% after President Trump asked Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities to help lower home-financing costs.

The NAR’s monthly housing affordability gauge, which reflects changes in home prices, median income and borrowing costs, stands at the most-favorable reading since 2022.

“Housing affordability is improving, and consumers are responding,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement.

“Still, there is a long way to go to return to pre-pandemic levels of transaction activity.”

The NAR report showed the median selling price rose 0.3% from a year earlier — one of the smallest advances since the pandemic housing frenzy — to $398,000 last month.

The inventory of previously owned homes increased 4.9% from a year ago to 1.29 million — the most for any February since 2020.

Market analysts see home sales climbing this year, with estimates ranging from 1.7% to 14%, according to a survey by Bloomberg late last year.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 10:09

US Existing Home Sales Bounced In February As Mortgage Rates Tumbled

Zero Hedge -

US Existing Home Sales Bounced In February As Mortgage Rates Tumbled

Despite tumbling mortgage rates, existing home sales plunged (the most since COVID) in January, with some blaming 'below-normal temperatures' despite The West suffering the biggest declines (and unaffected by the winter storms).

Consensus was for a modest 0.8% MoM decline in February (again despite an ongoing drop in mortgage rates) but sales actually surprised to the upside, rising 1.7% MoM. Perhaps even more notably, January's 8.4% MoM plunge was revised up to a slightly less crazy 5.9% MoM drop...

Source: Bloomberg

With the beat and upward revision, existing home sales were down just 1.45% YoY but SAAR topped 4mm (4.09mm) once again...

Source: Bloomberg

On the bright side, with mortgage rates at their lowest since 2022, existing home sales look set to continue to improve (unless Trump's war triggers more panic in rates)...

Source: Bloomberg

Mortgage rates fell at the end of last month to 6.09% after President Trump asked Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities to help lower home-financing costs.

The NAR’s monthly housing affordability gauge, which reflects changes in home prices, median income and borrowing costs, stands at the most-favorable reading since 2022.

“Housing affordability is improving, and consumers are responding,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement.

“Still, there is a long way to go to return to pre-pandemic levels of transaction activity.”

The NAR report showed the median selling price rose 0.3% from a year earlier — one of the smallest advances since the pandemic housing frenzy — to $398,000 last month.

The inventory of previously owned homes increased 4.9% from a year ago to 1.29 million — the most for any February since 2020.

Market analysts see home sales climbing this year, with estimates ranging from 1.7% to 14%, according to a survey by Bloomberg late last year.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 10:09

89 Arrested In Florida Human Trafficking Operation, Sheriff's Office Says

Zero Hedge -

89 Arrested In Florida Human Trafficking Operation, Sheriff's Office Says

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A sheriff’s office in Florida announced this week that an undercover operation led to 89 human and sex trafficking-related arrests, resulting in more than 1,200 separate felony charges.

A Hillsborough County Sheriff vehicle as seen in a file photo. Google Maps via The Epoch Times

The Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office, which includes the Tampa metropolitan area, said that the operation was carried out over several weeks and targeted individuals “seeking to sexually exploit children and purchase sex.”

The suspects arrested allegedly believed they were communicating with underage victims and showed up at agreed upon locations but were instead met by undercover sheriff’s detectives, according to a news release issued by the department.

They also located a missing 17-year-old girl who was being exploited, the news release said, adding that she was rescued, and her trafficker, identified by officials as 23-year-old Armani Hopkins, was arrested and charged in connection with the incident. It’s not clear if Hopkins has legal representation.

Authorities gave more details about other suspects who were arrested by sheriff’s officials.

Stephen Fabic, 41, a math teacher at Hillsborough High School, was arrested after he allegedly “offered to pick up a teenager and bring them to his home to engage in sexual activity during conversations with someone he believed to be a minor,” the office stated.

Fabic was arrested and made a court appearance last month. An attorney speaking on his behalf, Daniel Fischetti, was quoted by local media outlet Fox 13 as saying that “it’s unknown what exactly happened the day of, or what the meeting was going to be, so I ask the court to take that into consideration when setting bond.”

The Epoch Times has contacted his attorney for comment.

John Altieri, 69, was also arrested in the operation after he allegedly “arranged for a ride share to pick up a juvenile from their home and bring them to his residence to perform sexual acts,” the office’s news release stated.

“At the time, Altieri was serving home confinement while on probation in Hernando County for two counts of Possession of a Controlled Substance,” it said, in part. It’s not clear if he has an attorney.

The office said that it safely recovered a 2-year-old child after it received a tip that the child was being exploited. A suspect, 42-year-old Peter Torres, was later arrested and the child was recovered in a safe manner, it said. It’s not clear if Torres has a lawyer.

Hillsborough Sheriff Chad Chronister, a Republican who was tapped by the second Trump administration to lead the Drug Enforcement Administration before he withdrew himself in late 2024, vowed to pursue human traffickers or individuals who seek to sexually exploit minors.

If you are using a hotel room, a chat app, or a fake profile to pursue a child, we are there,” Chronister said in a statement. “Our detectives will follow the digital trail all the way to your door.”

The arrests took place several months after the FBI, the U.S. Marshals Service, and local law enforcement officials said 122 missing children were found in Florida as part of an operation. The operation, the results of which were announced in November, encompassed much of Central Florida, including the Tampa area.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 09:20

After 144 Years In New Jersey, Exxon Asks Shareholders To Back Texas Move To Cut Litigation Risks

Zero Hedge -

After 144 Years In New Jersey, Exxon Asks Shareholders To Back Texas Move To Cut Litigation Risks

Whether it is Chevron, Tesla, Oracle, Caterpillar, CBRE, Fisher Investments, and/or an expanding roster of other major companies, corporate America has spent the better part of the post-Covid era shifting headquarters to Texas for one simple reason: the state offers a much more business-friendly environment than left-leaning blue states.

In a proxy filing on Tuesday, Exxon Mobil asked shareholders to approve moving its legal domicile from New Jersey to Texas after more than a century in New Jersey.

The main reason executives want to move to the red state is its friendlier business climate, which offers more predictable decision-making and could also reduce exposure to frivolous lawsuits.

"The Texas Redomiciliation may reduce the risk of future frivolous litigation against the Texas Corporation and its directors and officers," Exxon wrote in the filing.

If approved at Exxon's May 27 shareholder meeting, the company would be governed by Texas law on issues such as bylaws, director duties, and shareholder rights. Exxon noted that most of its senior leadership and about a third of its global workforce are already based in Texas.

Exxon's evolution from its Standard Oil days has left it incorporated in New Jersey since the 1880s, and its attempt to move is yet another example of corporate America abandoning states run by left-wing politicians pushing a failed green agenda and other destructive progressive policies in favor of red states governed by common sense.

Here's a partial list of physical headquarters moved to Texas:

  • Chevron — from San Ramon, California, to Houston, announced in August 2024.

  • Tesla — from Palo Alto, California, to Austin, announced in 2021.

  • Oracle — from Redwood City, California, to Austin, announced in 2020.

  • Caterpillar — from Illinois to Irving, Texas, announced in 2022.

  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise — from San Jose, California, to Spring, Texas, announced in 2020.

  • CBRE — from Los Angeles to Dallas in 2020.

  • Frontier Communications — from Connecticut to Dallas in 2023.

  • Fisher Investments — from Washington to Plano in 2023.

  • Professional Bull Riders (PBR) — from Colorado to Fort Worth in 2024.

  • Verily Life Sciences — from California to Dallas in 2024.

The Texas governor's office reports that Texas logged 314 headquarters relocations from 2015 to 2024, including 24 in 2024 alone.

Now, Texas is taking on Wall Street with its own exchange, the Texas Stock Exchange.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 08:45

ADP Signals Best Job Gains In Almost 4 Months, As BLS Payrolls Plunged

Zero Hedge -

ADP Signals Best Job Gains In Almost 4 Months, As BLS Payrolls Plunged

For the four weeks ending February 21, 2026, ADP reports that private employers added an average of 15,500 jobs a week. 

Employment gains reached their highest since Thanksgiving week last year, holding steady in February after five straight weeks of strengthening. 

This positive labor market signal stands in the face of last week's surprised plunge in non-farm payrolls - driven by a strike-triggered drop in Healthcare jobs and a huge revisions in the labor force as native workers suddenly disappeared.

Combined with the ongoing strength of the jobless claims data, once could argue that the 'no hire, no fire' economy is edging back towards jobs growth.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 08:39

Transcript: Ed Perks, Franklin Income Investors CIO / Franklin Advisers President

The Big Picture -

 

 

 

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Perks, Franklin Income Investors CIO / Franklin Advisers President, is below.

You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here.

 

~~~

Masters in Business with Barry Ritholtz
Guest: Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin Income Investors

 

[00:00:02]  Announcer:  Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News. This is Masters in business with Barry Riol on Bloomberg Radio

[00:00:13]  Barry Ritholtz:  On the latest Masters in Business podcast. My conversation with Ed Perks, he has been with Franklin Templeton since 1992. He has all of these various titles. He’s not only PM of their flagship Franklin Income Funds, but he’s CIO of Franklin Income investors, president of their advisors group. Member of these executive committee. Not many people have been with the same firm their entire career, right? Of right out of college. Ed Perks is one of them. Few people more knowledgeable about fixed income and non bond yield. I thought this conversation was fascinating and I think you will also, with no further ado, my conversation with Franklin Templeton’s. Ed Perks. Ed Perks. Welcome to Bloomberg.

[00:01:10]  Ed Perks:  Thanks, Barry. It’s great to be with you. Well,

[00:01:12]  Barry Ritholtz:  That’s really quite an impressive cv. Before we get into the various assets you manage, let, let’s start with your background economics and political science BA from Yale. That doesn’t sound very much like a fixed income manager. What, what was the original career plan?

[00:01:33]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, it certainly wasn’t finance and you know, at Yale, I, I really kind of, you know, certainly had a, had a broad cross section of, of studies, you know, like many of my classmates. I think if it wasn’t med school, it was either law school or, or going into government. I think that’s kind of some of what I was thinking during school. Really didn’t, didn’t transition to trying to pursue a career in finance until actually I, after I graduated and at that time I moved out west. I wanted to, you know, experience a different part of the country. And particularly in the early 1990s, the San Francisco Bay area had a pretty robust financial services Sure. Community. And so I headed out after graduation without a job and, and was able to land at Franklin.

[00:02:19]  Barry Ritholtz:  Plus you’re done at one o’clock in the afternoon. That’s, that’s the,

[00:02:23]  Ed Perks:  You do start a bit earlier.

[00:02:24]  Barry Ritholtz:  You start at five 30. It’s very, very five in the morning. I remember walking into an office in San Francisco and at 8 45 there are pizza boxes around and it’s sort of Oh, that’s right. We’re on New York Wall Street time. ’cause the market is live. So let’s talk a little bit about the 1990s. You joined Franklin Templeton. Is this your first gig outta school in 1992? You’ve been at Franklin Templeton your entire career, is that right?

[00:02:50]  Ed Perks:  Yes, it is. Yeah,

[00:02:51]  Barry Ritholtz:  That is pretty rare these days. Tell us about what attracted you to Franklin Templeton in the beginning and what’s kept you there for, geez, coming up on 40 years, is that right?

[00:03:03]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, well, when I loaded the, the car up on Long Island, I drove a, a small Mitsubishi Mirage hatchback across country, no satellite radio, right. No air conditioning, no cell phones. So it was a different time. But got out to California, really had the, had the thought that I might experience the West Coast for a year and a half or two years and, and make my way back to New York and, and get, get the, the real job, so to speak. Right. You know, and I was really fortunate to land at, at Franklin at a time of, of just tremendous growth. Not just in the industry, but for our firm overall. I actually joined the original Franklin funds prior to the

[00:03:45]  Barry Ritholtz:  Templeton

[00:03:46]  Ed Perks:  Prior, prior to the Templeton merger. Yeah.

[00:03:47]  Barry Ritholtz:  Wow.

[00:03:48]  Ed Perks:  So that, yeah, that certainly dates me and makes me, I guess a little og. So, you know, I think what was really interesting, and I, I landed at first and took a role in, in marketing research. I knew very little about the industry structure and I wanted to learn, and it gave me a great cross-section of, of different investment strategies. I had taken, you know, a class at Yale Investment Analysis taught by, you know, pretty legendary endowment manager, David Swenson of course. 00:04:20 And I think at the time I maybe hoped that it was a bit more of a, you know, a a typical stocks for jocks kind of class. And, and in fact it was not. But that did plant a little bit of the seed and, and, you know, but I knew I had work to do to kind of prepare myself for a role ultimately in, in pursuing research. And, and after about a year and a half and taking one of the CFA exams, I was able to get that junior role as a research analyst in the Franklin equity team,

[00:04:51]  Barry Ritholtz:  1990 San Francisco. The tech boom was just ramping up late eighties, early nineties. What, what was that experience like? That had to be the roaring nineties had to be quite an experience in San Francisco.

[00:05:04]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I’d I’d say it really kind of kicked into gear more in the 96 7 time period, and then certainly right through the irrational

[00:05:10]  Barry Ritholtz:  Exuberance

[00:05:11]  Ed Perks:  Era. Yes. And that was premature, but there was still plenty of, plenty of time to go in it, but it was a very exciting time to be out there, not just in the tech community, but thinking about some of the regional investment banks, Montgomery Securities and Hamburg and Quist and Bobby, Bobby Stevens, you know, so you had a lot happening. The, the, the economy as a whole, I’d say at that time was, was far more diversified than it is maybe today. Obviously technology is such a dominant player within Northern California.

[00:05:39]  Barry Ritholtz:  Yeah. It’s not that anything else got smaller, it’s just that tech ballooned up so large and it dominates everything. Although, to be fair, i I I think finance has, it hasn’t grown as fast as tech, but it certainly expanded lock, you know, fairly lockstep with technology. What’s fascinating about your time, your early days at Franklin Templeton, you did credit, you did convertibles, you did equities. How important was that sort of cross asset experience to eventually becoming more of a specialist?

[00:06:13]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think it was a key component of it. I really was drawn to early days. I was drawn to the different type of analysis that you would perform based upon the kind of company you were, you were following, or industry you were following. And we did have a, a, a broad cross section of, of strategies managed at Franklin. So as an analyst following companies, you kind of always had something to pitch a given portfolio manager on. And that was something that really attracted me. So whenever we had some movement in the group or growth adding resources in certain area that was interesting, I kind of was inclined to put my hand up and, and that led to a lot of the progression of, of the career ultimately moving out of the analyst role in 1997 and, and taking on the duties of portfolio manager for that dedicated Franklin convertible security fund.

[00:07:05]  Barry Ritholtz:  So over all these different experiences and over time, how does that lead to the evolution of your philosophy as an investor? What, what beliefs did it strengthen and and what beliefs did you learn to Yeah, this just isn’t generating any, anything that’s worthwhile anymore.

[00:07:25]  Ed Perks:  Well, I think the first thing is really kind of understanding who you are as an investor. And, and I, I’m a pretty firm believer in this, that over time I, I came to understand that I like a certain type of investing. I like buying things that, that trade at reasonable valuations that might not have a, an immediate catalyst, but something that you can look out over a longer period of time. By having that longer term investment horizon income naturally became something you’d focus on in terms of just thinking about it from the standpoint of getting paid to wait while your investment kind of performs the way you think it, it, it has the potential to. So that’s something that, that certainly started to resonate at the early part of my career. But I would say actually getting involved in convertible securities was a pretty significant defining moment for me in that you can pursue investing in convertibles, which are hybrids which have fixed income characteristics and have an equity tie as well, and seek out investments that have the potential for positive asymmetry. So securities where with a given time horizon and a certain move in the underlying common stock, you’ll do better on the upside, then you will get hurt on the downside. And it was just something that really appealed to me and I think is a core component of what we’ve done historically and tried to do in our multi-asset income strategies.

[00:08:53]  Barry Ritholtz:  Let, let me throw something out to you. I have noticed as both a trader and an investor that the equity guys who started in fixed income seem to have a greater appreciation for risk management and for thinking about asymmetrical trades where your downside is X and your upside is three x or 10 x or whatever. What is it about fixed income analysts and investors that makes them so hyper-focused on risk management?

[00:09:23]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, fundamentally, you’re just doing a different, different type of analysis. And I mean, one of the things that we found kind of most fascinating over the years is given we have a, an internal team of equity analysts and an internal team of credit analysts, that opportunity, when you’re meeting with company management and you’ll sit down with both analysts and companies typically come to investors thinking they’re on an equity roadshow or a fixed income roadshow. Right. And when you sit down and now you want to talk about it from both perspectives, that’s some of the most interesting meetings we’ve had over the years with companies. They in fact do have kind of different stories for those different investor groups. So I think it gives you that, that broader perspective of, of what the capital allocation decision making process looks like at a given company. And ultimately what we’re doing is trying to figure out what money they will have, IE what our margins, how are, how are profits growing and what they’ll do with that capital.

[00:10:17]  Barry Ritholtz:  So in your present roles, you have the latitude to kind of go anywhere either in the cap structure or the allocation table or geographically, how does that affect how you think about what, what’s interesting, what’s, what’s attractive? Like, it it’s almost overwhelming that sort of freedom to pretty much consider almost every asset class. Yeah,

[00:10:43]  Ed Perks:  I would say that’s actually kind of our ideal situation and we are in that today. I think there was a lot of, a long period of time post-financial crisis 2008, nine, where, you know, almost the intent of the policy was to eliminate large sectors and the fixed income markets from being attractive to investors, Tina. Right, exactly. So, you know, I I really kind of viewed today and, and you know, the bond market being back was announced pretty loudly in 2022. So you know, today the fact that we can look across, you know, the, the swath of fixed income markets and find, you know, interesting areas, you know, it may be more income focused. IE if we’re not expecting a significant downdraft in interest rates, the total return potential from fixed income might be more muted. But they can play a really interesting role in, in generating that kind of stable core, total part of total return that we expect income to be.

[00:11:38]  Barry Ritholtz:  We are gonna talk a lot about fixed income coming up, but your CIO of income investors, what’s the biggest macro variable that the CIO of Franklin Templeton income investors looks at every morning?

[00:11:52]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I mean we, we really think there’s kind of two components to what we need to do. And, and you know, one, I would put in this, this more kind of where we can be proactive. It’s the, the, the, you know, the extent to which we think there’s risk on the equity side of markets, credit risk in markets or, or macro or interest rate risk. Those are the three kind of big risk components that we actively try to think about. I would say that sets our kind of compass for how we want to allocate the assets. And even though over long market cycles, we may be pretty equally split between fixed income and equity assets in our strategy at times, even in the last five years that’s been 75, 25 1 way and then flipped the other way. So there is a tremendous amount of latitude and, and then, you know, I think on a day more daily kind of basis, certainly something that we’re experiencing in, in pretty good dose to start the year is, is those more reactive components of risk. And, and you know, we do think right now policy matters a lot and it’s, it might be fiscal policy, monetary policy, regulatory policy, but we’re in, we’re reminded almost on a daily basis now that there’s a lot of other factors, foreign policy, geopolitical risk, that, that certainly influence markets. It doesn’t mean we’re gonna make wholesale changes to the portfolio, but being able to engage and get our investment team focused on, on where opportunities might be is a big part of the day-to-day

[00:13:19]  Barry Ritholtz:  Role. So, so let me ask that question. We we’re waiting for some major Supreme Court decisions in a whole variety of areas. There’s the ongoing battle between the White House and the Federal Reserve that, that, that’s been heating up lately. It’s been sort of simmering for really a year. It seems every morning you wake up and there’s some tweet or something else that are roiling the markets, wait, we’re gonna cap credit cards 10%. Good luck getting a credit card. If that happens. How do you interact with all this news flow? Is it something you ignore? Is it noise that you have to sift through or are you constantly hunting for what’s really meaningful here that’s not reflected in prices already? What could potentially move markets if this seems to catch a little bit of fire?

[00:14:12]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I, I I think the, the desire would be to, you know, tune out that noise to largely ignore it. But the reality in markets, those examples that you’ve given drove some pretty significant movements, even if just for a short period of time, you know, I would use the, the major banks, those that are more focused on issuing credit cards as an example yesterday in, in in stock, you know, price activity last week, maybe some of the large defense contractors, how they were impacted by some of the announcements. Those are some pretty significant swings that we do have to pay attention to and do have to think about whether or not there’s the opportunity. But I think if you can step back, think about it a little bit more rationally, clearly we wanna engage and get the insights from our dedicated analysts on those specific situations. That’s where some opportunities come in. And, you know, I think whether it be an an isolated, very specific, maybe more short term event that’s, you know, one, one instance. But if we go back a year, you know, there was a two to three week period of tremendous volatility around a policy shift that really gave investors an opportunity around that, that tariff day and, and liberation day.

[00:15:21]  Barry Ritholtz:  Yeah, it was a week of, you know, turmoil and then on pause and off to the races. We had, you know, the most recent DOJ referral with the Federal Reserve. I spoke to a buddy on a bond desk over the weekend when this happened and I, I love the attitude of, well look at the two year, it doesn’t care. So why should I care? I, is that a little too glib? How do you look at how the market, especially fixed income market reacts to the news flow? Is that really the ultimate determiner of what’s noise and what’s signal?

[00:15:58]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think it’s a good, I might broaden it from the two year to say, let’s look at the curve. Okay. Especially today where I think there’s probably more sensitivity around where longer term interest rates are, are sitting and potentially could go, you know, to me anything that that increases the confidence, the raises the uncertainty level around the economy, I think our, our challenges that, you know, if we were to see the long end respond unfavorably too would be quite problematic for markets coming

[00:16:27]  Barry Ritholtz:  Up. We continue our conversation with Ed Perks, chief investment officer of Franklin Income investors and President of Franklin Advisors discussing the broader fixed income environment. I’m Barry Ritholtz, you’re listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. I’m Barry Ritholtz. You are listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My extra special guest this week is Ed Perks. He is CIO for Franklin Templeton income investors. He is also has been PM of a number of their fixed income and hybrid funds, including their flagship Franklin income fund, which he became lead pm I wanna say 2002, is that right?

[00:17:21]  Ed Perks:  Joined the PMT in 2002 and and lead in 2004.

[00:17:25]  Barry Ritholtz:  2004. All right. Not, not two. That’s 20 plus years. So, so let’s talk a little bit about what’s going on in fixed income. Lot of cross currents. Here’s what’s happening with the Fed, here’s what’s happening with the dollar overseas has become more attractive. Let, let me just right outta the box. Where are you seeing the most compelling risk adjusted income opportunities today? High yield investment grade dividend equities? And I know you could go anywhere, so what, what do you like

[00:17:56]  Ed Perks:  These days? Yeah, you know, I would say in fixed income we are really pretty diversified across the, the range. I mean, for us that is, is US treasuries, it’s agency mortgage backed securities, it’s investment grade, corporate bonds and, and high yield corporate bonds. And you know, we, we have different factors there. You know, one, we do think the carrier, the income component of fixed income is, is quite attractive again today. And, and like I said before, it’s, it’s been a while since, you know, that was the case or there was a long period of time where that was certainly not, not a function, not a, a a, a benefit that investors in fixed income had spreads on the corporate side. Do, you know, concern us a little bit, but at the same time, you know, we have seen extended periods of time historically where spreads spreads have stayed on the tighter side near historical lows. 00:18:45 So, you know, our view is that you want to be diversified, look a little bit more at idiosyncratic risk. So sometimes in our, in our strategy, we do think the biggest lever that we have moving from one asset class to another is, is the most appropriate. We certainly had that in, in 2021 and 2023 today we think that lever is a little less important and it’s a little bit more about relative value between sectors and or security selection, idiosyncratic risks. So I think in the past year, moving out of some of the significant overweight that we had in investment grade, corporate debt, for example, in favor of agency mortgages ’cause spreads had really widened out was something that worked out well for us in 2025.

[00:19:28]  Barry Ritholtz:  I noticed you didn’t mention tips, treasury inflation protected securities. Is that something that at the current level of inflation and the current yield there is that attractive? Yeah,

[00:19:39]  Ed Perks:  It, it, it’s not something that we’re focused on on today. You know, I think to the extent that we see inflation continue, you know, to come down and settle in at a lower level, that tips may become something that we want in the portfolio to the extent that then inflation could a surprise to the upside.

[00:19:55]  Barry Ritholtz:  And let’s talk a little bit about those corporates you mentioned. Are we getting enough spread between investment grade and high yield corporates to make the juice worth the squeeze or ’cause for a long time there’s hardly any daylight between the yield in both. How, how do you look at that? Are, are corporates cheaper, expensive, high investment grade relative to high yield?

[00:20:21]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, we do think moving up into the higher credit quality components of high yield is probably one of the more attractive areas. You know, we also like to, so if you’re looking at triple B BB spreads, we want to be in, in the higher quality credits to the extent that we’re owning a broader section of high yield, which we do in our strategy, it’s emphasis more on the latter security selection. What is an individual company doing to be able to ance the debt to term out their maturities or ultimately to improve the overall credit quality. We do think rating agencies lag by a significant margin. Right? And if you can get ahead of that and use your fundamental analysis that that’s a, that’s a a, an area within the fixed income markets we wanna be focused on.

[00:21:03]  Barry Ritholtz:  I’m trying to remember who I’m stealing this line from, but it’s definitely not mine, which is there’s so much variation in the B minus space that some of it is junk and some of it is IG and maybe some of it’s in between, but the variance is, is enormous fair statement. Yeah,

[00:21:22]  Ed Perks:  I think that is and, and you know, certainly there are investors that play only in certain parts and when you’re flirting with that lower credit quality component B minus into ccc, that that, that starts to change the dynamic of, of who the investor base potentially is.

[00:21:37]  Barry Ritholtz:  Hmm. So you’ve been doing this for a long time. You’ve lived through the financial crisis Zer zero interest rate policy, quantitative easing, the most recent inflation shock and and tightening cycle. For someone who has your authority to go anywhere, what of those types of environments are the most challenging to manage an income portfolio through?

[00:22:06]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I mean I, I think certainly the periods of extreme volatility are gonna be challenging for any strategy and, and in my career, the ones that I’ll, you know, go back to certainly when managing the convertible fund around the.com crash and then in our income strategies, both financial crisis. So, you know, yeah, markets bottomed in March oh nine, but September of oh eight was pretty difficult for any investor. You know, to me, I think what’s really defined our strategies and maybe become a little bit of a, you know, the focal point of, of our approach is, is to continually look forward. I mean, I think the, the number of investors, even if we were to bring this more into the current, you know, time we spoke less than a year ago and tariff volatility was impacting markets. I think a lot of investors have the tendency to, you know, to sit on their hands a bit when there’s this kind of volatility playing out in markets. And maybe even, even the worst case would be going to the sidelines, which we know a lot of investors did in September of oh eight or March of oh nine and yeah, well,

[00:23:10]  Barry Ritholtz:  The first week of April of last year.

[00:23:12]  Ed Perks:  Exactly. And, and that’s where I think because we have such a flexible mandate, our tension turns more to how can we optimize the positioning of the portfolio. We always have assets that are benefiting in some way, have some liquidity profile to them that lets us focus on being, playing offense a little bit more during those periods of time. And I think that’s something that has, has always enabled us to kind of recharge the portfolio. A pretty firm believer in the price you pay matters concept, whether it’s an income investment or, or something that’s designed to create more capital appreciation. And, and that’s something that, you know, really has enabled us to kind of ultimately come out of periods of volatility and deliver for our investors. You know, even though there might have been some, some bumps along the way.

[00:24:01]  Barry Ritholtz:  So 2022 was the first year that saw double digit losses in both stocks and bonds since 40 years earlier, 1981, which I recall was also a rate hiking environment, not quite as aggressive as what we saw in 2022. I’ve noticed people talking about anticipating that again and pretend preparing for it, is that a little overly cautious. How often do we see stocks and bonds both down that significantly in the same years? Is that likely to happen anytime soon? Well, I

[00:24:37]  Ed Perks:  Think the, the, the backdrop was, was really set for that dynamic. And what I mean by that is where rates had had, had declined to, you didn’t have the carried offset negative returns in fixed income and the resetting of where rates should have been, you know, provided that, that the fuel to, to drive those kind of negative total returns. So we really think we’re in that, certainly not in that position today. Never say, you know, can, can we, you know, don’t expect that that can never happen again, but certainly not the backdrop that we’re envisioning today. So just the rationale or why are bonds, can bonds be a diversifier in a multi-asset portfolio? You know, I think we would’ve argued, and if you look at our asset allocation in, in 2021, we did not believe so and they certainly did not offer attractive income for investors. Right? So,

[00:25:30]  Barry Ritholtz:  And that was good for 20 prior 20 years. They were not producing a whole lot of income after 2022 yields were, look, money markets were over 5% for a while. Now we’re in a rate cutting cycle. How does that affect how you look at fixed income products? Are you looking to extend duration? Are you looking to extend credit quality? Is there now reinvestment risk if you’re too short? How, how are you thinking about this?

[00:26:00]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, we’ve made such a significant move in, into fixed income in 2022 and, and, and, and 2023 that, you know, we do have that now in the corporate space in particular, we have companies that are, are engaging the market refinancing. So some of the real prized kind of investments we were able to make at the time, you know, we are now seeing some cash coming back into the portfolio. But way we treat that is that just because a dollar comes out, maybe a high yield bond is called away or matures, which they do in fact do at times. It doesn’t mean that dollar goes back into the high yield bond market. For us, it’s, it’s always gonna be that net next most attractive place that we’re looking today. We might be looking, you know, more specifically in structured equity or in convertible securities where, you know, we think outside of the, the very large mega cap tech companies that have driven this market since 2023, that there’s pretty reasonable valuation. So there’s a, a lot of companies, whether it’s utilities or industrials, that I think have a pretty interesting profile for the rest of the decade. So if we can pursue investments in their common stock, maybe there’s a two to 3% dividend yield. But if we can access a convertible, we can blend that yield up to something that’s more attractive for a strategy and yet still retain, you know, a pretty interesting profile. On the upside,

[00:27:18]  Barry Ritholtz:  My assumption is if something is being called away, it’s that it was too generous and now they’re refinancing at a more attractive rate. Let’s talk a little bit about the Franklin Income Fund. You’re only the third lead manager of this flagship fund. You followed Charles Johnson fairly legendary in the fixed income world. And, and tell us a little bit about what it was like taking over as lead manager of that fund.

[00:27:48]  Ed Perks:  Well, first lemme mention, I I had a chance to, to sit down with Charlie last month. Something I try to do on his regular basis as I, as I can and to still see and, and, and, and meet with him and, and hear the stories of, of some of the history is something that I really, really cherish and, and value doing. You know, I I think from the standpoint of, of 00:28:13 The, the path that that we’ve been on with Franklin income, you know, joining in in 2002 was, it was a large strategy for Franklin at the time. It was, you know, around 8 billion in, in assets under management. And I think what really kind of maybe though defined the strategy was that period coming out of the financial crisis and, you know, navigating our way and, and being able to engage the broad cross section of markets and, and perform very well for five year period really helped establish this. But at the same time, you know, we realized that investors, financial advisors do like a, a range of different strategies or the ability to use different vehicles to deliver an investment strategy. And that was something where in 2000 and and 22 we launched Franklin income and SMA vehicle and in 2023 we launched Franklin Income strategy and an ETF. So it’s been, and and you know, to see that strategy you get adopted in, in different vehicles is something that was a big part of taking this strategy that’s been so important for Franklin Templeton as a whole to a, a, a different type of

[00:29:23]  Barry Ritholtz:  Investor. And, and for listeners who may not be familiar with the Franklin Income Fund, a couple of things really struck me about it. First, not too long ago it celebrated its 75th anniversary. Ain’t a whole lot of funds that have been running continuously for 75 years, since 1950. And, and then secondly, and this amazes me uninterrupted monthly dividends dating back to the launch, which was I think 1948. Is that right? Yeah, that’s unbelievable. It

[00:29:55]  Ed Perks:  Is a great, it’s, it’s really a great story. It was part of the original custodian funds for Franklin and the, the first four were, you know, really the four asset classes at the time, a bond fund, a a stock fund, a a preferred fund, and a utility fund. And then the final series of custodian funds was the income fund, which meant, was meant to look at those other four strategies for asset classes and find the most attractive income investments. So Sure.

[00:30:21]  Barry Ritholtz:  The four food groups, that’s the core and you create a whole meal out of that. So you mentioned agency mortgage backs. What, what else do you look at that are either asset backed or CLOs or any exotic other products that theoretically generate pretty good yield relative to the risk the investor assumes?

[00:30:46]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I mean I I I think that agency mortgages tend to be our, our core component within that part of the fixed income markets. But we’re always evaluating different opportunities, asset backed oriented investments. And you know, right now we’re, we’re pretty light. We do have a fair amount of corporate debt that is secure debt.

[00:31:05]  Barry Ritholtz:  So I recall coming out of the financial crisis double line as an example, had a ton of mortgage backed and it just seemed as everybody refinanced and refinanced their homes, the available paper just disappeared. I’m doing this off the top of my head, but it was something like 90% mortgages when it started and ended up at like 25 or 35% mortgages. We’ve seen a significant slowdown in home sales yield has been higher than it’s been for the past 20 years. So we haven’t been seeing a lot of refinancing and or a lot of new issuance. Is there enough mortgage backed paper out there? What, what’s going on in that space?

[00:31:50]  Ed Perks:  Yeah. And, and certainly it’s been topical just the last week or so with, you know,

[00:31:56]  Barry Ritholtz:  Fannie and Freddie purchases. Exactly. Exactly. Had 200 billion a month or some wild number Yeah.

[00:32:00]  Ed Perks:  And an additional 200 billion. But even beyond that, there could be an extension. So, you know, we did see the mortgage market react, right. We saw spreads kind of come down and you know, ultimately bringing longer term rates down is gonna be probably the biggest beneficiary in terms of activity within the housing market, but Right.

[00:32:17]  Barry Ritholtz:  Do we have to get down to 5% mortgage rates to see this really kick up? Or where are we now six and change six and a quarter?

[00:32:25]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I mean I I I think certainly that needs to be the direction of travel, what that, that specific number needs to be to get some activity. Probably there’s some other factors as, as as well. Certainly the, the overall healthy the economy and the labor market are gonna be a major, major component of, of being able to get some of that activity going in, in the housing market. How, how

[00:32:44]  Barry Ritholtz:  Closely do you track macroeconomic news like the, if I had to describe the labor market today, I would say it, it’s still solid but not as strong as it was a year ago or even six months ago. Really since April we’ve seen it kind of soften up. We’re not seeing big layoffs. Do you, I always feel like a macro tourist when I I visit that space. ’cause it’s not my charge to predict labor markets. How, how do you integrate looking at all these data points that seem, as you said earlier, so noisy, so hard to find the signal in there.

[00:33:25]  Ed Perks:  Yeah. There, there’s something like the labor market clearly has taken kind of a, a, a front seat, right? We had the Fed really focused on fighting inflation and, and then as we saw the labor market weakening ultimately in, in, in encouraged the, for the fed to, you know, begin a, a resumption of the, of the interest rate cuts. Now, you know, I think there’s a kind of a reluctance in the labor market on both sides, right? There’s a reluctance maybe at the corporate level to hires a lot of uncertainty. Some of that was brought on by the, the onset of tariffs and just the uncertainty around where that was gonna impact businesses. And then I think you can ignore AI and the role that that’s happening, right? So there’s this reluctance maybe to hire and a reluctance to fire. So we’re, we’re stuck with a little bit more stagnant component in the labor market. Hmm.

[00:34:10]  Barry Ritholtz:  Really, really interesting coming up. We continue our conversation with Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin income investors talking about where he sees value in various equity markets. I’m Barry Ritholtz, you’re listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. 00:34:43 I am Barry Ritholtz, your listening to Masters in business. I’m Bloomberg Radio. My extra special guest today is Ed Perks. He’s chief investment officer at Franklin Templeton Income investors as well as President of Franklin Advisors. He has managed several go anywhere as well as income funds for Franklin Templeton, including the flagship Franklin Income Fund, which can purchase pretty much anything it wants that generates income. Let’s, we’ve we’re talking earlier about the fixed income portion. Let’s talk about the equity portion. And I recall reading something you said as we were coming outta the pandemic about the dominance then of growth stocks over value. How has your views changed over the past five years of other than 2022 double digit gains in equities?

[00:35:43]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think, you know, we’ve gone through this, this period since the pandemic with different cycles within the equity markets and certainly there was a, a tilt immediately towards growth and, and, and, and value underperformed. I think it’s, it’s shifted a bit, certainly in 23 and four we saw it, it transition to more of a market cap dominance. And, and that certainly has, has proceeded I think since the beginning of, of 2023, something like the s and p 500 market cap has, has nearly doubled the performance of the s and p 500 equal weight index. So, you know, we do think there’s a lot of other things kind of under that initial layer if you pull it back and, and look at the broader equity markets that there’s a lot of opportunity across industries where companies are benefiting from the expansion in the economy that are benefiting from the secular dynamics that we see, whether it be in, in manufacturing investment or technology investment.

[00:36:39]  Barry Ritholtz:  Hmm, interesting. So we’ve also seen active equity management under fairly intense competitive pressure really for, for a good couple of decades. How does that change how you look at, at equity selection or asset allocation?

[00:36:57]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, you know, I, I think, you know, from a, maybe a bigger picture, you know, the move towards more passive exposures, the flood of money into passive investments has maybe exacerbated some of these dynamics around particularly the, the, the dispersion between the, the mega cap stocks, the market weighted indices and, and the average stock or the equal weighted indices. You know, I think for us it really becomes more about, you know, security selection. There’s still plenty of liquidity in those other stocks and, and to the extent that we can turn over rocks that maybe other investors are not looking at that are not being influenced as much by the magnitude of flows coming into passive indices is something that, you know, is a big part of our overall allocation. But I would really go back to, you know, this kind of view that as an income investor we can look for opportunities where we’re not trying to identify the catalyst next quarter or two quarters from now, we’re looking at investment with favorable fundamentals that we think over time can deliver for investors. And that income component, once again, kind of a significant part of maybe the near term total return.

[00:38:07]  Barry Ritholtz:  So, so let’s talk about those different asset classes that you’re not looking for. Great quarter guys. You’re looking for great decade convertibles, equity bonds credit. Do, do you play in the private space as well? How significant is that? Tell us about all these different multi-asset options you have and is there an overall core philosophy that sorta strings all of these together keeps ’em all in one philosophical bucket? Yeah,

[00:38:38]  Ed Perks:  I, I think one of the more interesting components, you know, of our, of our strategy is, is taking a little bit more of a holistic approach for how we invest in a company. I mentioned before, you know, sitting down at times with company management teams when you’re approaching it from both an equity and fixed income analysis standpoint. Well, looking across the capital structure, it’s pretty common that, you know, between a third or 40% of the portfolio will be invested in companies where we own multiple parts of a company’s capital structure. Meaning,

[00:39:07]  Barry Ritholtz:  Meaning their bonds, their equity and their convertibles or some combination, which

[00:39:12]  Ed Perks:  It’s, it is somewhat common in a multi-asset strategy to have kind of different components.

[00:39:20]  Barry Ritholtz:  And if you, you like the company, if you’ve done the research and its income, not just capital appreciation, why not own everything? Do the valuations fluctuate within the same company from corporate to equity to convertible? Sometimes a part of their cap structure is more appealing than others.

[00:39:38]  Ed Perks:  Absolutely. And that’s something that we’ve really seen over the last five years, certainly when longer term rates were a lot lower, really across the board there were companies where we saw equities trading in mid-teens multiples with 3% dividend yields. And the same benchmark longer term debt from those companies yielding one and a half to 2% didn’t

[00:39:57]  Barry Ritholtz:  Make any sense. Right,

[00:39:58]  Ed Perks:  Exactly. Well

[00:39:59]  Barry Ritholtz:  I recall

[00:40:00]  Ed Perks:  At, at that time we’d be very tilted to the common stock and using other things within the equity, structured equity in particular. But fast forward two years rates surge higher. Those same companies, the stocks, many cases were at the same levels or same valuations, yet bonds had gone from yielding 2% to maybe yielding five, five and a half percent. I

[00:40:18]  Barry Ritholtz:  I recall a couple of the big tech companies, and I want to include Microsoft and Apple in them, in, in that list issued 2% long-term bonds and yet the yield was almost that and you had all the upside of the equity. Like i I I don’t know who is enthusiastic about that. How do you, when you see a new issuance like that, 2% what do I care about 2% or is 2% attractive in a zero rate environment?

[00:40:49]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think for us it’s, it play, it’s, it’s much harder to have that make sense in our strategy to play a role in the portfolio. But it’s something that, you know, the more that’s out there, we may not have participated in those new issues in 2020 or 2021, but come back in 2022 when rates move and invest grade suddenly

[00:41:08]  Barry Ritholtz:  They’re attractive.

[00:41:08]  Ed Perks:  Right. Yeah. I don’t think, you know, many investors didn’t expect that investment grade corporate bonds could drop 20 to 25 points and, and they did. So there’s always a time for it and the more of that that is issued in the market just gives us that, that opportunity down the line just

[00:41:21]  Barry Ritholtz:  ’cause it’s investment grade doesn’t mean it’s not subject to interest rate risk. Right. I I think that’s kind of, you know, fixed income 1 0 1.

[00:41:29]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, that was part of the, you know, like I said before, the very loud announcement that the bond market made around, its, its returning to a more normal functioning in 2022.

[00:41:39]  Barry Ritholtz:  So, so let’s talk about the flip side of that real default risk. We, we haven’t seen a whole lot of defaults other than a handful of very specific corporate. It was a big fraud case recently that company and in all its fixed income in the automotive sector crashed and burned. But for the most part, fraud default rates have been fairly low. How do you look at, at that risk and is it a sort of top, top-down macro approach or is it company by company balance sheet line by balance sheet line?

[00:42:15]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think first, from a top-down standpoint, you know, we have had a nice tailwind, we have had an economy that’s been growing. We’ve had capital markets that have provided solutions to companies that need to get through. There’s also been a a probably a fair amount of, of, you know, restructurings along the way that in, in prior market cycles would’ve led to a higher default rate. So I think you have to make that that adjustment as, as well. I think for us in, in our strategy, it’s, it’s very much though about the fundamental analysis, the idiosyncratic risk and, and working we want to be in situations, particularly in, in lower credit quality companies, really understanding that that path that management has to ensure that the company moves to a more solid footing. And that could be the debt maturity wall or access to capital and liquidity to ultimately deal with debt as it comes due.

[00:43:10]  Barry Ritholtz:  How do you think about systemic risk relative to what the central bank is doing and the treasury depart is doing treasury department, when, when we look at, we had the financial crisis, we had the pandemic, we had the flash crash, we had that little hiccup with Silicon Valley Bank and some of the other banks that, that in reality were contained as opposed to what we saw during the financial crisis. Do investors look at these institutions as providing a put, providing a a, a ready rescue plan or is it more less about specific companies and more about we’re not gonna let the system collapse?

[00:43:58]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, that’s a good question. You know, I think we’ve been through a lot over the last 20 years a lot.

[00:44:03]  Barry Ritholtz:  Right? A lot and

[00:44:04]  Ed Perks:  A

[00:44:04]  Barry Ritholtz:  Hundred years worth of stuff in a decade and a half.

[00:44:07]  Ed Perks:  Yeah. I I think if you look at some of the policy measures, maybe not, you know, initially out of the gate following the financial crisis, but you know, the, the, the long tooth that some of those policies had and, and the distortion ultimately that was created in markets. I think there’s a, a different view of maybe the appropriateness of some of the policy today than there certainly was at the time. Look, ultimately the fear of systemic risk does create opportunity for us. I think being in a highly diversified strategy, not just from an asset class standpoint, but, but investing across the range of fixed income sectors and the range of sectors within the equity market certainly helps lend a bit of resilience to the strategy in, in the case where markets become a little bit more concerned about system systemic risks. You know, I I think one of the probably more interesting things that, that is happening today that I’m sure you’ve talked to other guests about is, is the private credit space where we’ve just seen tremendous growth, tremendous amount of capital being committed there and, and ultimately needs to be deployed. And I think some of this doesn’t have quite the same level of transparency that it would’ve had if it was in the, the public credit markets. So I think that’s something that, you know, we’re certainly close to and, and both looking at potential opportunities. ’cause we can play in private assets within our Franklin income strategies. But, you know, if there was something that, you know, we would want to keep very much on the radar is, is, is what is happening in that space in terms of credit quality.

[00:45:36]  Barry Ritholtz:  The, the criticism that has come up about privates is that it’s a form of volatility washing. You’re, you’re not getting marks on the regular that are market based. It’s all right, we think it’s worth about this, here’s what the peers are worth. So let’s sorta ballpark this. How, how do you think about that? Is that a fair criticism of that space? And you know, the main appeal seems to be, hey, it’s non-correlated, it’s potentially better returns. How, how do you look at, at the, the pitch from the private credit side?

[00:46:14]  Ed Perks:  I think it’s evolved in, in, in a healthy way. I think using volatility measures is somewhat debunked. I think, you know, leading with a sharp ratio when you’re comparing public and private assets is not the, not something investors should be focusing on. I, you know, I I think the, you know, ultimately it, it has a a, a meaningful place. The definition of public credit can be extraordinarily of private credit, sorry, can be extraordinarily wide. And I think as that capital has come in, it has started to look at a lot of different places to, to ultimately have or have its role in financial markets. So we certainly think it’s it’s, it’s a viable asset. We just in any, and, and really this goes kind of across any asset, when you see the kind of capital moving into a certain area, there’s just a greater risk of maybe less disciplined things happening. And that’s something that, you know, we think could become, you know, a little bit more apparent here as we move forward.

[00:47:11]  Barry Ritholtz:  Huh. Really, really super interesting. So we’ve talked about various asset classes, we’ve talked about privates versus Publix. What do you think the average income investor, yield investor doesn’t understand about either the SMA they own or the mutual fund or ETF? They own? I I, I know fixed income is not quite as intuitive as equities. You must hear from a lot of different clients. What, what’s out there amongst main street yield investors?

[00:47:44]  Ed Perks:  I think one of the biggest things that, that we come across is there’s just a, a a, a natural view that if you’re an income investor, you own a, a certain type of stock or have a certain type of equity exposure. And maybe that’s rooted in the concept of, you know, like utility stocks, right? Bond, like surrogates within the equity market. That’s what you must invest in as an, as an income investor. And the reality is, is much broader than that. Even in the component say of the SP 500, nearly 40% not paying a dividend or paying a very low dividend. That’s still something, whether it’s through convertible securities, going back to that kind of earlier part of my career or using structured equity where we can create a security that we can own for a year or two years that can replicate that kind of profile in our strategy. So that opens up the opportunity to own and we do in our strategy today convertible like instruments in Amazon, in Microsoft, in meta. So we really have a much broader cross section in the equity markets to pursue investments. Huh.

[00:48:49]  Barry Ritholtz:  Really, really interesting stick sticking with dividends, the s and p 500 dividend yield under 2%, way back when it was 3.54%. How do you look at dividend stocks as a whole? How attractive they are, the valuations there? How do you think about that group as, as a source of yield?

[00:49:14]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I think it’s a group that you want to consider. I think back to the, just the profile we’ve had in, in equity markets, the dominance of, of mostly non-dividend paying stocks, the mega cap tech companies in particular. And not to say that they can’t continue to be decent investments, but there is that whole cohort that still focuses on dividends. Not just dividends, but consistent growth of dividends. I mentioned a utility company several times. One stock that we’ve actually held in the portfolio the entire time that I’ve been a portfolio manager is southern company. And what probably very few people would, would expect, if you go back to 2002 since that time period, southern companies actually matched the return of the SP 500.

[00:50:00]  Barry Ritholtz:  Hmm. Really, really interesting. We’re seeing signs of the market broadening out. Look, my favorite data point from 2025, everybody talks about the concentration and the magnificent seven outperforming only two of the Mag seven beat the s and p 500 last year. Amazing data point. How are you looking at the rest of the s and p 500? How are you looking at the value sector? Can we reasonably expect to see this broadening continue in the future?

[00:50:33]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, we do think, you know, there is some, some interesting value in parts of the equity market and, and maybe they are companies that have been, you know, a little bit out of the spotlight. You know, we do have a, a pretty good amount of sector diversification, so we’re finding opportunities in these different areas. It’ll be healthcare, it’ll be industrials, energy, utilities, even in materials. Some of these, these trends, let’s take globalization and, and really this move that is still evolving into maybe hemisphere controls and, and and nearshoring of supply chains, some things that came outta the pandemic. You know, all of that has pretty significant implications. So finding companies that have that a play on a select theme that you want i that you identify and want to play. We think there’s a lot of that opportunity in the equity market. I’ve

[00:51:22]  Barry Ritholtz:  Been mostly thinking about and talking about US equities. Last year was the first year where MSCI developed and, and even emerging market, just wherever you looked overseas, thumped, the US and the US was, you know, up almost 18% Nasdaq EPO a little over 20%. How do you look at the rest of the world when it comes to either fixed income or, or equities?

[00:51:49]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I, you know, I I certainly think that made a a, a great storyline for 2025 reason being, you know, we go back and look at 23 and 24, though US stocks had outperformed so massively so,

[00:52:01]  Barry Ritholtz:  Or the past 15 years or so.

[00:52:03]  Ed Perks:  At some level we do think it was primed for a little bit of a reallocation towards non-US markets. And then you add on some of the policy dynamics around tariffs and, and

[00:52:13]  Barry Ritholtz:  The dollar dropping almost 10% last year. Exactly.

[00:52:16]  Ed Perks:  And that really led to some of that reallocation, a lot of the outperformance of non-US equity markets in 25 did happen during that period of time. So if you were to take a look at more of the second half, a little bit more balance between the markets.

[00:52:29]  Barry Ritholtz:  And then our last question before we get to my favorite questions, I ask all my guests, what do you think investors and traders are not talking about, thinking about that perhaps they should be, and, and you could, you’re a go anywhere investor, so you go anywhere with this. What, what assets, geography, policies, data points are getting overlooked but shouldn’t.

[00:52:52]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I, I think we need keep, keep coming back to right now we really feel like policy’s paramount. So really focusing on where policy will, will ultimately take the market. Midterm elections are gonna continue to be a very significant overhang in, in markets. Maybe one of the things that concerns me that investors are not talking about is if we were to think about the level of uncertainty that some of these dynamics naturally create and how that right now really does not translate to the kind of expected volatility that might be there in markets. So just looking this morning at something like the vic in the VIX index, which a lot of investors will go to when they want to see implied volatility back to the levels it was at in February of 2025. So we did see a very, very

[00:53:39]  Barry Ritholtz:  Low, right, low

[00:53:39]  Ed Perks:  Low. And that tends to be, you know, a point where, you know, we want to be a little bit more cautious when naturally there’s not a lot of volatility expected to be coming in markets. You know, for us that means we can stay invested, we can focus on areas that deliver attractive income and, and really maintaining that nimbleness in the portfolio and the strategy that we have.

[00:54:02]  Barry Ritholtz:  Hmm. Really, really interesting. Ed, let, let’s jump to my favorite questions that I ask all of my guests starting with tell us about your mentors who helped shape your career.

[00:54:13]  Ed Perks:  Yeah, I’d certainly, first and foremost on that list is, is Charles Johnson joining Charlie in 2002 as a member of the Franklin Income portfolio management team. And really being able to understand his approach to investing and, and hearing the, the, the tremendous, you know, experiences that he had over time. But I think more importantly, him really enabling me to become a bit of the investor that, that I am today. And, and, and, and as we went through that, that transition and, and then went through difficult times, particularly the, the financial crisis. That awareness that, look, we’re not gonna get every situation right. We’re not gonna make every perfect investment, but really how you handle it and how you stay focused on the people that have entrusted their their money to us is, is just paramount importance. And you know, one of the first things that Charlie asked me to, to do in, in 2002 was a difficult time. Interest rates were coming down, there was a modest dividend cut for Franklin Income fund, which is not a very common occurrence, certainly not something that we, we enjoy doing. And getting a handwritten letter from an investor, a woman in Tennessee that was a, a little concerned that her dividend check had gone down and, and here he is the chairman and CEO of Franklin and, and portfolio manager still. And he gave me that handwritten note from the investor and asked me to respond directly to her. Really? And that was just something

[00:55:42]  Barry Ritholtz:  That, did you write a letter or did you pick up the phone?

[00:55:45]  Ed Perks:  No, we wrote a letter and, and that was something, I don’t recall having the phone number, but we did write a letter and, and really kind of laid it out and tried to help her understand just the dynamic. But to me that really resonated that, wow, this is so important to, to him, this is really, we need to stay connected to just the role we are playing in individual’s lives. And I, I think that’s something that I’ve really tried to not only carry on in in my career, but certainly instill in the broader team that helps manage Franklin income.

[00:56:15]  Barry Ritholtz:  Easy to lose sight of that. Right. So, so let’s talk about books. What are some of your favorites? What are you reading right now?

[00:56:22]  Ed Perks:  Wow. I’ll start with maybe what I’m reading right now. And this is something I’m, I’ve always enjoyed history and geography. The end of last year I picked up a, a, a place called Yellowstone because I was planning a sibling trip to Yellowstone and it was just really fascinating the history. I’m now reading a Daunted Courage by Samuel Ambrose, which is more of the, the, the Lewis and Clark Expedition. So maybe this summer I’ll be out in Glacier or in the Bitterroot Mountains on a trail somewhere. But I, I really enjoy, you know, reading. So I’m, I’m, I’m more of a nonfiction, you know, kind of guy. Occasionally I’ll pick up something else. Probably my, my favorite of all time is the Hemingway Classic For Whom The Bell Tolls where, you know, you’re reading a something that plays out over 72 or so hours and just something like that that really can let your mind kind of go. And the imagination take hold is, is always something that I’ve enjoyed too. I did just pick up a new copy. I think it’s probably something that as, as an American, we should all read. And, and certainly Walter Isaacson is not somebody that, that needs a plug of any of any sort. He wrote more of a pamphlet called the, the Greatest Sentence ever written, really. And that’s something that I think with America two 50,

[00:57:43]  Barry Ritholtz:  Because his books are giant.

[00:57:45]  Ed Perks:  I think this is around 50 pages. No kidding. So it’s, it’s the greatest sentence ever written. And I haven’t gone through it yet, but I’ve heard, heard him speak about it. And it’s just very inspiring. And like I said, it’s, it’s something that second sentence of the Declaration Independence with America two 50 is maybe something that we should all step back and make sure we read this year.

[00:58:07]  Barry Ritholtz:  I, I have for whom the bell tolls on, on my list, and I just read on vacation last month, The Sun Also Rises, but nothing beats the Old Man in the Sea. I, that book just always speaks to me, not just as a fisherman, but his prose is just so compact and tight and powerful. Real, really very impressive. You mentioned Yellowstone, so I have to ask, what are you streaming these days? What’s, what’s keeping you entertained?

[00:58:37]  Ed Perks:  I haven’t started Landman two yet, but that’s probably next. You know, I, I really kind of like to, and, and maybe there is a sci-fi element growing up. My sci-fi of choice would probably something like Stargate SG one or something where you can really detach. And I think that’s an important component. Let the mind rest and, and be transported a little bit.

[00:59:01]  Barry Ritholtz:  Let’s, let’s jump to our final two questions. What sort of advice which you give to a recent college grad interested in a career in fixed income portfolio management or just investing

[00:59:16]  Ed Perks:  In a way? It would be just that I see far too many college students, recent grads, that think they’ve already decided what they want to do.

[00:59:26]  Barry Ritholtz:  Specializing early

[00:59:27]  Ed Perks:  Yes. Or, or having a, a a a definitive, I need to find the job in this. And I just reflect on my own path that it, it evolves quickly. Get in a seat somewhere in an industry that you think is interesting and see where it takes you. And don’t be afraid to put your hand up when opportunities arise. Just, it’s, it’s, you have plenty of time, you have nothing but time.

[00:59:51]  Barry Ritholtz:  Don’t assume that first gig is where you’re gonna spend the next 40 years of your career. Is that your advice?

[00:59:57]  Ed Perks:  It, you know, it can happen.

[01:00:00]  Barry Ritholtz:  It certainly can. And, and our final question, what do you know about the world of investing today you wish you knew 30 plus years ago when you were first getting started?

[01:00:11]  Ed Perks:  Oh, it’s such a good question. I mean, a lot of ways, you know, you almost wouldn’t want things to be, to be entirely different. You know, I, I was fortunate in that I found that role relatively early on, that really solidified the kind of investor I think I am. What is that inherent DNA that I have as an investor? So I think the sooner you can kind of tap into that and then explore ways to, to follow your investing based upon that. Don’t try to be somebody that you’re not, you know, and I have colleagues that manage pure growth funds, that follow momentum strategies, and I think they do a phenomenal job. I also very much know that’s not a job that I would’ve ever excelled at. What’s the

[01:00:50]  Barry Ritholtz:  Old joke? Wall Street is an expensive place to figure out who you are. Absolutely. Ed, thank you so much for being so generous with your time. This, this has been really quite fascinating. We have been speaking with Ed Perks, he’s CIO of Franklin Income Fund, as well as member of the executive committee and PM for a number of different funds. If you enjoy this conversation, check out any of the 600 we’ve done over the prior 12 years. You can find those at Bloomberg, iTunes, Spotify, YouTube, wherever you get your favorite podcasts at. I would be remiss if I didn’t thank our crack team that helps put these conversations together each week. I’m Barry Riol. You’ve been listening to Bloomberg’s Masters in Business.

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